Pacers vs. Hawks Odds & Betting Predictions - March 7, 2025

Playing for half a unit on UD at 37.5. No Haliburton or Mathurin and it’s a pace-up spot, but I feel this might be too high of a line. Projections in the industry have him around 37.5 PRA but I personally have him lower than this. RotoGrinders CourtIQ shows his rates without Haliburton see a small decline so I feel this might be an overaction despite this being a good spot for him.

Indiana and Atlanta both thrive in fast-paced, high-scoring games. Pacers average 116.6 PPG, Hawks 116.9 PPG—both top 10. Neither team defends well—Indiana allows 115.1 PPG, Atlanta 119.7 PPG (4th worst). Both squads shoot well: Pacers 49.2% FG, Hawks 46.5%. High tempo + weak defense = points. Recent trends scream Over. Pacers-Hawks matchups have hit the Over in 17 of the last 21 meetings, including 7-1 in Atlanta. Indiana’s last 5 games: 117.8 PPG, 52% FG, 42% from three. Atlanta’s last 5: 115.8 PPG, 49.6% FG. Both teams push transition and rank top 5 in points in the paint. Hawks’ home games trend high—Over is 51-24-1 in their last 76 at State Farm Arena. Trae Young (23.6 PPG, 11.5 APG) runs a high-paced offense, while Tyrese Haliburton (18.5 PPG, 8.9 APG) does the same for Indiana. Even without Mathurin, Indiana’s spacing + Atlanta’s defensive lapses = fireworks.

Best Bets: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-best-bets-today-predictions-picks-odds-for-thursday-march-6-qs