VCU vs. Gaels Odds & Betting Predictions - March 17, 2023

VCU at Gaels

6:00 pm • TBS

VCU Rams

51

51 - 63

Saint Mary's Gaels

63

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
VCU 23-7	N/A	N/A	N/A
Gaels 27-4	N/A	N/A	N/A

location pin

Friday 6:00 p.m.

March 17, 2023

MVP ArenaAlbany

VCU +162

0.5u

VCU +4.5-110

2.2u

A.Ducas u1.5 Ast-110

1u

L.Johnson o2.5 Ast+100

1u

SMC -3.5 (Live)-115

1u

SMC -177

0.56u

SMC -179

0.56u

Under 123.5-110

0.91u

SMC -4-105

2u

SMC -4-110

1u

SMC -4-110

0.91u

VCU +4.5-110

1.1u

VCU +4-112

1u

#mattcox @threemandweave

SMC -4.5-107

$0.93

J.Watkins u9.5 Pts+100

1u

At FD: Watkins is on a bit of a "hot streak" scoring, but it should end here. For the year, he's averaged 9.6 ppg in 23.6 minutes played, and in conference play that dips to 9.0 in 22.2 minutes played. However, over his last eight he's averaged 10.4 in 24.3 minutes played. But there's a catch...VCU has scored an average of 77.9 points in those games. Against St. Mary's, their implied team total is just 59.3! That's in no small part thanks to the massive tempo-down and incredibly strong defense from St. Mary's. What's more, St. Mary's allows a MUCH lower than average rate of points to be score on them via the 3-pointer, and Watkins' scores higher than nat'l average points from 3. Have 7.9 points projected in 24 minutes played.

SMC -4.5-107

1u

SMC -190

1u

SMC -4.5-107

1u

L.Johnson u17.5 Pts-125

1u

Projection - 13.9: For more, check out BettingPros.

Under 56.5 (1H)-110

1.1u

it actually might be 22-20 at half

Under 57 (1H)-115

0.5u

1h unders usually a great play for these early tips. Mary's plays super slow and is tipping early, will feel like 11am local. Both great D but VCU relies on TOs and Mary's handles pressure so VCU may struggle to score. ncaa-history-purdue-kansas-alabama-houston-duke-ucla-texas-uconn-9cd5ddfea2e

over 5.5+300

VCU @ Saint Marys

$5.00

SMC -1.5 (1H)-122

0.61u

VCU u59.5-110

1u

L.Johnson u17.5 Pts-120

1u

Given out on pod

VCU +4.5-112

1.12u

Under 123.5-110

$36.36

VCU +5-110

1u

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See more NCAAB Coverage

VCU is the public's trendiest No. 12 seed upset pick, showing up in 35% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.

Since 2002, No. 5 seeds like Saint Mary's are 47-33 against No. 12 seeds like VCU in the First Round (58.8% win rate, breakeven moneyline -142).

No. 12 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 45-33-2 ATS (57.5% cover rate, average spread +5.3).

The No. 5 vs. No. 12 matchup has gone over the full game total 57.5% of the time (45-33-2, average over/under line 135.8).

No. 5 Saint Mary's has played in eight of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 5-8 straight up and 5-8 against the spread in 13 total games.

No. 12 VCU has played in 11 of the past 20 NCAA tournaments, going 9-11 straight up and 15-5 against the spread in 20 total games.

No props found

NCAAB Public Betting

Gaels are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Gaels are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Gaels are 6-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Gaels' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Gaels' 19 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Gaels	19-11	13-6	6-5	17-9	2-2
VCU	14-16	7-12	7-4	12-12	1-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Gaels	13-17	9-10	4-7	12-14	1-3
VCU	15-15	11-8	4-7	12-12	1-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Gaels	27-4	N/A	N/A	25-1	1-3
VCU	23-7	N/A	N/A	21-3	0-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 8th	GONZ	L 51-77	-	-	-
Mar 7th	BYU	W 76-69	-	-	-
Feb 26th	@GONZ	L 68-77	-	-	-
Feb 24th	PAC	W 83-52	-	-	-
Feb 19th	BYU	W 71-65	-	-	-

Kevin Gad
F
Gad is out with shoulder
Out

Obinnaya Okafor
F
Okafor is out with undisclosed
Out
Christian Fermin
F
Fermin is out with personal
Out

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18-49 (37%)

Field Goals

20-49 (41%)

10-16 (63%)

Free Throws

20-27 (74%)

5-14 (36%)

3P

3-17 (18%)

24

Rebounds

33

7

Assists

13

14

Turnovers

8

7

Steals

8

5

Blocks

6

20

Fouls

19

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MatchupOverUnder
VCU 23-7	N/A	N/A
Gaels 27-4	N/A	N/A