Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 7, 2025
Blue Jays at Red Sox
10:45 pm • NESNStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 4.87 | 1-4 | |
 |  | 3.83 | 7-4 |
Blue Jays at Red Sox Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Blue Jays 63-43 | +1.5 | +1.5-185 | o8-118 | +110 |
Red Sox 57-50 | u8.5 | -1.5+154 | u8-105 | -130 |
Fenway ParkBoston
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
Nick Martin
Last 30d: 4-2-0 (+1.6u)
TOR +115
0.58u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 54-45-2 (-0.2u)
R.Fitts u2.5 Earned Runs-140
0.7u
Just a sprinkle here. Projecting him to go 5 innings so just need him to be efficient 🤞
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 172-183-3 (-37.6u)
R.Fitts u3.5 Ks-166
0.93u
2.81% ev
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 8-105
1.05u
Sir Lockselot
Last 30d: 35-60-0 (-17.3u)
TOR +108
2.7u
🔑 Blue Jays ML +108 (FanDuel) 2.5u
Red Sox coming off a double header. Berrios was bad his 1st start but looked better his second, I like this spot for him tn. Fitts came out of nowhere this spring and I feel the Blue Jays can get to him tn. Love fading a team off a double header sweep. Vladdy gonna earn that contract tn
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 155-164-9 (+6.5u)
BOS -126
0.25u
ONLY IF YOU BET TORONTO. Taking a piece off Jays ML. Make Boston -110 after pitching change to Berrios. Under 8.5 good to -115
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 224-230-3 (+1.8u)
BOS -117
1u
#BQ
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 128-133-1 (+8.7u)
J.Duran o1.5 Total Bases-104
0.96u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Last 30d: 172-183-3 (-37.6u)
R.Fitts u5.5 Hits Allowed-110
0.43u
1.96% ev
Firefighter Bets
Last 30d: 41-64-0 (-22.3u)
W.Abreu o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+117
1u
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 224-230-3 (+1.8u)
V.Guerrero o0.5 HR+540
0.1u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 3-3-0 (-1.8u)
BOS -134
1u
Chris Gimino
Last 30d: 2-4-0 (-2.2u)
R.Fitts u3.5 Ks-140
1u
Ryan Sura
Last 30d: 42-47-7 (+26.8u)
V.Guerrero o0.5 HR+525
0.25u
Picks Office
Last 30d: 83-76-2 (+10.7u)
Under 9-105
0.95u
Easton Lucas generates 53.8% groundballs – keeps hitters off barrels. Richard Fitts allows just 45% flyballs and no barrels so far. Both arms suppress lift and exit velo. Toronto’s lineup hitting just .257 with a 4.21 ERA allowed. Boston better but inflated by Abreu.
Lucas dominates the zone – 71.9% swing rate on strikes, no barrels allowed. Fitts commands well – 60.6% in-zone rate, 76.7% swing rate. Both catchers pop fast and control the run game – less chaos, less scoring. Fenway winds blowing in early April = dead ball.
Neither team red-hot: Jays 0-3 on the road, scoring 2.7 runs/game in those. Red Sox 3-4 in last 7 vs AL teams, despite 5-game streak. No lineup updates yet, but early game + cold + sharp starters = slugfest unlikely.
Bet Labs
Last 30d: 14-21-1 (-12.0u)
BOS -130
1.3u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 82-70-3 (+20.6u)
V.Guerrero o0.5 HR+500
0.4u
Jim Sannes
Last 30d: 23-53-0 (-13.8u)
E.Lucas o4.5 Ks+180
0.8u
In the alt market. Red Sox's active roster has a 25.9% strikeout rate against lefties since the start of last year. 14.9% swinging-strike rate for Lucas in his first start this year.
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 66-72-2 (-9.0u)
TOR +115
3.45u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 155-164-9 (+6.5u)
TOR +120
0.6u
Update: Small to +120 after pitching change; can take a piece off
Under 9-105
0.5u
Bet to 8.5, -115
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 74-79-8 (+41.0u)
Under 9-108
0.93u
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Under 9-108
0.93u
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Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Red Sox are 28-24 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Red Sox' 55 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injury Updates
Blue Jays Injuries
- Anthony SantanderRF
Santander is out with shoulder
Out
- Alek ManoahSP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
- Bowden FrancisSP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out
Red Sox Injuries
- Tanner HouckSP
Houck is out with arm
Out
- Patrick SandovalSP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
- Kutter CrawfordSP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Box Score
Blue Jays Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 88 | 7 | 2 | 1 | |
 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 102 | 6 | 4 | 3 | |
 | 31 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Blue Jays at Red Sox Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Blue Jays 63-43 | o3.5-137 | u3.5+107 |
Red Sox 57-50 | o4.5+114 | u4.5-145 |