Tigers vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - October 2, 2024

Tigers at Astros

6:32 pm • ABC

Detroit Tigers

2-0

5 - 2

Houston Astros

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
H.Brown			1.59	0-0
T.Holton			9.53	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 2-0	+1.5	+1.5-142	o7.5-109	+150
Astros 0-2	u7.5	-1.5+120	u7.5-111	-180

Wednesday 6:32 p.m.

October 02, 2024

Daikin ParkHouston

Over 3.5 (F5)-130

#ProSystem Overs with wind postseason (F5) Overall: 154-86-7,64% (ROI:26%) Season:1-1-0,50% (ROI:-15%)

HOU -1.5+130

HOU -1.5+120

🔑 Astros -1.5 +120 (DraftKings) 2u I know I said the Tigers are a team of destiny but the Tigers throwing out a bullpen game in the playoffs on the road vs Houston?? I have to follow the logic here and I think the Astros come out STRONG. They almost came back yesterday and gave them a little momentum heading into today. Hunter Brown is legit. Sharp money coming in on Astros. Let’s go

H.Brown o15.5 Outs-110

1.82u

H.Brown o1.5 BB-135

0.74u

K.Tucker o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130

DET +150

1.5u

Under 7.5-105

0.95u

Over 7.5-102

Under 7.5-115

0.87u

Under 7.5-116

DET +155

1.55u

#ProSystem Fade the public in playoffs Overall: 162-123-0,57% (ROI:26%) Season:2-0-0,100% (ROI:124%)

DET u3.5 Team Total-140

1.4u

Sura

Under 4 (F5)-114

Collab w/ @JakeMLB41

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-145

0.34u

Under 7.5-112

H.Brown u1.5 Earned Runs-101

1.25u

Full breakdown on Player Prop Savant YouTube channel 63-47 14.67u

HOU -1-130

$1.30

HOU -166

2.49u

HOU -166

2.49u

DET +148

1.48u

Under 7.5-115

$13.04

K.Carpenter o0.5 HR+600

0.17u

K.Carpenter o1.5 Total Bases+170

0.29u

K.Tucker o0.5 HR+470

0.11u

K.Tucker o1.5 Total Bases+145

0.34u

H.Brown o4.5 Hits Allowed+135

0.37u

Under 7.5-110

1.82u

Under 7.5-105

0.5u

DET +149

1.49u

Under 7.5+100

0.5u

Bet to -110; assuming Olson for DET; like it with either Kikuchi or Brown for HOU

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Featured Insight
The Astros have allowed just 4.0 runs per game on the road since last season -- tied for third lowest in MLB (161 games). The Tigers have scored just 4.1 runs per game at home since last season -- tied for fourth lowest in MLB (162 games).

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The Tigers are 25-21 (.543) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .435.

Jeremy Pena has an OPS of just .701 since last season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Tyler Holton has allowed an OPS of just .517 (679 PAs) since last season -- third best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .195 (267 PA's) vs left-handed batters since last season -- best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 -- 100th Percentile.

Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .191 (278 PA's) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .308 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	82-80	37-44	45-36	43-60	39-18
Tigers	73-89	41-40	32-49	49-64	24-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	72-83-7	36-43-2	36-40-5	45-56-2	25-27-5
Tigers	83-72-7	41-35-5	42-37-2	58-49-6	24-22-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	16-23	46-35	41-40	56-47	31-26
Tigers	4-4	46-35	41-40	64-49	23-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 1st	DET	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 6.5	DET -142
Sep 28th	@CLE	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	HOU +135
Sep 27th	@CLE	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	HOU +102
Sep 25th	SEA	L 1-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	SEA +130
Sep 25th	SEA	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7	HOU -132

Reese Olson
SP
Olson is out with shoulder
Out
Jackson Jobe
SP
Jobe is out with elbow
Out
Trey Sweeney
SS
Sweeney is out with shoulder
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
SP
Gipson-Long is out with oblique
Out
Beau Brieske
RP
Brieske is out with groin
Out
Troy Melton
SP
Melton is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Holton, P	18	1	1	0
RB.Hanifee, P	34	1.2	2	0
LB.Hurter, P	29	1.2	0	0
RB.Brieske, P	14	1.2	1	0
RJ.Jobe, P	15	0.1	0	2
LS.Guenther, P	13	1.2	0	0
RW.Vest, P	7	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1P.Meadows, CF	1-5	1	1	1
2K.Carpenter, DH	1-4	1	0	0
2J.Malloy, PH	1-1	0	0	0
2J.Malloy, DH	1-1	0	0	0
3M.Vierling, RF	1-4	1	0	0
4R.Greene, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5C.Keith, 2B	0-2	1	0	0
6S.Torkelson, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
7Z.McKinstry, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
7A.Ibanez, PH	1-1	0	0	3
7A.Ibanez, 3B	1-1	0	0	3
8T.Sweeney, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RH.Brown, P	99	5.2	9	1
RB.Abreu, P	18	1.1	2	0
RR.Pressly, P	17	0.2	2	3
LJ.Hader, P	35	1.1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	0-3	0	1
2K.Tucker, RF	0-3	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	0-3	0	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	1-4	0	0
5Y.Diaz, C	1-4	0	0
6V.Caratini, 1B	0-2	1	0
7J.Pena, SS	1-3	1	0
8J.Heyward, LF	0-1	0	0
8M.Dubon, PH	2-3	0	0
8M.Dubon, LF	2-3	0	0
9C.McCormick, CF	0-2	0	0
9J.Singleton, PH	0-1	0	1
9J.Meyers, PR	0-0	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	0-0	0	0