Colts vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - December 24, 2023

Colts at Falcons

6:00 pm • FOX

Indianapolis Colts

4-6

10 - 29

Atlanta Falcons

6-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Colts 4-6	+2.5	+2.5-102	o44.5-110	+130
Falcons 6-4	u44.5	-2.5-120	u44.5-110	-155

Sunday 6:00 p.m.

December 24, 2023

Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlanta

IND +5.5 (Live)-110

ATL -150

$96.67

ATL -3-105

2.86u

Over 44.5-110

Plums bet - going to the orchard today

Under 44.5-110

0.91u

B.Robinson o59.5 Rush Yds-110

If not now, when? Indy is 23rd in DVOA against the run and allow on average 103 ypg on 4 ypc Hopefully Bijan sees more than 10 carries … unless Arthur wants to lose

ATL -2.5-118

ATL -2.5-115

0.87u

IND +3-118

J.Taylor o2.5 Recs-150

J.Downs o3.5 Recs-128

0.78u

J.Downs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+255

0.5u

Tailing @charliedisturco. Pittman out.

J.Downs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+265

@charliedisturco

J.Downs Anytime TD Scorer Yes+260

0.5u

ATL -138

ATL -1-115

0.87u

@Stuckey2

ATL -2.5-120

$50.00

ATL -2.5-110

Foxhole

ATL -1-110

Stuckey 3

D.London o50.5 Rec Yds-125

2.5u

ATL -2.5-110

0.5u

ATL -2.5-110

0.45u

IND +1-112

ATL -1-108

0.56u

Under 44.5-115

0.87u

Available at FanDuel. The pace in this game is fast, so I understand why the total is low. But it's also two non-elite offenses (potentially both with backup quarterbacks), so it's tough for me to get above a key number of 44. The Falcons have been bad this year offensively, but they're even worse once you adjust for schedule. They're 21st in early-down passing efficiency straight up, but they fall to 26th when you account for opponents. Their rush defense has also been fantastic this year, potentially pushing the Colts to pass. That's good for pace, but they also may be less efficient than usual if Michael Pittman can't go following his injury on Saturday. Given the Colts' defense also hasn't been terrible this year, I'm fine taking the under despite the rapid pace in this one.

ATL +2.5-110

0.91u

Featured Insight
The Colts are 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 3 sacks this season -- T-9th-best in NFL. The Falcons have averaged 2.1 sacks per game over that time span -- T-4th-worst in NFL.

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Featured Insight
The Falcons have allowed a passer rating of 78.3 in the 4th quarter since Week 12 -- 9th-best in NFL. Colts QBs have a 70.4 passer rating in the fourth quarter since Week 12 -- 7th-worst in NFL.

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NFL Public Betting

Falcons are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Falcons are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Falcons are 3-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Falcons' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Falcons' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Falcons	5-5	2-4	3-1	4-4	1-1
Colts	7-3	4-1	3-2	2-1	5-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Falcons	4-6	2-4	2-2	4-4	0-2
Colts	4-6	3-2	1-4	0-3	4-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Falcons	6-4	N/A	N/A	5-3	1-1
Colts	4-6	N/A	N/A	2-1	2-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 17th	@CAR	L 7-9	-2.5 L	U 32.5	CAR -150
Dec 10th	TB	L 25-29	-2 L	O 41.5	TB -130
Dec 3rd	@NYJ	W 13-8	-2 W	U 33	ATL -130
Nov 26th	NO	W 24-15	+1.5 W	U 41.5	ATL +108
Nov 12th	@ARI	L 23-25	-2 L	O 43.5	ARI -125

Cameron McGrone
LB
McGrone is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Jaylon Carlies
DB
Carlies is out with knee
Out

Jakeem Grant
WR
Grant Sr. is out with knee
Out
Drew Dalman
OL
Dalman is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Ruke Orhorhoro
DT
Orhorhoro is out with ankle
Out
JD Bertrand
LB
Bertrand is out with concussion
Out

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Colts

Total

Falcons

262

Total Yards

406

Total Plays

3.9

Yards Per Play

6.3

Colts

Passing

Falcons

201

YDS

229

20/37

Comps/Atts

23/33

3.953

YPA

6.735

0/1

TDs/INTs

1/0

6/31

Sacks/Yards

1/0

Colts

Rushing

Falcons

Rush Yards

177

Attempts

3.68

YPC

5.9

TDs

Colts

Turnovers

Falcons

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Colts

Efficiency

Falcons

1/2 50%

Redzone

0/3 0%

5/14 0%

3rd Down

5/13 0%

1/3 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Colts

First Downs

Falcons

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Colts

Misc

Falcons

4/29

Penalties/Yards

4/35

30:36

Possession

29:24

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MatchupOverUnder
Colts 4-6	o20.5-118	u20.5-104
Falcons 6-4	o23.5-105	u23.5-110

Colts vs. Falcons Odds & Betting Predictions - December 24, 2023

Colts at Falcons

Indianapolis Colts

Atlanta Falcons

Colts at Falcons Odds

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Colts

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Colts vs. Falcons Previews & Analysis

Stuckey's NFL Week 16 Betting Card

Gallant's Anytime TD Picks & Previews for Week 16

Abrams' NFL Week 16 Betting Primer (Sunday Update)

Colts vs. Falcons: Atlanta Will Rebound at Home

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Falcons

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