Pirates vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2024

Pirates at Braves

8:10 pm • BSSE

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

1 - 2

Atlanta Braves

39-19

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Fried			3.25	11-10
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 30-28	+1.5-185	o7.5+100	+120
Braves 39-19	-1.5+154	u7.5-120	-142

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

June 29, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Over 7.5-101

1.01u

Under 7.5-110

$1.00

PIT +0.5 (F5)-140

1.5u

Under 7.5-114

ATL -1.5+154

PIT +130

P.Skenes o17.5 Outs-115

0.87u

P.Skenes o7.5 Ks+110

Under 7.5-110

0.91u

Under 7.5-105

$23.81

Over 7.5-110

Under 8-115

0.25u

Small to 7.5 (-105)

Under 4.5 (F5)-148

0.25u

Small to -160 or 4 (-118)

PIT +130 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +115

PIT +145

0.5u

PIT +130 (F5)

0.5u

Under 4.5 (F5)-135

See PIT F5 + both offenses are fifth worst in the league against each pitcher's best pitch (via Pitching Bot grade) (Skenes spitter & Fried curveball).

PIT +124 (F5)

1.5u

Skenes 2.43 SIERA/2.64 xERA, Fried 3.45/3.34 - ATL 110/95/82 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, PIT 90/95/86

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Featured Insight
Braves have won 58% of their games on the road since the 2022 season -- third best in MLB. Pirates have won just 42% of their games on the road since the 2022 season -- fifth worst.

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Pirates vs. Braves: Over/Under Bet Skenes-Fried Duel
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The Braves are 17-73 (.189) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Matt Olson has an OPS of .915 since last season -- 11th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Josh Fleming has allowed an OPS of .798 (333 PAs) since last season -- 13th worst among qualified RPs-- seventh Percentile.

Austin Riley has an OPS of .849 since the 2022 season -- 15th best in MLB-- 87th Percentile. Josh Fleming has allowed an OPS of .846 (502 PAs) since the 2022 season -- worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an OPS of just .440 (273 PA's) against right-handed batters this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .661 -- 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 34% (61 SO in 181 PAs) this season -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 98th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has struck out 40% (20/50) of right-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 22-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Braves' 27 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	37-21	15-12	22-9	29-14	8-7
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	27-27-4	7-18-2	20-9-2	22-18-3	5-9-1
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	39-19	17-10	22-9	31-12	8-7
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	PIT	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -218
Jun 27th	@CWS	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8	CWS -285
Jun 26th	@STL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	STL -120
Jun 26th	@STL	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	ATL -125
Jun 24th	@STL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	STL -130

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Skenes, P	102	6	9	1
RC.Mlodzinski, P	17	1	0	0
RC.Holderman, P	11	1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	24	1	2	0
RK.Nicolas, P	2	0	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-5	0	0
3C.Joe, 1B	1-2	0	0
3O.Cruz, PH	0-1	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	0-1	0	0
4E.Olivares, RF	1-3	0	1
5N.Gonzales, 2B	0-4	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	0	0
7J.Triolo, SS	0-3	0	0
7J.Triolo, 1B	0-3	0	0
7R.Tellez, PH	0-1	0	0
7R.Tellez, 1B	0-1	0	0
8Y.Grandal, C	1-4	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-3	1	0
9J.Suwinski, PH	0-1	0	0
9J.Suwinski, CF	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	103	6	4	1
RP.Johnson, P	9	1	2	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	30	1	1	0
RR.Iglesias, P	19	1	2	0
RD.Hernandez, P	6	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	2-3	1	1	1
2O.Albies, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5A.Riley, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
6T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	0	0
7F.Wall, LF	0-3	0	0	0
7S.Murphy, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7L.Williams, LF	0-0	1	0	0
8A.Duvall, RF	1-4	0	0	1
9O.Arcia, SS	1-3	0	0	0