Bucks vs. Hawks Odds & Betting Predictions - March 5, 2025

Under looks strong in this one. Last 12 meetings in Atlanta? Under hit 9 times. Both teams are playing their second game in three nights—fatigue slows pace. Milwaukee’s defense is holding opponents to just 108.6 PPG over the last 5 games. Atlanta also struggles from deep at home (34.5% 3PT), limiting easy scoring runs. Pace and efficiency trends support the Under. Milwaukee allows just 45.2% FG to opponents (4th best in NBA). Atlanta, despite their high-scoring rep, plays slower at home—averaging just 111.2 PPG at State Farm Arena. Last matchup totaled 225 points despite 45/92 shooting from Atlanta—won’t get that efficiency again. Plus, Hawks’ bench scoring has dipped, adding to lower totals. Milwaukee's improved rebounding controls tempo. They’re grabbing 46.0 RPG, top 10 in the league, limiting second chances for Atlanta. Milwaukee also forces tough shots—opponents shoot just 34.9% from three. Hawks’ offense thrives in transition, but Bucks allow only 13 fast-break PPG. Slower game, tough defense—Under 237.5 is the play.