Cubs vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - April 3, 2023

Cubs at Reds

10:40 pm • BSOH

Chicago Cubs

11-5

6 - 7

Cincinnati Reds

10-15

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C. Overton			11.46	0-1
D.Smyly			5.00	11-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 11-5	-1.5+130	o9-110	-120
Reds 10-15	+1.5-157	u9-110	+100

Monday 10:40 p.m.

April 03, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

T.Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases-105

0.95u

CIN +3.5 (Live)-120

0.6u

i liked the reds anyways… I’ll take the extra 3 runs

CIN o4.5+105

1.05u

C.Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases-102

$50.00

Tailing @TheDegenWeekly

CIN o3.5-118

0.85u

C.Bellinger o2.5 Hits+800

0.25u

3+ hits

C.Bellinger o1.5 Total Bases+100

Tailing a bunch of sharps that listened to @jovan_deeb

D.Smyly u15.5 Outs-120

Smyly only cleared this in 8 of 22 starts last season. Seems like the chances are much lower in his opening start. It’s one thing to go 15 outs (5 IP) and another to come back out in the 6th to get one more and clear this. The Reds have the 7th highest pitches per PA and the 4th lowest swing rate on the young season. Both factors should make it that much tougher for Smyly to clear this

CIN +105

1.05u

DraftKings 4:43.

T.Stephenson o1.5 Total Bases+150

0.75u

Bet365 4:42.

T.Stephenson o0.5 HR+675

0.25u

Bet365 4:41 @charliedisturco

CIN -100

0.5u

Over 4.5 (F5)-125

0.8u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)+104

0.5u

Over 9-105

C.Overton u3.5 Ks-120

$60.00

CIN +102

1.02u

CIN +110

0.55u

Bet to +102

CIN o1.5 (F5)-145

0.5u

Bet to -160 or 2 (-120)

Over 8.5-106

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Monday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 3, 2023 UTC

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The Reds were just 14-25 (.359) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 in 2022 -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .547.

The Reds were just 14-24 (.368) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .664.

Drew Smyly threw his curveball 48% of the time (666/1,396) against right-handed batters in 2022 -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 15% -- 100th Percentile.

20 of Drew Smyly's 69 breaking pitch strikeouts (29%) were backdoor in 2022 -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 12% -- 98th Percentile.

Connor Overton has not struck out a hitter in his last 35 PAs against a LHH dating back to May 12nd, 2022 -- this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

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MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cubs	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cubs	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cubs	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 2nd	PIT	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 9	CIN -130
Apr 1st	PIT	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	CIN -148
Mar 30th	PIT	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -145
Mar 26th	@COL	W 7-5	-	-	-
Mar 26th	@CLE	L 2-3	-	-	-

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Smyly, P		93	4.2	3	6
RK.Thompson, P		32	3.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	3-5	2	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	1-4	1	0	0
4C.Bellinger, CF	1-4	1	1	3
5T. Mancini, RF	1-4	0	0	1
6P.Wisdom, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
7E. Hosmer, 1B	3-5	0	0	2
7N.Madrigal, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8E.Rios, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Torrens, PH	0-0	0	0	0
8L.Torrens, DH	0-0	0	0	0
8M.Mastrobuoni, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Barnhart, C	1-3	0	0	0
9Y.Gomes, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC. Overton, P	80	4	5	5
RI.Gibaut, P	7	0.2	0	1
LA.Young, P	6	0.1	1	0
RF.Cruz, P	31	1.1	0	0
LR. Sanmartin, P	11	0.2	2	0
RB.Farmer, P	13	1	0	0
RD.Law, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-3	1	0	1
2S.Steer, 3B	2-3	1	0	0
3W. Myers, 1B	1-4	1	0	1
3W. Myers, RF	1-4	1	0	1
4T.Stephenson, DH	2-4	1	0	0
5K.Newman, SS	1-4	0	0	2
6S.Fairchild, LF	0-3	1	0	0
7L.Maile, C	0-4	0	0	0
8J. Barrero, CF	1-1	0	0	0
8J.Vosler, PR	1-3	2	1	3
8J.Vosler, 1B	1-3	2	1	3
9T.Friedl, RF	2-4	0	0	0
9T.Friedl, CF	2-4	0	0	0