Braves vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 26, 2024

Braves at Twins

11:40 pm • BSN
10 - 6
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Bailey Ober logoB.OberMinnesota Twins logo3.9812-9
Max Fried logoM.FriedAtlanta Braves logo3.2511-10

Braves at Twins Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves
19-21
-1.5+164
o8-114
+100
Twins
21-20
+1.5-191
u8-105
-120
location pinMonday 11:40 p.m.
August 26, 2024
Target FieldMinneapolis
Braves vs. Twins Expert Picks
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
Last 30d: 4-30-0 (-11.3u)
Over 7.5-113
0.5u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 86-71-2 (-1.7u)
Under 7.5+100
1u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 77-73-1 (-5.5u)
MIN -118
1.18u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 126-126-6 (+6.3u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-145
1.45u
Even though MIN has one of the hottest bats right now & Fried has been struggling, his splits lineup perfect vs this lineup. He’s only allowing a .196 BA away & has locked up righties allowing only a .201 BA vs his BA against lefties which is .347 (drastic difference). This is important because MIN will have 8 righties in their expected lineup today. On the other side, ATL bats cooled back off ranking 16th in BA in the L15 days & 17th in the L7 days. Ober has been pitching a full 6+ innings in his L11 games (2.57 ERA).
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 39-40-1 (-5.7u)
B.Ober o5.5 Ks-148
1u
BetRivers
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 102-126-9 (-22.0u)
ATL +100 (F5)
1u
Picks Office
Picks Office
Last 30d: 77-93-4 (-23.6u)
Over 7.5-115
0.87u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Max Fried has been slipping a little of late, his xERA is all the way up to nearly four, suggesting where the Twins could get at him. It's been a good year so far for him, except in his last three starts, where Fried has an ERA of 6.23 to show he's not in his best shape. Fried's chase and whiff rates are in the 44th percentile, lesser than top-of-the-line pitchers, meaning he will leave more balls in play, hence straight to the base hits recorded for Minnesota. Twins' Offensive Capabilities One cannot underestimate Minnesota Twins when it comes to offense. They put up numbers for the 7th per game in runs, with the combination of players converting their hits to either power or just mere hits. They found success, especially against southpaw pitchers, like Fried, and feature an excellent roster that performs against these pitchers. Their home advantage also enhances the chances for it to become a high-scoring game because, on average, Minnesota scores almost 5 runs in their home field. Bailey Ober's dangerous profile is as a flyball pitcher, with a 1.35 HR/9 rate against the fourth-place Braves, who rank fourth in Major League Baseball for home runs. The ability to put the ball in the air, along with the immunity to home runs, puts the Braves exactly in the spot where they like to do their best work: hitting the ball out of the park. Atlanta's ability to create quick offense through the long ball puts Ober in a particularly dangerous situation, especially at this time in Target Field, where, at times, hitters are favored by conditions. While the Braves have just a middle-of-the-pack team batting average at .241, their .720 slugging percentage and 170 home run total speak to an offense that scores in a hurry and in bunches. These high-strike powers, and flyball tendencies from Ober all mix up into being that perfect recipe for an offensive explosion. The bullpens for both teams offer opportunities to score even more runs. The Braves have a pretty good bullpen that has been working under a 5.00 ERA recently. The Twins' bullpen has holes they are trying to cover, with a 3.66 ERA and going up against an offense such as Atlanta's.
SpenceBets
SpenceBets
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL -108
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 168-177-12 (-3.9u)
Over 7.5-115
0.5u
Bet to 8 (-110)

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    Braves vs. Twins Previews & Analysis

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    Braves vs. Twins Notes

    Prop Odds Comparison

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    Line Movement Tracker

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    Braves vs. Twins Public Betting Percentages

    Away Logo

    Braves

    Public

    33%

    Bets%

    67%

    Money%

    Matchup History

    Against the Spread (ATS) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Twins
    23-1815-68-1215-128-6
    Braves
    18-2210-88-1412-186-4

    Over/Under History

    overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
    Twins
    14-24-37-13-17-11-210-15-24-9-1
    Braves
    16-21-37-10-19-11-213-16-13-5-2

    Straight-Up (ML) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Twins
    21-2015-66-1415-126-8
    Braves
    19-2112-67-1516-143-7

    Last 5 Matchups

    dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
    Aug 25thSTLL 2-3-1.5 LU 8.5STL -142
    Aug 24thSTLW 6-0-1.5 WU 7.5MIN -142
    Aug 24thSTLL 1-6-1.5 LU 8.5STL -155
    Aug 21st@SDW 11-4+1.5 WO 8.5MIN +105
    Aug 21st@SDL 5-7-1.5 LO 8SD -122

    Braves vs. Twins Injury Updates

    Braves Injuries

    • Ronald Acuna
      RF

      Acuna is out with knee

      Out

    • Joe Jimenez
      RP

      Jimenez is out with knee

      Out

    • Austin Cox
      RP

      Cox is out with knee

      Out

    • Spencer Strider
      SP

      Strider is out with hamstring

      Out

    • Nacho Alvarez
      SS

      Alvarez is out with wrist

      Out

    Twins Injuries

      Braves vs. Twins Box Score
      Braves Player Stats
      Projected
      PITCHERPCIPKER
      Max Fried logoLM.Fried, P73571
      Grant Holmes logoRG.Holmes, P33211
      Pierce Johnson logoRP.Johnson, P13101
      Dylan Lee logoLD.Lee, P15121
      HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
      Whit Merrifield logo1W.Merrifield, 2B5-5200
      Jorge Soler logo2J.Soler, RF0-2200
      Michael Harris logo2M.Harris, CF0-1000
      Marcell Ozuna logo3M.Ozuna, DH2-4202
      Matt Olson logo4M.Olson, 1B3-5215
      Travis d'Arnaud logo5T.d'Arnaud, C1-5112
      Ramon Laureano logo6R.Laureano, LF0-5000
      Ramon Laureano logo6R.Laureano, RF0-5000
      Jarred Kelenic logo7J.Kelenic, CF0-5000
      Jarred Kelenic logo7J.Kelenic, LF0-5000
      Gio Urshela logo8G.Urshela, 3B1-4000
      Orlando Arcia logo9O.Arcia, SS1-3100
      Twins Player Stats
      Projected
      PITCHERPCIPKER
      Bailey Ober logoRB.Ober, P55229
      Scott Blewett logoRS.Blewett, P39330
      Trevor Richards logoRT.Richards, P33221
      Ronny Henriquez logoRR.Henriquez, P32230
      HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
      Manuel Margot logo1M.Margot, LF3-5101
      Royce Lewis logo2R.Lewis, DH0-4001
      Jose Miranda logo3J.Miranda, 3B0-3001
      Carlos Santana logo4C.Santana, 1B1-4000
      Kyle Farmer logo5K.Farmer, 2B1-4111
      Kyle Farmer logo5K.Farmer, SS1-4111
      Willi Castro logo6W.Castro, SS0-3100
      Edouard Julien logo6E.Julien, 2B0-1000
      Christian Vazquez logo7C.Vazquez, C1-4100
      Matt Wallner logo8M.Wallner, RF2-3211
      Austin Martin logo9A.Martin, CF1-4001

      Braves vs. Twins Odds Comparison

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      Braves at Twins Team Totals

      MatchupOverUnder
      Braves
      19-21
      o3.5-135
      u3.5+105
      Twins
      21-20
      o3.5-140
      u3.5+110