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Commanders vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - October 15, 2023

Commanders at Falcons

5:00 pm • CBS

Washington Commanders

9-5
24
24 - 16

Atlanta Falcons

7-7
16

Commanders at Falcons Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Commanders
9-5
+1.5
+2-110
o41.5-110
+105
Falcons
7-7
u42.5
-2-110
u41.5-110
-125
location pinSunday 5:00 p.m.
October 15, 2023
Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta
Commanders vs. Falcons Expert Picks
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
430d ago
Last 30d: 93-109-2 (+11.7u)
ATL +200 (Live)
0.25u
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
Geoff aka OldManWhoBets
430d ago
Last 30d: 13-14-0 (-1.1u)
ATL -1.5-110
1u
FanDuel
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
430d ago
Last 30d: 8-8-0 (-1.6u)
S.Howell u238.5 Pass Yds-115
1u
READ IT: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-week-6-prop-picks-bets-john-metchie-sam-howell
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
430d ago
Last 30d: 20-24-3 (-5.4u)
WAS +1.5-110
0.91u
Over 42-110
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
430d ago
Last 30d: 273-244-7 (+3.3u)
WAS +105
0.79u
WAS +1.5-110
0.91u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
430d ago
Last 30d: 143-132-1 (+9.0u)
WAS +2-110
0.91u
Shitty mean dog bone kibble bacon on gritz
Milly Props
Milly Props
430d ago
Last 30d: 5-6-1 (-1.0u)
D.Ridder o26.5 Pass Att-115
0.87u
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
430d ago
Last 30d: 44-44-4 (-5.8u)
K.Pitts o32.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
430d ago
Last 30d: 174-201-6 (+13.3u)
WAS +105
1.05u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
431d ago
Last 30d: 46-69-0 (+21.5u)
D.Ridder o0.5 Int+152
1.52u
Would bet to +140
Ray Monohan
Ray Monohan
431d ago
Last 30d: 18-10-1 (+4.5u)
Over 42.5-108
0.75u
Sunday free play.
Raheem Palmer
Raheem Palmer
431d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
WAS +115 (1H)
1.15u
Desmond Ridder 0-9 ats 1h.
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
432d ago
Last 30d: 26-23-1 (-0.5u)
J.Dotson o30.5 Rec Yds-120
1.2u
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
433d ago
Last 30d: 64-86-2 (+5.4u)
D.London o43.5 Rec Yds-114
0.88u
Royals Props
Royals Props
433d ago
Last 30d: 54-61-1 (-13.7u)
B.Robinson o12.5 Longest Reception-125
1u
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
433d ago
Last 30d: 23-13-2 (+5.6u)
ATL -2.5-110
1.1u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
434d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
L.Thomas o3.5 Recs-109
1.09u
Over in 2/3 full games, with 8, 3 and 11 targets. Falcons allowing 7 receptions to TEs per game, which makes sense given the rest of their defense: their CBs (led by Terrell) have been very solid, and should be able to limit TMac, Dotson and Samuel. And their rush defense ranks 7th in DVOA. Thomas stands to be the beneficiary - and coming off a big volume game, I like that to carry forward.
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
434d ago
Last 30d: 93-109-2 (+11.7u)
ATL -2.5-110
1.1u
Nico Terpak
Nico Terpak
436d ago
Last 30d: 12-10-0 (+1.7u)
WAS +2.5-110
$100.00

PRO Insights

Commanders logo

Commanders

WAS Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Commanders logoCommanders TEs have 56.9 receiving yards per game since Week 16 of the 2022 Season -- 10th-best in NFL. The Falcons have averaged 57.4 receiving yards per game allowed to TEs since Week 16 of the 2022 Season -- 10th-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE
Falcons logo

Falcons

ATL Insights
  • Featured Insight
    Falcons logoThe Falcons have gone three and out on 12% of their drives in the fourth quarter this season -- tied for ninth-best in NFL. Commanders have forced three and outs on 11% of opponent drives in the 4th quarter this season -- tied for seventh-worst in NFL.
TRY FOR FREE

Commanders vs. Falcons Previews & Analysis

  • NFL Week 6 Odds, Bets for Every Game, Every Team article feature image

    NFL Week 6 Odds, Bets for Every Game, Every Team

    Brandon Anderson•
    Oct 15, 2023 UTC
  • Commanders vs Falcons: Sneaky Potential for Fireworks in Atlanta article feature image

    Commanders vs Falcons: Sneaky Potential for Fireworks in Atlanta

    Blake Krass•
    Oct 15, 2023 UTC
  • Action Network's NFL Week 6 Betting Primer (Sunday Update) article feature image

    Action Network's NFL Week 6 Betting Primer (Sunday Update)

    Evan Abrams•
    Oct 15, 2023 UTC
  • Gallant's Week 6 ATD Picks & Game Previews article feature image

    Gallant's Week 6 ATD Picks & Game Previews

    Gilles Gallant•
    Oct 15, 2023 UTC
See more NFL Coverage Right Arrow

Commanders vs. Falcons Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Commanders vs. Falcons Public Betting Percentages

Commanders

Public

Home Logo

Falcons

51%

Bets%

49%

Money%

NFL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Falcons are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
  • Falcons are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Falcons are 3-4 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Falcons' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Falcons' 7 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Falcons		5-92-53-44-51-4
Commanders		8-5-15-23-3-16-32-2-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Falcons		5-92-53-44-51-4
Commanders		9-54-35-25-44-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Falcons		7-7N/AN/A6-31-4
Commanders		9-5N/AN/A7-22-3

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Oct 8thHOUW 21-19-2.5 LU 42ATL -135
Oct 1st@JACL 7-23+3.5 LU 42.5JAC +154
Sep 24th@DETL 6-20+3.5 LU 47.5DET +134
Sep 17thGBW 25-24-3 LO 40ATL -154
Sep 10thCARW 24-10-3.5 WU 40.5ATL -186

Commanders vs. Falcons Injury Updates

Commanders Injuries

  • Zach Ertz
    TE

    Ertz is doubtful with concussion

    Doubtful

  • Tyler Ott
    LS

    Ott is questionable with illness

    Questionable

  • Jamison Crowder
    WR

    Crowder is questionable with calf

    Questionable

  • Cornelius Lucas
    T

    Lucas is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Nick Bellore
    LB

    Bellore is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Zane Gonzalez
    K

    Gonzalez is questionable with foot

    Questionable

  • Noah Brown
    WR

    Brown is out with knee

    Out

  • Austin Ekeler
    RB

    Ekeler is out with concussion

    Out

  • Daron Payne
    DT

    Payne is questionable with back

    Questionable

  • Greg Joseph
    K

    Joseph is out with abdomen

    Out

  • Austin Seibert
    K

    Seibert is out with hip

    Out

  • Colson Yankoff
    TE

    Yankoff is out with hamstring

    Out

Falcons Injuries

  • Mike Hughes
    CB

    Hughes is questionable with neck

    Questionable

  • James Smith-Williams
    DE

    Smith-Williams is out with tibia

    Out

  • Ta'Quon Graham
    DE

    Graham is out with pectoral

    Out

  • Troy Andersen
    LB

    Andersen is out with knee

    Out

  • Ruke Orhorhoro
    DT

    Orhorhoro is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Jase McClellan
    RB

    McClellan is out with knee

    Out

  • Casey Washington
    WR

    Washington is out with concussion

    Out

See more NFL Injuries Right Arrow
Team Stats

Total

193
Total Yards
402
50
Total Plays
79
3.9
Yards Per Play
5.1

Passing

151
YDS
307
14/23
Comps/Atts
28/47
4.321
YPA
5.92
3/0
TDs/INTs
2/3
5/30
Sacks/Yards
3/11

Rushing

72
Rush Yards
106
22
Attempts
29
3.273
YPC
3.655
0
TDs
0

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
0
0
Interceptions
3

Efficiency

2/3 66.67%
Redzone
2/3 66.67%
2/10 0%
3rd Down
5/15 0%
1/1 0%
4th Down
1/3 0%

First Downs

13
Total
25
9
Pass
18
3
Rush
5
1
Penalty
2

Misc

6/40
Penalties/Yards
4/31
23:37
Possession
36:23

Commanders vs. Falcons Odds Comparison

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Commanders at Falcons Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Commanders
9-5
o20.5-105
u20.5-119
Falcons
7-7
o21.5-103
u21.5-115