Pirates vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - April 1, 2023

Pirates at Reds

8:10 pm • BSOH

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

2 - 6

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Lodolo			6.29	2-1
R.Hill			4.76	7-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-164	o8.5-115	+124
Reds 0-0	-1.5+135	u8.5-105	-148

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 01, 2023

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

CIN -140

CIN -140 (F5)

CIN -146

0.68u

CIN -1.5+140

1.4u

CIN -140 (F5)

CIN -1.5+130

1.3u

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 1, 2023 UTC

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Bryan Reynolds batted .320 on pitches 95 mph or greater last season -- 13th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Hunter Greene had an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH last season -- tied for highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Bryan Reynolds had a swing rate of 42% on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Opponents batted .440 (22-for-50) against Hunter Greene on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- tied for sixth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- fifth Percentile.

Hitters swung at 53% of Nick Lodolo's pitches (298/562) with two-strikes in 2022 -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- second Percentile.

Rich Hill has thrown elevated pitches 52% of the time (481/930) when behind in the count since the 2021 season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 29% -- 99th Percentile.

Nick Lodolo located 47% of his pitches inside (262/562) with two-strikes in 2022 -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 99th Percentile.

Rich Hill threw his curveball 38% of the time (155/408) when behind in the count in 2022 -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 100th Percentile.

The Reds were just 17-21 (.447) when hitting 2 or more home runs in 2022 -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.

The Pirates are just 52-110 (.321) on the road since the 2021 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.

The Reds were just 14-24 (.368) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Pirates are just 99-73 (.576) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	PIT	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -145
Mar 26th	@COL	W 7-5	-	-	-
Mar 26th	@CLE	L 2-3	-	-	-
Mar 26th	CWS	L 2-9	-	-	CWS +104
Mar 24th	@ARI	W 7-4	-	-	CIN +116

Marco Gonzales
P
Gonzales is out with arm
Out
Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Austin Wynns
C
Wynns is out with shoulder
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Nick Martini
OF
Martini is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Hill, P	84	5	7	3
RC. De Jong, P	33	2	1	3
LJ.Hernandez, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	0-3	1	0
4C.Santana, 1B	2-4	1	0
5C.Joe, RF	1-3	0	1
6O.Cruz, SS	2-4	0	1
7R.Castro, 2B	0-3	0	0
7C. Smith-Njigba, PH	0-1	0	0
8J.Bae, CF	0-4	0	0
9A.Hedges, C	0-3	0	0
9J. Choi, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	109	5	9	2
RI.Gibaut, P	10	1	0	0
RB.Farmer, P	19	1.2	1	0
LR. Sanmartin, P	3	0.1	0	0
RA.Diaz, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-3	1	1	1
2S.Steer, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3W. Myers, RF	0-3	1	0	0
4T.Stephenson, 1B	2-4	2	0	0
4J.Vosler, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
5K.Newman, DH	2-4	1	1	2
6S.Fairchild, LF	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Fraley, PH	1-2	1	1	3
6J.Fraley, LF	1-2	1	1	3
7C.Casali, C	0-3	0	0	0
8J. Barrero, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9T.Friedl, CF	0-3	0	0	0