Spurs vs. Timberwolves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2026

Spurs at Timberwolves

1:30 am • Amazon Prime Video

San Antonio Spurs

4-2

139

139 - 109

Minnesota Timberwolves

2-4

109

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Spurs 4-2	-4.5	-5.5-114	o219-112	-225
Timberwolves 2-4	u217.5	+5.5-105	u219-108	+185

Saturday 1:30 a.m.

May 16, 2026

Target CenterMinneapolis

R.Gobert u17.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-125

Gobert's a -22 per 100 possessions in this series and the math isn't subtle. I don't think the Wolves have an answer for him. Wemby doesn't play like a traditional center, he lives on the perimeter where Rudy doesn't want to be, and he blows up everything Rudy normally does on offense. The screens get disrupted, the offensive boards get boxed out, the lobs get challenged. On the other end Castle is enough of a threat from three that Rudy can't lurk off him either. He had 9 PRA in 23 minutes last game and got pulled multiple times. Being that this is an elimination game, it is very important that Finch plays his best lineups, which means more Naz Reid at the five and less Gobert getting cooked in the drop. There's even a slight chance Naz starts. Bu even if Rudy starts, his minutes are getting compressed. I'm projecting 24-28 minutes tonight and likely enters the rotation to match Kornet minutes (very low), but Harper/Fox are still targeted him to move him out. The role is broken, his minutes are shrinking, his impact is negative. I don't see any upside. #PlayerProps

J.McDaniels o15.5 Pts-120

0.85u

J.Randle o3.5 Ast-112

1.12u

A.Edwards o26.5 Pts-105

1.05u

N.Reid o2.5 Ast+140

D.Fox o17.5 Pts+100

R.Gobert o6.5 Pts+110

MIN +190

0.1u

N.Reid o1.5 3pt M-160

0.34u

J.Randle u3.5 Ast+100

0.55u

Under 219.5-115

0.55u

SAS -5.5-115

0.96u

N.Reid o20.5 Pts+Rebs-105

J.Randle o23.5 Pts+Rebs+100

0.6u

#EV 4.82%

Under 219.5-115

D.Harper o14.5 Pts+Rebs-130

0.77u

D.Harper Double-Double Yes+2300

0.1u

Let’s get wild.

D.Harper To Score 15+ Points Yes+235

0.47u

D.Harper o10.5 Pts-136

0.74u

MIN +5-110

Join Discord. All picks posted before 8am https://discord.gg/HjKxYKdSUy

N.Reid o12.5 Pts-115

0.87u

N.Reid o12.5 Pts-120

0.42u

@JoeDellera ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/pmMSRZCea3b

D.Harper o14.5 Pts+Rebs-130

0.19u

@JoeDellera ⭐️ https://myaction.app/pmMSRZCea3b

V.Wembanyama To Record 15+ Rebounds Yes+145

0.5u

@BKPicks ⭐️⭐️ https://myaction.app/pmMSRZCea3b

V.Wembanyama o26.5 Pts-110

1.65u

J.McDaniels To Make 3+ Threes Yes+425

0.25u

J.McDaniels o1.5 3pt M+155

0.78u

MIN +5.5+102

D.Harper o14.5 Pts+Rebs-126

0.79u

The Spurs look to close out the series tonight against the Wolves and I’m targeting Harper here. There has been a lot of chatter about San Antonio wanting to give him more minutes, but even at his current average of 25 minutes per game—which is right in line with his season average—he is smashing this line. Harper has gone over this PR total in four of the five games this series. The specific angle I love here is the rebounding ceiling. His standard rebound line is 3.5, but it’s juiced a bit high for my liking, which is why I’m targeting the PR combo. Hi rebound log this series is great: 4, 7, 4, 7, and 10. He’s not just getting lucky; he’s active. Last game, he had 10 rebounds on 13 chances, and the game before that he had seven boards on nine chances. When we consider that Gobert is becoming less and less playable, this opens up the interior more as well. Harper has floor and ceiling in both points and rebounds, so combining them here is solid.

SAS +360

$3.60

#NOTE Spurs ‘4-2’ (Exact Series Score LIVE bet after losing G1

D.Fox o16.5 Pts-115

0.5u

J.Champagnie u5.5 Rebs-110

0.48u

#EV 3.82% FV -119

V.Wembanyama o13.5 Rebs-110

$1.10

V.Wembanyama o26.5 Pts-125

$1.25

A.Edwards o5.5 Rebs-120

0.6u

V.Wembanyama o14.5 Rebs+145

0.69u

SAS -2.5-150

$1.00

#Alt #GoSpurs 💥

MIN +4.5+104

SAS -182

$1.65

#GoSpurs 💥💥

SAS -4.5-115

$1.00

SAS -182

$1.00

D.Harper o10.5 Pts-114

J.McDaniels o20.5 Pts+Rebs-114

1.14u

Spurs vs Wolves Game 6: Can Anybody Stop Wemby?
Matt Moore•
May 15, 2026 UTC
NBA Milestone Props: +206 & +235 Picks for Friday
Bryan Fonseca•
May 15, 2026 UTC
Spurs vs Wolves: Dellera's +2400 Prop Bet for Game 6 Tonight
Joe Dellera•
May 15, 2026 UTC
Our 2 Sharp NBA Player Prop Picks for Friday
Ameer Tyree•
May 15, 2026 UTC

See more NBA Coverage

No props found

NBA Public Betting

Timberwolves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Timberwolves are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Timberwolves are 19-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Timberwolves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Timberwolves' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Timberwolves	37-45	18-23	19-22	26-34	11-11
Spurs	46-35-2	22-17-1	24-18-1	33-29-2	13-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Timberwolves	38-44	14-27	24-17	26-34	12-10
Spurs	36-46-1	18-22	18-24-1	29-34-1	7-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Timberwolves	6-6	N/A	N/A	41-19	8-14
Spurs	13-8	N/A	N/A	50-14	12-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 13th	@SAS	L 97-126	+10.5 L	O 218.5	SAS +325
May 10th	SAS	W 114-109	+5.5 W	O 218.5	MIN +165
May 9th	SAS	L 108-115	+5.5 L	O 216.5	SAS +180
May 7th	@SAS	L 95-133	+10.5 L	O 217.5	SAS +325
May 5th	@SAS	W 104-102	+10.5 W	U 218.5	MIN +325