Pirates vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2024

Pirates at Braves

8:10 pm • BSSE

Pittsburgh Pirates

34-50

1 - 2

Atlanta Braves

38-44

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Fried			3.25	11-10
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 34-50	+1.5-185	o7.5+100	+120
Braves 38-44	-1.5+154	u7.5-120	-142

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

June 29, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Over 7.5-101

1.01u

Under 7.5-114

ATL -1.5+154

PIT +130

Under 7.5-110

0.91u

Over 7.5-110

Under 4.5 (F5)-148

0.25u

Small to -160 or 4 (-118)

Under 8-115

0.25u

Small to 7.5 (-105)

PIT +130 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +115

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 58% of their games on the road since the 2022 season -- third best in MLB. Pirates have won just 42% of their games on the road since the 2022 season -- fifth worst.

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The Braves are 17-73 (.189) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Matt Olson has an OPS of .915 since last season -- 11th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Josh Fleming has allowed an OPS of .798 (333 PAs) since last season -- 13th worst among qualified RPs-- seventh Percentile.

Austin Riley has an OPS of .849 since the 2022 season -- 15th best in MLB-- 87th Percentile. Josh Fleming has allowed an OPS of .846 (502 PAs) since the 2022 season -- worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .440 (273 PA's) against right-handed batters this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .661 -- 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 34% (61 SO in 181 PAs) this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 98th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has struck out 40% (20/50) of right-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 17-26 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Braves' 39 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	36-46	19-20	17-26	27-37	9-9
Pirates	42-42	24-19	18-23	8-16	32-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	32-45-5	13-23-3	19-22-2	26-35-3	6-10-2
Pirates	34-45-5	19-21-3	15-24-2	9-15	24-29-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	38-44	23-16	15-28	34-30	4-14
Pirates	34-50	22-21	12-29	10-14	23-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	PIT	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -218
Jun 27th	@CWS	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8	CWS -285
Jun 26th	@STL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	STL -120
Jun 26th	@STL	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	ATL -125
Jun 24th	@STL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	STL -130

Chris Sale
SP
Sale is out with ribs
Out
Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Nacho Alvarez
SS
Alvarez is out with wrist
Out

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Endy Rodriguez
1B
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
SS
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Skenes, P	102	6	9	1
RC.Mlodzinski, P	17	1	0	0
RC.Holderman, P	11	1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	24	1	2	0
RK.Nicolas, P	2	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-5	0	0
3C.Joe, 1B	1-2	0	0
3O.Cruz, PH	0-1	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	0-1	0	0
4E.Olivares, RF	1-3	0	1
5N.Gonzales, 2B	0-4	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	0	0
7J.Triolo, SS	0-3	0	0
7J.Triolo, 1B	0-3	0	0
7R.Tellez, PH	0-1	0	0
7R.Tellez, 1B	0-1	0	0
8Y.Grandal, C	1-4	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	1	0
9J.Suwinski, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Suwinski, CF	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	103	6	4	1
RP.Johnson, P	9	1	2	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	30	1	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	19	1	2	0
RD.Hernandez, P	6	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	2-3	1	1	1
2O.Albies, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Riley, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	0	0
7F.Wall, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7S.Murphy, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7L.Williams, LF	0-0	1	0	0
8A.Duvall, RF	1-4	0	0	1
9O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	0	0