Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2024

Mavericks at Thunder

1:30 am • ESPN

Dallas Mavericks

4-2

119

119 - 110

Oklahoma City Thunder

2-4

110

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mavericks 4-2	+5-110	o217-110	+164
Thunder 2-4	-5-110	u217-110	-198

Friday 1:30 a.m.

May 10, 2024

Paycom CenterOklahoma City

K.Irving o13.5 Pts (Live)-135

OKC +300 (Live)

0.5u

SGA in to start 4th

DAL +168 (Live)

0.5u

K.Irving o1.5 3pt M (Live)-118

K.Irving o18.5 Pts (Live)-128

C.Holmgren u16.5 Pts-119

0.84u

J.Williams o3.5 Rebs+120

0.6u

J.Williams o6.5 Rebs+700

0.2u

K.Irving o29.5 Pts+290

0.25u

His line is 23.5. Strictly a gut play. For him to hit 5+ 3PT is around +260. In both playoff games where he had 5+ 3PT, he topped 30 points in both.

DAL o106.5 Team Total-110

1.82u

Playoffs have been a shit show so far let’s turn it around

L.Doncic o50.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+102

J.Green o5.5 Pts-105

0.52u

OKC -4.5-110

1.1u

OKC -4.5-110

Over 217.5-115

0.87u

OKC -180

1.8u

Pretty cheap price here

Under 112 (1H)-110

1.1u

D.Gafford o18.5 Pts+Rebs-111

0.5u

#Tailing @charliedisturco

OKC -4.5-110

1.1u

L.Doncic o31.5 Pts+100

$50.00

D.Gafford o18.5 Pts+Rebs-115

0.87u

Via Brian Matthews

A.Wiggins o10.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

0.91u

Under 218.5-110

DAL +5-110

$50.00

P.Washington o5.5 Rebs-115

L.Doncic o39.5 Pts+Rebs-120

1.2u

K.Irving o8.5 Rebs+Ast-125

D.Gafford o19.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

Gafford smashed this line in Game 1 with 16 points, 11 rebounds, and 1 assist in 27 minutes. In Game 2, where Dallas should still need the rebounding and interior offense he provides, he should continue to find success. When Gafford has played 20+ minutes, he has exceeded this line in 64% of games this season. In four games H2H against Chet, he has crushed with 15.8 points, 11 rebounds and 0.75 assists per game. In the 3 games with the Mavericks, he’s nearly cleared this on points alone with 19, 19, and 16 in the 3 games. Luka clearly did not look 100% last game and may be less active on the glass. Couple that with Gafford’s offensive ability and I expect him to smash again. I like Gafford to exceed 19.5 PRA and he’s also a good play to be the game’s leading rebounder (+380 FD).

DAL +170

$1.70

shot variance

P.Washington u20.5 Pts+5234

$1.00

PJ pts changed amount and odds

L.Doncic u40.5 Pts+Rebs-123

$1.63

$2 instead of $1, added FD

A.Wiggins o0.5 3pt M-130

0.77u

L.Doncic o9.5 Ast-135

OKC -5-110

Featured Insight
The Mavericks have shot 38% from three (144/377) in close and late situations this season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 39% from three in close and late situations this season -- 3rd-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Thunder have shot 50% (436/868) in close and late situations this season -- best in the NBA; the Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 49% in close and late situations this season -- T-3rd-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Thunder are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Thunder are 19-21 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Thunder' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Thunder' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	46-35-1	27-14	19-21-1	35-26	11-9-1
Mavericks	48-34	21-20	27-14	32-18	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Thunder	43-35-4	19-19-3	24-16-1	31-26-4	12-9
Mavericks	36-45-1	16-25	20-20-1	22-28	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	6-4	N/A	N/A	47-14	10-11
Mavericks	13-9	N/A	N/A	37-13	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 8th	DAL	W 117-95	-4.5 W	U 219	OKC -185
Apr 30th	@NOP	W 97-89	-5 W	U 208.5	OKC -194
Apr 27th	@NOP	W 106-85	-2 W	U 209.5	OKC -125
Apr 25th	NOP	W 124-92	-7.5 W	O 210.5	OKC -307
Apr 22nd	NOP	W 94-92	-9 L	U 216.5	OKC -382

Dante Exum
PG
Exum is out with wrist
Out
Jaden Hardy
PG
Hardy is out with ankle
Out

Jaylin Williams
SF
Williams is out with hamstring
Out
Chet Holmgren
C
Holmgren is out with hip
Out
Ousmane Dieng
SF
Dieng is out with finger
Out
Adam Flagler
PG
Flagler is out with hand
Out
Nikola Topic
PG
Topić is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Alex Ducas
PG
Ducas is out with back
Out

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scoring
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
33
ppg
rebounding
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
12
rpg
assists
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
8
apg
shooting
Cason Wallace
60
fg%

Mavericks

Thunder

42-91 (46%)

Field Goals

42-89 (47%)

17-24 (71%)

Free Throws

16-17 (94%)

18-37 (49%)

10-30 (33%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

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MatchupOverUnder
Mavericks 4-2	o106.5-110	u106.5-120
Thunder 2-4	o110.5-120	u110.5-110

Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2024

Mavericks at Thunder

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Public

Thunder

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