Rockies vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - April 24, 2023

Rockies at Guardians

10:10 pm • BSGL

Colorado Rockies

0-0

6 - 0

Cleveland Guardians

4-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Quantrill			5.24	4-7
A.Gomber			5.50	9-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rockies 0-0	+1.5-125	o8-110	+170
Guardians 4-6	-1.5+105	u8-110	-200

Monday 10:10 p.m.

April 24, 2023

Progressive FieldCleveland

CLE -1.5+110

R.McMahon o1.5 Total Bases+165

0.5u

Correct entry. Aaaand he scratched lol

CLE -0.5 (F5)-135

$100.00

J.Bell o1.5 Total Bases+123

0.5u

Bell is 3-for-7 career vs Gomber Preferred split vs LHP:.276/.357/.459 with 17 XBH in 50 hits last year. I hitting .318 with 5 XBH in 7 hits (22 ABs) this season

A.Rosario o1.5 Total Bases+110

0.5u

Rosario is 2-for-3 w a HR vs Gomber who is a pitcher to fade all year. Bottom 5% in xBA & xSLG and has just a 14.3 K% (his BB% is 10.7). Disastrous left-handed going Rosario is in his preferred split. Vs LHP last year he slashed .295/.333/.796 with 16 XBH in 44 hits

C.Quantrill u4.5 Ks+102

1.02u

Always have to be careful betting on the Rockies to go under a K prop on the road (their K rate is always going to be much higher away from Coors), but even after factoring that in I’m still showing a ton of value on the under. Quantrill has stayed under this number in all 4 starts thanks to a laughable 5.7% swinging strike rate. He seems to be going all-in as an extreme contact pitcher by throwing his sinker at a higher rate (in place of his cutter) this year. Projecting this closer to -150

C.Blackmon o0.5 Total Bases-178

0.89u

Under 8.5-110

0.5u

Bet to -120 or 8 (-101)

CLE -184 (F5)

0.92u

Bet to -192

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The Guardians are 20-19 (.513) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The Rockies are just 42-24 (.636) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.

Jose Ramirez has struck out in just 11% of PA's this season -- tied for 11th lowest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 14% this season -- tied for 12th lowest among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP-- eighth Percentile.

Jose Ramirez is slugging .509 since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Austin Gomber has allowed a SLG of .553 vs right-handed batters since last season -- second worst among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP-- first Percentile.

Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (40 Total Bases / 48 ABs) on low fastballs since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .428 -- first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (26/171) against Cal Quantrill this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .479 (23-for-48) against Austin Gomber on low fastballs since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: .275 -- 0 Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 9% (2 SO in 23 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% -- third Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27
Rockies	80-82	43-38	37-44	3-2	77-80

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4
Rockies	80-80-2	37-43-1	43-37-1	3-2	77-78-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	92-69	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33
Rockies	61-101	37-44	24-57	3-2	58-99

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 23rd	MIA	W 7-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -124
Apr 23rd	MIA	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -140
Apr 22nd	MIA	L 1-6	-1.5 L	U 8	MIA -137
Apr 19th	@DET	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE -142
Apr 18th	@DET	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8.5	DET -134

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Antonio Senzatela
P
Senzatela is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Brendan Rodgers
IF
Brendan Rodgers has been scratched Saturday.
Out
Brenton Doyle
OF
Brenton Doyle has been Scratched Friday
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LA.Gomber, P	83	5	3
RJ.Bird, P	15	2	1
RP.Johnson, P	16	1	1
RJ.Lawrence, P	5	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Blackmon, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Profar, LF	2-5	1	1	3
3K.Bryant, RF	2-4	0	0	0
4C. Cron, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
5E.Diaz, C	1-4	1	0	0
6M. Moustakas, 3B	3-4	2	0	0
7A.Trejo, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
8B.Doyle, CF	0-3	1	0	0
9E.Tovar, SS	1-4	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Quantrill, P	80	3.1	2	5
RN.Sandlin, P	6	0.2	2	0
LT.Herrin, P	31	1.2	2	1
RX.Curry, P	52	3.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	3-4	0	0	0
2A.Rosario, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Bell, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Gimenez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
6O. González, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6W.Brennan, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Naylor, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
8M. Zunino, C	0-2	0	0	0
8M. Viloria, C	0-0	0	0	0
9M.Straw, CF	1-3	0	0	0