Dolphins vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - October 1, 2023

Dolphins at Bills

5:00 pm • CBS

Miami Dolphins

3-6

20 - 48

Buffalo Bills

8-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Dolphins 3-6	+3-110	o52.5-108	+125
Bills 8-2	-3-110	u52.5-112	-150

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 01, 2023

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park

BUF -2.5-120

0.67u

D.Kincaid o24.5 Rec Yds-119

J.Waddle Anytime TD Scorer+165

@charliedisturco

BUF -3-105

BUF -2.5-120

$250.00

BUF -2.5-112

Liked Buffalo all week at less than a FG, that’s where we got the contest line.

BUF -3-115

0.87u

Under 53-112

Over 53.5-105

0.95u

BUF -3-112

2.68u

BUF -2.5-120

BUF -2.5-125

$50.00

Tailing Sura

BUF -3-112

D.Kincaid o2.5 Recs-120

0.83u

J.Waddle Anytime TD Scorer+165

0.25u

J.Waddle u4.5 Recs-106

D.Kincaid o2.5 Recs-120

J.Waddle 70+ Receiving Yards+124

D.Kincaid 40+ Receiving Yards+194

J.Allen o34.5 Rush Yds-115

Every Team Every Game: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-4-preview-odds-picks-every-game-every-team

J.Allen 50+ Rushing Yards+220

0.5u

Every Team Every Game: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-4-preview-odds-picks-every-game-every-team

J.Waddle o59.5 Rec Yds-110

1.1u

All eyes on Tyreek and the explosive Dolphins offense that put up 70 points a week ago. But Jaylen was not there and is a vital piece to Miami’s vertical threat. No Poyer is a huge plus for Waddle as a deep threat over the top and he cleared concussion protocol, so is a full go. Number too low Waddle 2/2 to the over this season and had 100+ in 2 regular season games vs BUF last year

J.Waddle o58.5 Rec Yds-125

BUF -2.5-110

Simon Says

BUF -3-105

Stuckey 2

J.Allen o35.5 Rush Yds-120

0.4u

BUF -2.5-120

S.Diggs o6.5 Recs-125

1.25u

Diggs is over this line in 3/3 - and was 2/3 last season vs Miami. Last two Bills games have been very positive gamescripts - expecting this one to stay closer. Plus, Bills still pass happy with a 64% pass play% in neutral game scripts (4th highest, and was at 61% last season). MIA does have some vulnerabilities with their rush defense, but this game profiles as a shootout. Dolphins also running a lot more zone coverage this season, but even if Diggs does get matched up with Xavien Howard, it’s a plus spot. Howard has allowed 16 catches on 22 targets this season.

BUF -2.5-119

0.5u

BUF -2.5-120

0.83u

I’ve seen this movie before and the dolphin dies

Under 53.5-111

BUF -2.5-118

0.85u

I’m still evaluating, but on the surface I get a home team in a division game at less than a FG. Miami is the matrix rn, so may buy out at some point if I get more intel. Quickslip to FD https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.396836578&selectionId[0]=50203&shareBetId=10023_-443033149

BUF -2.5-113

Featured Insight
Dolphins RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 14.0% of 412 carries since the 2022 season -- tied for best in NFL. The Bills have allowed 10+ yards on 14.0% of carries to RBs since the 2022 season -- third-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
The Bills are averaging 5.2 yards per carry this season -- tied for third-best in NFL. The Dolphins have allowed 4.7 yards per carry to RBs this season -- tied for ninth-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

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NFL Public Betting

Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bills are 4-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Bills' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	6-4	2-2	4-2	5-2	1-2
Dolphins	3-6	0-4	3-2	1-4	2-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bills	6-4	4-0	2-4	6-1	0-3
Dolphins	3-6	2-2	1-4	2-3	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	8-2	N/A	N/A	7-0	1-2
Dolphins	3-6	N/A	N/A	2-3	1-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 24th	@WAS	W 37-3	-5.5 W	U 44	BUF -237
Sep 17th	LV	W 38-10	-7.5 W	O 46.5	BUF -355
Sep 12th	@NYJ	L 16-22	-2.5 L	U 44.5	NYJ -140
Aug 26th	@CHI	W 24-21	-3 L	O 37.5	BUF -186
Aug 19th	@PIT	L 15-27	-1 L	U 42.5	PIT -110

Jordan Phillips
DT
Phillips is out with wrist
Out

Amari Cooper
WR
Cooper is questionable with wrist
Questionable
Reggie Gilliam
FB
Gilliam is questionable with hip
Questionable
Baylon Spector
LB
Spector is questionable with calf
Questionable
Dalton Kincaid
TE
Kincaid is out with knee
Out
Keon Coleman
WR
Coleman is out with wrist
Out
DeWayne Carter
DT
Carter is out with wrist
Out

Alec Ingold
FB
Ingold is questionable with calf
Questionable
Austin Jackson
OL
Jackson is out with knee
Out
Patrick McMorris
DB
McMorris is questionable with calf
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Dolphins

Total

Bills

393

Total Yards

414

Total Plays

6.8

Yards Per Play

7.4

Dolphins

Passing

Bills

282

YDS

320

25/35

Comps/Atts

21/25

6.436

YPA

11.481

1/1

TDs/INTs

4/0

4/31

Sacks/Yards

2/10

Dolphins

Rushing

Bills

142

Rush Yards

104

Attempts

7.474

YPC

3.586

TDs

Dolphins

Turnovers

Bills

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Dolphins

Efficiency

Bills

3/4 75%

Redzone

5/6 83.33%

3/10 0%

3rd Down

5/10 0%

0/3 0%

4th Down

0/0 0%

Dolphins

First Downs

Bills

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Dolphins

Misc

Bills

8/98

Penalties/Yards

4/20

29:38

Possession

30:22

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MatchupOverUnder
Dolphins 3-6	o24.5-115	u24.5-115
Bills 8-2	o27.5+104	u27.5-126

Dolphins vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - October 1, 2023

Dolphins at Bills

Miami Dolphins

Buffalo Bills

Dolphins at Bills Odds

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Dolphins vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

How to Bet Every Game and Every Team in NFL Week 4

Dolphins vs. Bills: Beware of Miami Hype in AFC East Clash

2023 NFL Week 4 NFL BETTING PICKS & PLAYER PROPS! | NFL Picks & Predictions | Power Hour

Our Staff's 9 Best Bets at 1 p.m. ET

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Public

Bills

Bets%

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