Braves vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - March 30, 2023

Braves at Nationals

5:05 pm • MLB Network

Atlanta Braves

0-2

7 - 2

Washington Nationals

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Corbin			5.20	10-15
M.Fried			2.55	8-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5-145	o7.5-105	-260
Nationals 0-0	+1.5+120	u7.5-114	+210

Thursday 5:05 p.m.

March 30, 2023

Nationals ParkWashington

ATL -1.5-130

Over 7.5-105

M.Olson o0.5 HR+475

0.1u

Bet at Bet365. Betting on 10 players to hit HR for 0.1U each.

M.Fried u5.5 Ks-122

Most starters will be capped around 80-85 pitches today. Fried is excellent at generating weak contact and getting hitters to chase pitches out of the zone. The Nats lineup sets up perfectly to make a ton of weak contact and not swing and miss at too many pitches out of the zone. Number 5 hitter Keibert Ruiz is one of the toughest hitters to K in the league. Projecting him to stay under 5.5 around 65% of the time assuming he only goes for 83-85 pitches today

Under 7.5-115

ATL o4.5-115

Under 4 (F5)-115

0.58u

Dan Bellino behind the plate, +25 units lifetime to the under. Will be looking to dodge bullpens through the weekend w F5 bets (or full game Overs)

A.Riley o1.5 Total Bases+105

0.5u

Bet365 11:03.

O.Albies o1.5 Total Bases+100

$50.00

ATL o2.5 (F5)+105

1.05u

ATL -0.5 (F5)-140

$53.57

Playing mlb light early on. Corbin fade + Braves vs leftys. Have to

ATL o2.5 (F5)+100

0.25u

ATL -1.5-140

ATL o2.5 (F5)+110

0.55u

@Zerillo .

ATL o2.5 (F5)+110

0.28u

Hi Patrick. Bet to +100

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The Braves are 108-84 (.562) on the road since the 2020 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .462.

Austin Riley slugged .528 last season -- eighth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Patrick Corbin allowed a SLG of .526 vs right-handed batters last season -- fourth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

Michael Harris batted .489 on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- seventh best among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. Patrick Corbin had a strike rate of 69% on the first pitch of at-bats last season -- third highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 98th Percentile.

Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of the 2021 season (180 balls in play) -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 80.2

Max Fried walked 32 of 733 batters (4%) last season -- tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% -- 93rd Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Nationals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 28th	NYY	W 3-0	+1.5 W	U 9	WSH +120
Mar 26th	@MIA	L 2-2	-	-	-
Mar 25th	HOU	L 1-6	-	-	HOU +134
Mar 24th	STL	L 1-7	-	-	STL +119
Mar 23rd	@HOU	L 4-5	-	-	HOU +158

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	43	3.1	2	1
LL. Luetge, P	17	1	0	1
RJ.Chavez, P	24	1.1	1	0
LD.Lee, P	14	0.2	0	0
RC. McHugh, P	24	1.2	1	0
LA.Minter, P	21	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	2-6	0	0
2M.Olson, 1B	2-5	1	0
3A.Riley, 3B	0-2	0	1
4O.Albies, 2B	2-5	0	1
5S.Murphy, C	0-5	0	0
6M.Ozuna, LF	0-4	0	0
6S.Hilliard, LF	0-0	1	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	2	0
8T.d'Arnaud, DH	4-5	2	2
9O.Arcia, SS	1-4	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Corbin, P	85	3	3	2
RE.Ramirez, P	34	2	1	0
RM.Thompson, P	23	2	3	0
RH.Harvey, P	12	1	0	0
RK.Finnegan, P	23	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Thomas, RF	1-5	0	0
2J.Meneses, DH	2-5	0	1
3J.Candelario, 3B	0-3	0	0
4D.Smith, 1B	2-3	1	0
5K.Ruiz, C	2-4	0	0
6A.Call, LF	0-2	0	1
6C. Dickerson, PH	0-1	0	0
6C. Dickerson, LF	0-1	0	0
7L.Garcia, 2B	0-4	0	0
8V.Robles, CF	1-2	1	0
9C.Abrams, SS	0-4	0	0