Red Sox vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - April 21, 2024

Red Sox at Pirates

5:35 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

0-0

6 - 1

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Perez			5.21	2-5
J.Winckowski			4.14	4-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-157	o8-101	+130
Pirates 0-0	u8.5	-1.5+131	u8-118	-155

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

April 21, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

C.Joe o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

M.Perez o4.5 Ks+110

0.55u

Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .766 over the last week -- fifth best in MLB. Pirates RPs have allowed an OPS of .849 (88 PAs) over the last week -- second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Pirates RPs have a strikeout rate of 30% vs right-handed batters this season -- highest in MLB. Red Sox right-handed hitters have struck out 33% against LHP this season -- highest in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 40% of PA's this season -- fourth highest in MLB-- first Percentile. Brennan Bernardino has a strikeout rate of 39% this season -- tied for 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .130 against Josh Winckowski vs right-handed batters this season -- tied for eighth best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile. Right handed batters hit .287 (56-for-195) against him last season -- 10th worst among qualified RPs-- 10th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 20th	BOS	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	BOS -120
Apr 19th	BOS	L 1-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	BOS -115
Apr 17th	@NYM	L 1-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	NYM +135
Apr 16th	@NYM	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYM -107
Apr 15th	@NYM	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM +105

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Winckowski, P	46	3.1	1	1
LC.Booser, P	17	1	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	7	0.2	1	0
RJ.Slaten, P	34	2	2	0
RC.Anderson, P	21	2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Rafaela, SS	1-4	1	0
2J.Duran, CF	1-3	2	0
3R.Refsnyder, RF	1-3	1	1
4W.Abreu, LF	3-5	1	2
5C.Wong, C	0-4	1	0
6B.Dalbec, 3B	0-4	0	0
7P.Reyes, 1B	1-4	0	0
8T.Heineman, DH	0-1	0	0
8R.McGuire, PH	1-3	0	2
8R.McGuire, DH	1-3	0	2
9E.Valdez, 2B	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Perez, P	91	4	7	4
RR.Ryan, P	43	2	2	0
LJ.Fleming, P	13	1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	23	1	3	0
RD.Bednar, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Joe, RF	1-4	1	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-4	0	0
3K.Hayes, 3B	2-3	0	1
4J.Suwinski, CF	2-4	0	0
5A.McCutchen, DH	0-4	0	0
6R.Tellez, 1B	1-4	0	0
7J.Bart, C	0-3	0	0
8O.Cruz, SS	0-2	0	0
9J.Triolo, 2B	1-3	0	0