Tigers vs Astros Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - October 1, 2024

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Valdez			6.23	0-1
T.Skubal			2.37	1-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 2-0	+1.5	+1.5-198	o6.5-120	+120
Astros 0-2	u6.5	-1.5+164	u6.5+101	-142

HOU +2.5 (Live)+114

1.5u

Under 8.5 (Live)-110

1u

Over 6.5-112

$1000.00

DET +105 (F5)

0.53u

F.Valdez o6.5 Ks+110

1u

DET +122

1.22u

Triple Crown on the mound at (+) money? Sign me up. 👑👑👑

Under 6.5-110

0.91u

T.Skubal o6.5 Ks+128

0.5u

FanDuel

DET +106 (F5)

0.53u

F.Valdez u6.5 Ks-132

0.38u

FanDuel

F.Valdez o6.5 Ks+120

1u

Over 6-115

1u

Under 3.5 (F5)-140

0.36u

HOU -142

0.5u

F.Valdez o6.5 Ks+110

1u

F.Valdez o6.5 Ks+110

1u

Sura

HOU -0.5 (F5)+120

1u

F.Valdez o17.5 Outs-110

1u

F. Valdez ⬆️ 17.5 Outs (-110 @ MGM)(+120 w/ 33% Boost) This doesn't look as cut and dry and the trends would tell you. Playoff baseball is a different beast and in a short series the hook can come out a lot quicker. You gotta like this spot for Framber though, who has been hot to close out the season and facing a weak and inexperienced playoff offense in game 1. Framber owns a 1.73 ERA in September and he faces an offense that ranks 25th in OPS vs LHP over L30. Not to mention Framber had always been better at home: 2024 Home ERA: 2.53 2024 Home WHIP: 1.05 2024 Away ERA: 3.36 2024 Away WHIP: 1.17 What you have to love about Framber is he's a good situational pitcher that can be efficient with his pitch count. Need a ground ball for a double play? He'll pitch for that. Need a K? He'll pitch for that. This Tigers team also hasn't been in the playoffs since 2014 🤯. A majority of their roster does not have any playoff experience, so a slow start to the series and nerves can be expected. Framber has always performed well against DET too. Here are his last 3 starts against them saying back to last season: 5/10: 7 IP, 6 HA, 2 ER, 2 BB, 4 K's 8/25/23: 7 IP, 0 HA, 0 ER, 5 BB, 6 K's 4/4/24: 7 IP, 8 HA, 2 ER, 1 BB, 9 K's So he's gone 7 in all of those outings and generally pitched well. This is not a gimme given the situation, but I still think there's value here for a hot pitcher at home.

DET +135

1.35u

Sandy

DET +135

1.35u

DET +130

1.3u

@CamIsMoney18 tail

DET +130

1.3u

Johnny

DET +130

3.9u

DET +133

1.33u

HOU -142

3.55u

DET +129

3.87u

Bettingqueeen

DET +129

2.58u

Bettingqueeen

HOU -113

1u

33% boost

Under 6.5-119

0.84u

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Featured Insight
Astros right-handed hitters have struck out just 18% against LHP since last season -- tied for second lowest in MLB. Tigers RPs have a strikeout rate of just 21% vs right-handed batters since last season -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Tigers are 25-21 (.543) after a loss as underdogs this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .435.

Jeremy Pena is slugging just .388 since last season -- tied for 14th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Tarik Skubal has allowed a SLG of just .320 vs right-handed batters since last season -- 10th best among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Jeremy Pena has an OPS of just .707 since the 2022 season -- seventh worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Tyler Holton has allowed an OPS of just .523 (717 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .111 (46-for-416) against Tarik Skubal with two-strikes this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .163 -- 98th Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .159 (441 PA's) with two-strikes this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Astros are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Astros are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Astros are 41-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Astros' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Astros' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19
Tigers	87-75	39-42	48-33	27-39	60-36

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24
Tigers	79-78-5	36-43-2	43-35-3	31-32-3	48-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Astros	0-2	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22
Tigers	4-3	43-38	43-38	38-28	48-48

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 28th	@CLE	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	HOU +135
Sep 27th	@CLE	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	HOU +102
Sep 25th	SEA	L 1-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	SEA +130
Sep 25th	SEA	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7	HOU -132
Sep 24th	SEA	L 1-6	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SEA -130

Lance McCullers
SP
Lance McCullers (foot) has been scratched Monday. Ryan Gusto will start for the Astros.
Out
Taylor Trammell
LF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
SP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
SP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
RF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
SP
France is out with shoulder
Out
Hayden Wesneski
RP
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out
Spencer Arrighetti
SP
Arrighetti is out with thumb
Out

Alex Cobb
SP
Cobb is out with hip
Out
Matt Vierling
CF
Vierling is out with shoulder
Out
Jose Urquidy
SP
Urquidy is out with arm
Out
Ty Madden
SP
Madden is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Skubal, P	88	6	6	0
RW.Vest, P	24	1.2	4	0
LT.Holton, P	2	0.1	0	0
RJ.Foley, P	17	0.1	0	1
RB.Brieske, P	17	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Vierling, 3B	1-4	0	1
2J.Malloy, DH	1-2	0	0
2K.Carpenter, PH	0-2	0	0
2K.Carpenter, DH	0-2	0	0
3R.Greene, LF	1-5	0	0
4A.Ibanez, 2B	1-2	0	0
4C.Keith, PH	0-1	0	0
4C.Keith, 2B	0-1	0	0
4Z.McKinstry, 2B	0-0	0	0
5W.Perez, RF	2-5	1	0
6S.Torkelson, 1B	0-2	0	0
7P.Meadows, CF	1-4	1	0
8J.Rogers, C	2-4	1	1
9T.Sweeney, SS	1-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LF.Valdez, P	78	4.1	3	3
RH.Neris, P	16	0.2	2	0
LB.King, P	12	0.2	1	0
RR.Blanco, P	50	2	4	0
LC.Ferguson, P	1	0.1	0	0
LJ.Hader, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	1-4	0	0
2K.Tucker, RF	0-4	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	2-4	0	0
3Z.Dezenzo, PR	0-0	1	0
4A.Bregman, 3B	2-4	0	0
5Y.Diaz, C	1-3	0	1
6J.Pena, SS	0-3	0	0
7V.Caratini, 1B	1-4	0	0
8M.Dubon, LF	0-2	0	0
8J.Singleton, PH	0-1	0	0
8C.McCormick, LF	0-0	0	0
8C.McCormick, CF	0-0	0	0
9J.Meyers, CF	0-2	0	0
9J.Heyward, PH	0-2	0	0
9J.Heyward, LF	0-2	0	0

MatchupOverUnder
Tigers 2-0	o2.5-154	u2.5+120
Astros 0-2	o3.5+100	u3.5-130

Tigers vs. Astros Odds & Betting Predictions - October 1, 2024

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