NFL Props

H.Henry 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+155

0.75u

02/08 11:30 PM

I'm not investing in too many Patriots in this one, but I do expect Hunter Henry to have a nice night. Since Week 8, no non-Rams wideout has cleared 50 yards against Seattle's secondary, so opposing RB and TE targets are piling up. On the season, Seattle opponents have a healthy 24% target rate to tight ends, and the Seahawks are top six in most receptions and yards allowed to tight ends. Seven opposing TEs have already caught at least six passes against Seattle. New England probably won't hit too many deep passes and likely won't run much, but it should find some success on shorter passes — and that's where Henry can rack up some looks. He has only six catches in three playoff games, but those games were heavily game script and weather impacted. Henry had at least four catches in just over half his regular season games, but over 3.5 receptions is juiced to -140 and that's a bit much. But when Henry gets the volume, the yards are there too — and sometimes the yardage is there even without the receptions. Henry had only two games this season with 4+ receptions but under 45 yards, but he had four other games with under four catches where he still hit 39+ yards. Henry has 39+ yards in 11-of-20 games (55%), and Seattle has allowed 39+ to a TE in 10 regular season games along with both playoff games. Let's build ourselves a little Hunter Henry escalator. Start with the traditional over 39.5 yards at +105 (Caesars), then place a good portion of your bet on 50+ yards at +155 (bet365). Henry has 49+ yards eight times this season, and Seattle has allowed that number 10 times, including both playoff games. Sprinkle a small touch on 80+ yards at +630 (FanDuel), a number Henry has topped twice and Seattle has allowed four times.

6

H.Henry 80+ Receiving Yards Yes+630

0.6u

02/08 11:30 PM

I'm not investing in too many Patriots in this one, but I do expect Hunter Henry to have a nice night. Since Week 8, no non-Rams wideout has cleared 50 yards against Seattle's secondary, so opposing RB and TE targets are piling up. On the season, Seattle opponents have a healthy 24% target rate to tight ends, and the Seahawks are top six in most receptions and yards allowed to tight ends. Seven opposing TEs have already caught at least six passes against Seattle. New England probably won't hit too many deep passes and likely won't run much, but it should find some success on shorter passes — and that's where Henry can rack up some looks. He has only six catches in three playoff games, but those games were heavily game script and weather impacted. Henry had at least four catches in just over half his regular season games, but over 3.5 receptions is juiced to -140 and that's a bit much. But when Henry gets the volume, the yards are there too — and sometimes the yardage is there even without the receptions. Henry had only two games this season with 4+ receptions but under 45 yards, but he had four other games with under four catches where he still hit 39+ yards. Henry has 39+ yards in 11-of-20 games (55%), and Seattle has allowed 39+ to a TE in 10 regular season games along with both playoff games. Let's build ourselves a little Hunter Henry escalator. Start with the traditional over 39.5 yards at +105 (Caesars), then place a good portion of your bet on 50+ yards at +155 (bet365). Henry has 49+ yards eight times this season, and Seattle has allowed that number 10 times, including both playoff games. Sprinkle a small touch on 80+ yards at +630 (FanDuel), a number Henry has topped twice and Seattle has allowed four times.

5

Rashid Shaheed: Player with longest rush+3000

0.15u

02/08 11:30 PM

I'm not investing in too many Patriots in this one, but I do expect Hunter Henry to have a nice night. Since Week 8, no non-Rams wideout has cleared 50 yards against Seattle's secondary, so opposing RB and TE targets are piling up. On the season, Seattle opponents have a healthy 24% target rate to tight ends, and the Seahawks are top six in most receptions and yards allowed to tight ends. Seven opposing TEs have already caught at least six passes against Seattle. New England probably won't hit too many deep passes and likely won't run much, but it should find some success on shorter passes — and that's where Henry can rack up some looks. He has only six catches in three playoff games, but those games were heavily game script and weather impacted. Henry had at least four catches in just over half his regular season games, but over 3.5 receptions is juiced to -140 and that's a bit much. But when Henry gets the volume, the yards are there too — and sometimes the yardage is there even without the receptions. Henry had only two games this season with 4+ receptions but under 45 yards, but he had four other games with under four catches where he still hit 39+ yards. Henry has 39+ yards in 11-of-20 games (55%), and Seattle has allowed 39+ to a TE in 10 regular season games along with both playoff games. Let's build ourselves a little Hunter Henry escalator. Start with the traditional over 39.5 yards at +105 (Caesars), then place a good portion of your bet on 50+ yards at +155 (bet365). Henry has 49+ yards eight times this season, and Seattle has allowed that number 10 times, including both playoff games. Sprinkle a small touch on 80+ yards at +630 (FanDuel), a number Henry has topped twice and Seattle has allowed four times.

4

R.Shaheed o2.5 Rush Yds-110

0.5u

02/08 11:30 PM

Let's start by running back Rashid Shaheed rushing props. This is the most fun bet you can make this Super Bowl. Shaheed has at least one rushing attempt in eight of his 11 games since being traded to Seattle. The Seahawks are using him like Percy Harvin, and he's lining up in the backfield even more now that Zach Charbonnet is out. Shaheed will be the fastest player on the field on Sunday, and if he gets even a sliver of space, he could bust a big one. He has at least two yards rushing in 6-of-11 Seattle games, and he's already had Seahawks runs of 10, 10, 30, and 31 yards. And guess which team has allowed the most rushing yards to wide receivers this season — why it's the Patriots! The Patriots allowed 149 rushing yards to opposing wideouts, along with the sixth-most attempts, and that includes at least three rushing yards to a receiver in 10-of-17 games. It also includes seven double-digit yardage WR runs, including a 31-yarder. Every year, we see coaches break out their favorite gadget plays in the Super Bowl. This is the moment Seattle went out and got Shaheed for. I'm betting over 2.5 rushing yards (-110, BetMGM), and I'd love a 10/20/30 longest rush escalator, if you can find odds. I haven't found it, but I do see Shaheed badly mispriced at +3000 to record the longest rush of the Super Bowl at DraftKings. If we're not expecting either team to run the ball all that well traditionally, even a 15- or 20-yard run could win that market. This is the most fun bet you can make for Super Bowl Sunday, in part because we'll probably only get one shot. All night long, you'll be watching those neon green Shaheed cleats, waiting for the one sweeping end around and one shot at glory. By the way, any guess who led Seattle in rushing the last time the Seahawks won the Super Bowl? Harvin, of course. He led both teams with 45 yards, including an early 30-yard run that cashed longest rush. Your move, Shaheed.