Gave out on live show (live now!). Also love attacking alt overs for this market

Through three playoff games, Stefon Diggs has seen his role in the offense compressed to a short-area outlet as Drake Maye has faced consistent pressure. Diggs’ aDOT has been just 5.5 yards in the playoffs, a significant reduction from his 8.7-yard aDOT during the regular season. 81.3% of his targets during the playoffs have come within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage compared to 68% during the regular season, and he has just one target of 20+ yards. Diggs led the Patriots with a 16.5% target share when Maye was pressured during the regular season, and he’s done the same with a 25% target share under pressure through the three playoff games. However, he has just a 15.3% air-yard share on those looks as his volume has come closer to the line of scrimmage. The Seahawks have funneled targets underneath all season, allowing the 3rd-lowest catch rate (42%) and fewest YPRR (1.90) on 10+ yard throws, while forcing the 2nd-most targets within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage (383) during the regular season. Combined with their elite pressure rate without blitzing, that leads directly into Diggs continuing to see those short targets he’s seen all year. Diggs has posted long receptions of 9, 14, and 6 yards during the playoffs. I’m betting this usage profile continues in a matchup that has consistently suppressed downfield efficiency. #PlayerProps

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