Red Sox vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2024

Red Sox at Pirates

8:05 pm • SportsNet PT

Boston Red Sox

23-33

4 - 2

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.25	11-12
K.Crawford			4.36	9-16

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 23-33	-1.5+175	o7.5-121	+100
Pirates 30-28	+1.5-205	u7.5+101	-120

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

April 20, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

BOS -104 (F5)

Crawford estimators nearly a run below Keller's on avg, PIT 80/89/55 wRC+ Hm/vRHP/L7days, BOS 121/94/113, PIT defense one of the few in the league worse than BOS so far

PIT -113

0.28u

Bumping position. Bet to -131 after lineups

K.Crawford o15.5 Outs-115

0.5u

M.Keller u6.5 Ks-130

0.5u

BOS +100 (F5)

0.5u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

0.63u

PIT -116 (F5)

0.5u

Flat to -133

PIT -115

0.5u

Superbook. Update: Bet to -131

Under 4.5 (F5)-128

K.Crawford u5.5 Ks-120

1.2u

Under 8-110

0.5u

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Featured Insight
Pirates RPs have a strikeout rate of 30% vs right-handed batters this season -- highest in MLB. Red Sox right-handed hitters have struck out 34% against LHP this season -- highest in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 40% of PA's this season -- fourth highest in MLB-- first Percentile. Brennan Bernardino has a strikeout rate of 39% this season -- tied for 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of just .149 (11 Total Bases / 74 ABs) this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 -- 98th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .045 (2-for-44) against Kutter Crawford this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Pirates' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12
Red Sox	22-34	9-19	13-15	14-22	7-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2
Red Sox	25-29-2	9-17-2	16-12	16-18-2	9-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14
Red Sox	23-33	9-19	14-14	16-20	6-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 19th	BOS	L 1-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	BOS -115
Apr 17th	@NYM	L 1-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	NYM +135
Apr 16th	@NYM	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYM -107
Apr 15th	@NYM	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM +105
Apr 14th	@PHI	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT +164

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	100	6	6	1
RC.Martin, P	18	1	0	0
LJ.Rodriguez, P	16	0.2	1	1
RG.Weissert, P	5	0.1	0	0
RK.Jansen, P	14	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	1	0	0
2W.Abreu, LF	1-2	0	0	1
3R.Refsnyder, RF	1-4	1	0	0
4T.Casas, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
4P.Reyes, 3B	0-3	1	0	0
5M.Yoshida, DH	3-4	1	1	2
6B.Dalbec, 3B	0-4	0	0	1
6B.Dalbec, 1B	0-4	0	0	1
7E.Valdez, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	88	6	4	4
RL.Ortiz, P	40	2	2	0
RC.Holderman, P	24	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Olivares, DH	1-5	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, RF	3-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	3-4	0	0	0
3K.Hayes, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
4J.Suwinski, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4C.Joe, PH	1-1	1	1	1
4C.Joe, 1B	1-1	1	1	1
5J.Bart, C	1-3	0	0	0
6R.Tellez, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6A.McCutchen, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6A.McCutchen, RF	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
8O.Cruz, SS	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-4	0	0	0