Brewers vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - April 25, 2024

Brewers at Pirates

4:35 pm • BSWI

Milwaukee Brewers

33-20

7 - 5

Pittsburgh Pirates

29-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.25	11-12
F.Peralta			3.68	11-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 33-20	-1.5+127	o6.5-119	-140
Pirates 29-28	+1.5-153	u6.5-101	+120

Thursday 4:35 p.m.

April 25, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

MIL -127

MIL -142

0.7u

Under 7-122

$30.00

PIT +122

0.25u

Superbook. Small to +115

PIT +140 (F5)

0.35u

Small to +120

Over 7+100

0.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-150

$1.50

MIL -130

$1.00

Over 7-110

MIL -135 (F5)

$1.35

MIL -124

0.81u

F.Peralta u1.5 BB+125

0.8u

M.Keller o17.5 Outs-130

M.Keller u6.5 Ks-160

PIT +110

F.Peralta u7.5 Ks+112

1.12u

MIL -130 (F5)

1.3u

Peralta 32.2 K-BB% best among qualifiers, Keller 10.6% w/ reduced velocity. . MIL 35 pt wRC+ edge v RHP and large defensive edge.

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .106 (5-for-47) against Brewers RPs with RISP over the last two weeks -- best in MLB. The Pirates are batting just .155 with RISP over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Pirates RPs have a strikeout rate of 30% vs right-handed batters this season -- highest in MLB. Brewers right-handed hitters have struck out 27% against LHP this season -- third highest in MLB.

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The Brewers are 28-0 (1.000) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 38% of PA's over the last two weeks -- ninth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 43% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- tied for third highest among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 36% of PA's this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Freddy Peralta has a strikeout rate of 41% vs left-handed batters this season -- second highest among qualified SPs-- 98th Percentile.

Freddy Peralta has struck out 41% (22/54) of left-handed batters he faced this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 41% (26/63) against Freddy Peralta this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Pirates' 30 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-27	15-15	15-12	17-15	12-12
Brewers	32-21	18-12	14-9	20-13	12-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	30-25-2	19-11	11-14-2	20-12	9-13-2
Brewers	23-29-1	13-17	10-12-1	15-17-1	8-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	29-28	15-15	14-13	18-14	10-14
Brewers	33-20	19-11	14-9	22-11	11-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 24th	MIL	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 8	MIL +104
Apr 23rd	MIL	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT -105
Apr 22nd	MIL	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT -151
Apr 21st	BOS	L 1-6	-1.5 L	U 8	BOS -155
Apr 20th	BOS	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	BOS -120

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Peralta, P	91	4.2	5	5
LH.Milner, P	6	0.1	1	0
RA.Uribe, P	12	1	3	0
LJ.Koenig, P	18	1	0	0
RJ.Payamps, P	20	1	0	0
RT.Megill, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Frelick, RF	0-3	1	0	0
1G.Sanchez, PH	1-1	1	1	2
1J.Chourio, RF	0-0	0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	2-4	3	1	1
3W.Adames, SS	0-3	1	0	0
4J.Bauers, 1B	2-5	0	0	1
5R.Hoskins, DH	3-5	0	0	2
6O.Dunn, 3B	1-5	0	0	1
7B.Perkins, CF	2-3	1	0	0
8B.Turang, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Ortiz, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Ortiz, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Wiemer, LF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	104	5	7	4
RR.Ryan, P	33	1.2	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	12	0.1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	24	1	1	2
RR.Contreras, P	15	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, RF	2-5	1	0	0
3R.Tellez, 1B	0-2	1	0	0
3C.Joe, PH	1-2	0	0	0
3C.Joe, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
4J.Bart, C	1-4	2	1	3
5J.Suwinski, LF	1-4	1	0	1
6J.Triolo, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
7O.Cruz, SS	1-2	0	0	0
8M.Taylor, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9A.Williams, 2B	1-4	0	0	0