Pirates vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - June 30, 2024

Pirates at Braves

3:35 pm • Roku

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

4 - 2

Atlanta Braves

39-19

pitcher		team	era	w-l
S.Schwellenbach			3.35	8-7
B.Falter			4.43	8-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 30-28	+1.5-122	o9-109	+164
Braves 39-19	-1.5+102	u9-111	-198

Sunday 3:35 p.m.

June 30, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

B.Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases+100

S.Schwellenbach o4.5 Ks-143

0.7u

PIT +1.5-125

0.8u

Under 9.5-115

0.87u

PIT +1.5-130

0.77u

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Featured Insight
The Braves have scored in at least three different innings in 54% of their games since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB. Pirates have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 50% of their games since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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The Braves are 17-73 (.189) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Matt Olson has an OPS of .868 since the 2022 season -- 12th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Josh Fleming has allowed an OPS of .846 (502 PAs) since the 2022 season -- worst among qualified RPs-- 0 Percentile.

Ozzie Albies has a swing rate of 45% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- sixth highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .250 (11-for-44) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- ninth best among qualified SPs-- 87th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 41% (64/157) against Spencer Schwellenbach this month (4 games) -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 28% -- 99th Percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach has not allowed a home run in any of the last 20.2 innings he's appeared -- Cristopher Sanchez has the longest active streak at 68.2.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (47/139) against Bailey Falter with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 22-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Braves' 27 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	37-21	15-12	22-9	29-14	8-7
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	27-27-4	7-18-2	20-9-2	22-18-3	5-9-1
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	39-19	17-10	22-9	31-12	8-7
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 29th	PIT	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL -142
Jun 28th	PIT	W 6-1	-1.5 W	U 9	ATL -218
Jun 27th	@CWS	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8	CWS -285
Jun 26th	@STL	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	STL -120
Jun 26th	@STL	W 6-2	-1.5 W	O 7.5	ATL -125

Joey Wentz
RP
Wentz is out with knee
Out
Spencer Schwellenbach
SP
Schwellenbach is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out with elbow
Out
Hurston Waldrep
SP
Waldrep is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	81	5	5	1
RK.Nicolas, P	31	2	3	0
RC.Mlodzinski, P	13	1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	19	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	0	0	0
1C.Joe, PH	0-2	0	0	0
1C.Joe, DH	0-2	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	2-3	1	1	2
4E.Olivares, RF	1-3	1	0	0
4M.Taylor, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5R.Tellez, 1B	1-4	1	1	2
6N.Gonzales, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
7J.Bart, C	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Triolo, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Suwinski, CF	0-3	1	0	0
9J.Suwinski, RF	0-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Schwellenbach, P	85	5	7	4
RG.Holmes, P	33	3	4	0
LA.Bummer, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Kelenic, CF	0-4	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-3	1	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-3	0	0
5A.Riley, 3B	0-3	0	0
6A.Duvall, RF	1-3	1	0
7S.Murphy, C	2-4	0	0
8O.Arcia, SS	0-2	0	1
9L.Williams, LF	0-2	0	0
9T.d'Arnaud, PH	0-1	0	0
9F.Wall, LF	0-0	0	0
9Z.Short, PH	0-1	0	0