Athletics vs. Rangers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 11, 2024

Athletics at Rangers

6:35 pm • BSSW

Athletics

13-15

1 - 0

Texas Rangers

16-11

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Gray			4.47	5-6
J.Sears			4.38	11-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Athletics 13-15	+1.5-112	o9.5-106	+169
Rangers 16-11	-1.5-108	u9.5-113	-202

Thursday 6:35 p.m.

April 11, 2024

Globe Life FieldArlington

J.Sears u5.5 Ks-165

1.5u

Z.Gelof o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs+110

TEX -1.5-102

W.Langford o0.5 HR+390

0.25u

Tailing Corn

J.Sears u5.5 Ks-180

0.56u

@The_Oddsmaker

J.Sears u5.5 Ks-180

OAK +160

1.6u

... low scoring div dogs away early season Overall: 324-328-0,50% (ROI:14%) Season:2-4-0,33% (ROI:-16%) ... buy low on team off bad game Overall: 444-673-0,40% (ROI:11%) Season:3-3-0,50% (ROI:32%) ... big dog with bad starting pitcher Overall: 551-689-0,44% (ROI:18%) Season:1-3-0,25% (ROI:-32%)

Over 9.5-104

TEX -1-145

$1.45

S.Brown o0.5 HR+480

1.01u

A.García o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-145

J.Gray u6.5 Ks-129

J.Gray u6.5 Ks-130

0.5u

Ballpark pal projects 6.06 Ks and +EV with devig odds of -177 giving value to this number

TEX o5.5+110

A.García o0.5 HR+260

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-125

0.63u

OAK +145 (F5)

0.73u

Bet to +141

Over 5.5 (F5)+110

0.5u

There are a whole bunch of numbers that can state how bad these pitchers have been through their first two starts, especially their fastballs. Both have walked more than they've struck out with 48% hard hit rates. Gray is down a mph too.

Featured Insight
The Athletics are batting .357 with RISP over the last week -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .308 (4-for-13) against Rangers RPs with RISP over the last week -- 10th worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Rangers have struck out just 14% over the last week -- lowest in MLB. Athletics RPs have a strikeout rate of just 19% over the last week -- seventh lowest in MLB.

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The Athletics are just 30-87 (.254) after a loss since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.

Corey Seager had an OPS of 1.013 last season -- second best in MLB-- 99th Percentile. JP Sears allowed an OPS of .784 (735 PAs) last season -- fifth worst among qualified SPs-- 11th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .444 (60-for-135) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: .343 -- second Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 30% (153/505) against JP Sears in the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- fourth Percentile.

JP Sears has a strikeout rate of just 9% (2 SO in 22 PAs) with two-strikes this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rangers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rangers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rangers are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Rangers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 29 of Rangers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	86-76	46-35	40-41	39-42	46-30
Athletics	86-76	39-42	47-34	14-24	70-50

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rangers	71-89-2	29-51-1	42-38-1	34-46-1	36-39-1
Athletics	77-77-8	40-39-2	37-38-6	14-22-2	61-53-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rangers	81-81	48-33	33-48	49-32	30-46
Athletics	76-86	36-45	40-41	17-21	56-64

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 11th	ATH	W 6-2	-1.5 W	U 9	TEX -192
Apr 10th	ATH	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	ATH -205
Apr 9th	HOU	L 5-10	-1.5 L	O 10	HOU -130
Apr 7th	HOU	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 10.5	HOU -112
Apr 6th	HOU	W 7-2	+1.5 W	U 10	TEX -110

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Cody Bradford
RP
Bradford is out with elbow
Out

Luis Medina
SP
Medina is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LJ.Sears, P	88	6.1	5
RA.Adams, P	9	0.2	0
RL.Erceg, P	8	1	1
RM.Miller, P	16	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Toro, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
1N.Allen, SS	0-0	0	0	0
2Z.Gelof, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Bleday, CF	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Brown, LF	2-4	1	1	1
5T.Nevin, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
6R.Noda, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7L.Butler, RF	0-2	0	0	0
8D.Hernaiz, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8D.Hernaiz, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9K.McCann, C	1-3	0	0	0
9S.Langeliers, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Gray, P	91	5	9	1
LJ.Latz, P	24	2	4	0
RJ.Urena, P	24	2	1	0
RJ.Urena, P	24	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Semien, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2C.Seager, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3W.Langford, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Heim, DH	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Heim, C	0-1	0	0	0
6E.Duran, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
6J. Walsh, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6J. Walsh, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
7D.Wendzel, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Smith, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Smith, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Knizner, C	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Jankowski, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9L.Taveras, CF	0-3	0	0	0