Rays vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 26, 2025

Rays at Royals

6:10 pm • FDSSUN
4 - 0
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Michael Lorenzen logoM.LorenzenKansas City Royals logo4.615-8
Shane Baz logoS.BazTampa Bay Rays logo4.618-7

Rays at Royals Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays
54-56
-1.5
-1.5+126
o10-115
-124
Royals
54-55
u10
+1.5-152
u10-105
+105
location pinThursday 6:10 p.m.
June 26, 2025
Kauffman StadiumKansas City
Rays vs. Royals Expert Picks
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 72-71-3 (-11.9u)
KC +105
1u
Greg DiNardo
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 2-2-0 (-1.8u)
Over 10-115
1.15u
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 95-73-1 (+9.2u)
TB -120
1u
CeeJ Sports
CeeJ Sports
Last 30d: 23-18-0 (+1.2u)
TB -113
0.88u
Take on Novig for the best price across all books. If you don't have Novig yet, I HIGHLY recommend you add it to your books and use my code "CEEJ" to get some free money on your first deposit! Really good price here for the Rays, who are on a 5-game winning streak on the road, and already won back-to-back games in this series, 3-0 and 5-1. Lorenzen will be on the bump for KC, who holds an ERA of 4.81 and is 4-7 this season. Lorenzen's pitch mix is friendly to the Rays lineup with 5 guys with a wOBA above .350 in the lineup today. KC is also on a 9 game losing streak at home, and I don't see that changing here with the hot bats of the Rays. For the Rays, Shane Baz is on the mound, and despite holding a 4.79 ERA, this Rays team loves to give him run support, boosting his record to 7-3 on the year. In 4 of his last 5 starts, he has had the Rays offense produce 9+ runs, with a high of 14 in his last outing vs the Tigers. Backing the hot team at a good price here.
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 44-51-1 (-6.5u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)+105
1.05u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 45-39-2 (-1.0u)
Under 5.5 (F5)-120
0.42u
There is good hitting weather with winds blowing out so I get why this is at 5.5, but I have this projected closer to 4.5 so like the under here. Both starting pitchers have outperformed their surface metrics. Shane Baz has a 4.79 ERA but a 4.12 xERA. He’s struggled with home runs this season (1.52 HR/9) but Royals have hit the second fewest HRs and are sitting Salvador Perez today, which should help us. On the other side, Michael Lorenzen has also outperformed his 4.81 ERA with a 4.23 xERA.
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 91-76-2 (+23.9u)
Under 10-104
1u
Cam Is Money
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 115-126-1 (+0.3u)
Under 10-104
0.96u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 60-73-2 (-31.8u)
B.Witt o0.5 HR+325
3u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 10-110
1u
Run around the bases
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 187-204-5 (-23.9u)
S.Baz o5.5 Hits Allowed-115
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 166-166-6 (-18.7u)
Under 10-110
1u
Under when home team shutout Overall: 590-446-50,57% (ROI:10%) Season:31-15-1,67% (ROI:29%)
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 187-204-5 (-23.9u)
KC +115
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 137-146-10 (+5.7u)
Over 10-106
0.53u
Bet to -112
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 76-73-7 (+16.9u)
KC +104
1u
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Rays vs. Royals Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Rays vs. Royals Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Rays

Public

73%

Bets%

27%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Royals
58-5126-3032-2120-2437-27
Rays
51-5923-3628-2320-3330-25

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Royals
44-64-121-3523-29-119-2525-38-1
Rays
44-61-524-32-320-29-220-30-323-30-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Royals
54-5528-2826-2724-2029-35
Rays
54-5631-2823-2830-2323-32

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jun 25thTBL 0-3+1.5 LU 9TB +109
Jun 24thTBL 1-5-1.5 LU 8.5TB -146
Jun 22nd@SDL 2-3-1.5 LU 8.5SD +104
Jun 21st@SDL 1-5+1.5 LU 7.5SD +128
Jun 21st@SDW 6-5+1.5 WO 8KC +140

Rays vs. Royals Injury Updates

Rays Injuries

  • Alex Faedo
    RP

    Faedo is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Shane McClanahan
    SP

    McClanahan is out with triceps

    Out

  • Richie Palacios
    LF

    Palacios is out with knee

    Out

Royals Injuries

  • Michael Lorenzen
    SP

    Michael Lorenzen (illness) has been scratched, Angel Zerpa will start Saturday,

    Out

  • Kyle Wright
    SP

    Wright is out with shoulder

    Out

Rays vs. Royals Box Score
Rays Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Shane Baz logoRS.Baz, P97890
Paul Gervase logoRP.Gervase, P80.100
Pete Fairbanks logoRP.Fairbanks, P40.200
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Yandy Diaz logo1Y.Diaz, DH0-3000
Brandon Lowe logo2B.Lowe, 2B1-4111
Junior Caminero logo3J.Caminero, 3B1-4111
Jonathan Aranda logo4J.Aranda, 1B1-4100
Jake Mangum logo5J.Mangum, LF1-4101
Josh Lowe logo6J.Lowe, RF3-4001
Matt Thaiss logo7M.Thaiss, C0-4000
Taylor Walls logo8T.Walls, SS1-4000
Chandler Simpson logo9C.Simpson, CF1-4000
Royals Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Michael Lorenzen logoRM.Lorenzen, P815.244
Angel Zerpa logoLA.Zerpa, P50.110
John Schreiber logoRJ.Schreiber, P25100
Carlos Estevez logoRC.Estevez, P14120
Sam Long logoLS.Long, P9100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jonathan India logo1J.India, 2B2-4000
Bobby Witt logo2B.Witt, SS0-4000
Vinnie Pasquantino logo3V.Pasquantino, 1B2-4000
Maikel Garcia logo4M.Garcia, 3B1-4000
Nick Loftin logo5N.Loftin, LF0-3000
Jac Caglianone logo6J.Caglianone, RF0-3000
Mark Canha logo7M.Canha, DH0-3000
Freddy Fermin logo8F.Fermin, C0-2000
Drew Waters logo9D.Waters, CF0-3000

Rays vs. Royals Odds Comparison

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Rays at Royals Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Rays
54-56
o5.5+103
u5.5-132
Royals
54-55
o4.5-120
u4.5-108