Giants vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - July 3, 2024

Giants at Braves

11:20 pm • NBCS-BA

San Francisco Giants

5-8

1 - 3

Atlanta Braves

8-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sale			2.38	18-3
J.Hicks			4.10	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 5-8	+1.5-120	o7.5-115	+174
Braves 8-5	-1.5+100	u7.5-105	-209

Wednesday 11:20 p.m.

July 03, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Under 8-115

0.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-140

$500.00

ATL -1.5+105

$2.10

Over 7.5-105

1.05u

J.Hicks o4.5 Ks-136

1.84u

Under 8-112

0.5u

Bet to -116 or 7.5 (+102)

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

-120 Caesars

C.Sale o17.5 Outs-155

0.65u

Under 8-112

0.71u

C.Sale o17.5 Outs-165

0.61u

C.Sale o7.5 Ks-115

SF +170

1.5u

Sale has been significantly better than Hicks despite the latter's two point Stuff+ edge - SFG large defensive edge - ATL 109/95/77 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, SFG 102/121/123

Under 8-105

0.95u

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 58% of their games on the road since last season -- third best in MLB. Giants have won just 41% of their games on the road since last season -- fifth worst.

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The Braves are 17-78 (.179) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Matt Chapman has struck out in 27% of PA's since the 2022 season -- eighth highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Pierce Johnson has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- tied for 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game over the last 14 days -- tied for best among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

17 of Chris Sale's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season -- most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 4-3 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Braves' 6 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	8-5	4-2	4-3	7-3	1-2
Giants	4-9	3-7	1-2	1-2	3-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	5-8	0-6	5-2	4-6	1-2
Giants	5-6-2	4-5-1	1-1-1	2-1	3-5-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	8-5	4-2	4-3	7-3	1-2
Giants	5-8	3-7	2-1	1-2	4-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 2nd	SF	L 3-5	-1.5 L	U 8	SF -198
Jun 30th	PIT	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 9	PIT -198
Jun 29th	PIT	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL -142
Jun 28th	PIT	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -218
Jun 27th	@CWS	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8	CWS -285

Hayden Birdsong
SP
Birdsong is out with arm
Out

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Sean Murphy
C
Murphy is out with hip
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with finger
Out
Spencer Strider
SP
Strider is out with oblique
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Hicks, P	89	5	6	3
RL.Jackson, P	17	1	1	0
RS.Hjelle, P	27	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Soler, DH	1-4	1	0
2A.Slater, RF	0-3	0	0
2M.Conforto, PH	0-1	0	0
2M.Conforto, LF	0-1	0	0
3H.Ramos, CF	0-3	0	0
4M.Chapman, 3B	2-3	0	1
5L.Matos, LF	0-4	0	0
5L.Matos, RF	0-4	0	0
6D.Villar, 1B	0-3	0	0
6B.Wisely, 2B	0-1	0	0
7N.Ahmed, SS	0-3	0	0
8C.Casali, C	1-3	0	0
9T.Fitzgerald, 2B	0-2	0	0
9L.Wade, PH	0-1	0	0
9L.Wade, 1B	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	103	6	9	1
LA.Minter, P	10	1	1	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	10	1	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	16	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	0-4	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-3	1	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	1	0
5A.Riley, 3B	2-4	1	2
6T.d'Arnaud, C	2-4	0	0
7A.Duvall, RF	3-4	0	1
8F.Wall, LF	0-3	0	0
9Z.Short, SS	0-3	0	0