Dolphins vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - October 1, 2023

Dolphins at Bills

5:00 pm • CBS

Miami Dolphins

6-8

20 - 48

Buffalo Bills

11-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins 6-8	+3-110	o52.5-108	+125
Bills 11-3	-3-110	u52.5-112	-150

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 01, 2023

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park

BUF -2.5-120

0.67u

J.Waddle Anytime TD Scorer+165

@charliedisturco

BUF -3-105

BUF -2.5-120

$250.00

BUF -2.5-112

Liked Buffalo all week at less than a FG, that’s where we got the contest line.

BUF -3-115

0.87u

Under 53-112

Over 53.5-105

0.95u

BUF -3-112

2.68u

BUF -2.5-120

BUF -2.5-125

$50.00

Tailing Sura

BUF -3-112

D.Kincaid o2.5 Recs-120

0.83u

D.Kincaid o2.5 Recs-120

J.Waddle u4.5 Recs-106

D.Kincaid 40+ Receiving Yards+194

J.Waddle 70+ Receiving Yards+124

J.Allen o34.5 Rush Yds-115

Every Team Every Game: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-4-preview-odds-picks-every-game-every-team

J.Allen 50+ Rushing Yards+220

0.5u

Every Team Every Game: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-4-preview-odds-picks-every-game-every-team

J.Waddle o58.5 Rec Yds-125

BUF -2.5-110

Simon Says

BUF -3-105

Stuckey 2

J.Allen o35.5 Rush Yds-120

0.4u

BUF -2.5-120

S.Diggs o6.5 Recs-125

1.25u

Diggs is over this line in 3/3 - and was 2/3 last season vs Miami. Last two Bills games have been very positive gamescripts - expecting this one to stay closer. Plus, Bills still pass happy with a 64% pass play% in neutral game scripts (4th highest, and was at 61% last season). MIA does have some vulnerabilities with their rush defense, but this game profiles as a shootout. Dolphins also running a lot more zone coverage this season, but even if Diggs does get matched up with Xavien Howard, it’s a plus spot. Howard has allowed 16 catches on 22 targets this season.

BUF -3-105

$100.00

BUF -2.5-119

0.5u

BUF -2.5-120

0.83u

I’ve seen this movie before and the dolphin dies

Under 53.5-111

BUF -2.5-118

0.85u

I’m still evaluating, but on the surface I get a home team in a division game at less than a FG. Miami is the matrix rn, so may buy out at some point if I get more intel. Quickslip to FD https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.396836578&selectionId[0]=50203&shareBetId=10023_-443033149

BUF -2.5-113

Featured Insight
Dolphins RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 14.0% of 412 carries since the 2022 season -- tied for best in NFL. The Bills have allowed 10+ yards on 14.0% of carries to RBs since the 2022 season -- third-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
The Bills are averaging 5.2 yards per carry this season -- tied for third-best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed 4.7 yards per carry to RBs this season -- tied for ninth-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bills are 5-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Bills' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	9-5	4-2	5-3	7-3	2-2
Dolphins	5-9	2-5	3-4	3-5	2-4

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bills	9-5	5-1	4-4	8-2	1-3
Dolphins	6-8	5-2	1-6	5-3	1-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	11-3	N/A	N/A	9-1	2-2
Dolphins	6-8	N/A	N/A	5-3	1-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 24th	@WAS	W 37-3	-5.5 W	U 44	BUF -237
Sep 17th	LV	W 38-10	-7.5 W	O 46.5	BUF -355
Sep 12th	@NYJ	L 16-22	-2.5 L	U 44.5	NYJ -140
Aug 26th	@CHI	W 24-21	-3 L	O 37.5	BUF -186
Aug 19th	@PIT	L 15-27	-1 L	U 42.5	PIT -110

Jordan Phillips
DT
Phillips is out with wrist
Out
Rasul Douglas
CB
Douglas is out with knee
Out

Dawuane Smoot
DE
Smoot is questionable with wrist
Questionable
Taylor Rapp
S
Rapp is questionable with neck
Questionable
Damar Hamlin
S
Hamlin is questionable with back
Questionable
Quintin Morris
TE
Morris is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Baylon Spector
LB
Spector is questionable with calf
Questionable
Tylan Grable
OL
Grable is out with groin
Out

Kendall Lamm
T
Lamm is questionable with back
Questionable
Terron Armstead
T
Armstead is doubtful with knee
Doubtful
Tyus Bowser
OLB
Bowser is out with knee
Out
Bradley Chubb
LB
Chubb is questionable with knee
Questionable
Austin Jackson
OL
Jackson is out with knee
Out
Blake Ferguson
LS
Ferguson is questionable with illness
Questionable
Jaylen Waddle
WR
Waddle is questionable with knee
Questionable
Dee Eskridge
WR
Eskridge is out with knee
Out
Cameron Goode
LB
Goode is questionable with knee
Questionable
Kader Kohou
CB
Kohou is questionable with back
Questionable
Grant DuBose
WR
DuBose is questionable with shoulder
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Dolphins

Total

Bills

393

Total Yards

414

Total Plays

6.8

Yards Per Play

7.4

Dolphins

Passing

Bills

282

YDS

320

25/35

Comps/Atts

21/25

6.436

YPA

11.481

1/1

TDs/INTs

4/0

4/31

Sacks/Yards

2/10

Dolphins

Rushing

Bills

142

Rush Yards

104

Attempts

7.474

YPC

3.586

TDs

Dolphins

Turnovers

Bills

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Dolphins

Efficiency

Bills

3/4 75%

Redzone

5/6 83.33%

3/10 0%

3rd Down

5/10 0%

0/3 0%

4th Down

0/0 0%

Dolphins

First Downs

Bills

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Dolphins

Misc

Bills

8/98

Penalties/Yards

4/20

29:38

Possession

30:22

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MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins 6-8	o24.5-115	u24.5-115
Bills 11-3	o27.5+104	u27.5-126

Dolphins vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - October 1, 2023

Dolphins at Bills

Miami Dolphins

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Dolphins at Bills Odds

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Dolphins vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

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Dolphins vs. Bills Public Betting Percentages

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Public

Bills

Bets%

Money%

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Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

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Dolphins vs. Bills Odds Comparison

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