Cardinals vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2024

Cardinals at Brewers

12:10 am • MLB Network

St. Louis Cardinals

8-11

2 - 11

Milwaukee Brewers

9-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Gasser			2.57	2-0
L.Lynn			3.84	7-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 8-11	-1.5	+1.5-190	o8.5-114	+105
Brewers 9-9	u8.5	-1.5+160	u8.5-106	-125

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

May 11, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

STL +108

0.5u

Over 4.5 (F5)-107

MIL -115 (F5)

0.43u

Flat to -120

MIL -115

0.5u

Bet to -123

W.Contreras o1.5 Total Bases+110

1.1u

Ballpark pal gives a strong advantage here and +ev bet with devig odds of -105 giving value to this number

Featured Insight
Cardinals right-handed hitters have struck out just 17% against LHP this season -- fifth lowest in MLB. Brewers have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs right-handed batters this season -- tied for second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers hitters have a hard-hit rate of 44% over the last week -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 46% against the Cardinals RPs over the last week -- fifth worst in MLB.

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The Cardinals are just 15-27 (.357) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .577.

Willy Adames struck out in 27% of PA's in the 2022 season -- 12th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Ryan Helsley had a strikeout rate of 39% in the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Jake Bauers has struck out in 36% of PA's since last season -- fourth highest among hitters with at least 294 total PA's-- first Percentile. Ryan Helsley has a strikeout rate of 33% since last season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 9th	STL	W 7-1	-	-	-
May 8th	@KC	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	KC +102
May 7th	@KC	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 9	MIL +112
May 6th	@KC	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	KC +119
May 5th	@CHC	L 0-5	-1.5 L	U 6.5	CHC -142

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is questionable with back
Questionable

Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Blake Perkins
OF
Perkins is out with leg
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Lynn, P	85	4.2	5	4
LM.Liberatore, P	13	0.1	1	2
RK.Leahy, P	42	1.1	2	4
RC.Roycroft, P	32	1.2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Fermin, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
1J.Fermin, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
2L.Nootbaar, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3P.Goldschmidt, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4N.Arenado, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4N.Gorman, 2B	1-1	1	1	1
5I.Herrera, C	1-2	1	0	0
6A.Burleson, DH	1-4	0	0	1
7D.Carlson, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Winn, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Siani, CF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Gasser, P	79	6	4	0
RK.Herget, P	45	3	0	2
RK.Herget, P	45	3	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	1-4	1	1
2W.Contreras, C	1-3	3	0
3C.Yelich, DH	2-4	2	1
3A.Monasterio, PH	0-1	0	0
3A.Monasterio, 2B	0-1	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	3-4	2	2
5R.Hoskins, 1B	2-3	0	2
5J.Chourio, PR	0-0	1	0
5J.Chourio, LF	0-0	1	0
6S.Frelick, RF	1-4	1	2
7B.Perkins, CF	0-4	0	0
8J.Bauers, LF	2-3	1	2
8J.Bauers, 1B	2-3	1	2
9J.Ortiz, 3B	0-3	0	0
9O.Dunn, PH	0-1	0	0
9O.Dunn, 3B	0-1	0	0