Rays vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - June 26, 2025

Take on Novig for the best price across all books. If you don't have Novig yet, I HIGHLY recommend you add it to your books and use my code "CEEJ" to get some free money on your first deposit! Really good price here for the Rays, who are on a 5-game winning streak on the road, and already won back-to-back games in this series, 3-0 and 5-1. Lorenzen will be on the bump for KC, who holds an ERA of 4.81 and is 4-7 this season. Lorenzen's pitch mix is friendly to the Rays lineup with 5 guys with a wOBA above .350 in the lineup today. KC is also on a 9 game losing streak at home, and I don't see that changing here with the hot bats of the Rays. For the Rays, Shane Baz is on the mound, and despite holding a 4.79 ERA, this Rays team loves to give him run support, boosting his record to 7-3 on the year. In 4 of his last 5 starts, he has had the Rays offense produce 9+ runs, with a high of 14 in his last outing vs the Tigers. Backing the hot team at a good price here.

There is good hitting weather with winds blowing out so I get why this is at 5.5, but I have this projected closer to 4.5 so like the under here. Both starting pitchers have outperformed their surface metrics. Shane Baz has a 4.79 ERA but a 4.12 xERA. He’s struggled with home runs this season (1.52 HR/9) but Royals have hit the second fewest HRs and are sitting Salvador Perez today, which should help us. On the other side, Michael Lorenzen has also outperformed his 4.81 ERA with a 4.23 xERA.

Run around the bases

Bet to -112

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