Blue Jays vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - April 6, 2025

Blue Jays at Mets

5:40 pm • SNET

Toronto Blue Jays

9-6

1 - 2

New York Mets

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Peterson			4.22	9-6
B.Francis			6.05	2-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 9-6	+1.5	+1.5-185	o7-111	+125
Mets 0-0	u7.5	-1.5+154	u7-108	-150

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

April 06, 2025

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

TOR +111 (Live)

Phillies stink man

Hayden Senger 1st Plate App Strikeout +250

0.5u

Francis has extreme platoon splits as he strikes out RHB +13% of the time. Senger (R) is an absolute disaster and I’m projecting this closer to +185

B.Francis u4.5 Hits Allowed-145

0.6u

Under 7.5-120

0.83u

Mets pitching rolling — 1.00 ERA this series, .203 opp BA, just 3 ER allowed in 3 games. Toronto bats ice cold: 2 runs or fewer in 3 of last 4, .278 AVG this series but just 1 XBH. Citi Field slow — avg 5.3 total runs through first 5 home games. Peterson, Francis can be both sharp — Peterson 36% K-rate, .251 xBA, soft contact. Francis great ground ball rate, sub-90 EV, high weak-hit %. Both limit walks, neither giving up barrels. Solid profiles for a tight, low-run game. Mets bullpen lights-out: 2.03 ERA, .191 opp AVG, 76 K in 62 IP. Jays’ pen shaky on year (4.41 ERA), but solid this series — just 1 ER past 6th inning. Lineups cold with RISP. Cold temps + wind in = pitcher friendly

B.Baty u0.5 Hits-105

0.95u

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+310

0.5u

B.Francis o4.5 Ks-130

1.9u

9.5% ev

M.Vientos o0.5 HR+450

0.12u

2.79% ev

TOR +120 (F5)

P.Alonso o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

TOR +124

0.5u

TOR +128

V.Guerrero o0.5 HR+500

0.4u

B.Nimmo o0.5 HR+520

0.12u

2.99% ev

Under 7.5-106

0.5u

Bet to 7 (+100)

Under 7.5-106

0.94u

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 35-46 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	74-88	39-42	35-46	48-67	26-21
Blue Jays	91-71	49-32	42-39	42-45	48-25

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	76-80-6	40-39-2	36-41-4	54-55-6	22-25
Blue Jays	86-71-5	45-34-2	41-37-3	46-40-1	39-30-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	83-79	49-32	34-47	64-51	19-28
Blue Jays	94-68	54-27	40-41	52-35	41-32

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 5th	TOR	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	NYM -135
Apr 4th	TOR	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	NYM -138
Apr 2nd	@MIA	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM -214
Apr 1st	@MIA	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIA -155
Mar 31st	@MIA	W 10-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM -190

Jesse Winker
LF
Winker is out with back
Out
Griffin Canning
SP
Canning is out with achilles
Out
Nick Madrigal
3B
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Christian Scott
SP
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Francis, P	90	5.1	6	2
RC.Green, P	21	1.2	1	0
LB.Little, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1B.Bichette, SS	0-4	0	0
2V.Guerrero, 1B	0-4	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-2	0	0
4A.Gimenez, 2B	0-3	0	1
5A.Kirk, DH	2-4	0	0
5G.Springer, PR	0-0	0	0
5G.Springer, DH	0-0	0	0
6E.Clement, 3B	0-2	0	0
7D.Schneider, LF	0-2	0	0
7A.Roden, PH	0-1	0	0
7A.Roden, LF	0-1	0	0
8T.Heineman, C	1-4	1	0
9M.Straw, CF	1-3	0	0
9N.Lukes, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LD.Peterson, P	91	4.2	3	1
RM.Kranick, P	14	1.1	1	0
RR.Garrett, P	13	1	1	0
LA.Minter, P	18	1	2	0
RE.Diaz, P	10	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-4	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	1-3	1	0
3P.Alonso, 1B	2-3	0	1
4B.Nimmo, LF	1-3	0	1
5J.Winker, DH	0-3	0	0
5S.Marte, PH	0-1	0	0
5S.Marte, DH	0-1	0	0
6M.Vientos, 3B	1-3	0	0
7B.Baty, 2B	0-3	0	0
7L.Acuna, 2B	0-0	0	0
8J.Siri, CF	0-3	0	0
9H.Senger, C	1-2	1	0