Astros vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - August 28, 2024
Astros at Phillies
8:05 pm • NBCS-PHStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
T.Walker | 7.10 | 3-7 | ||
S.Arrighetti | 4.53 | 7-13 |
Astros at Phillies Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Astros 0-2 | -1.5+130 | o10-108 | -122 | |
Phillies 1-3 | +1.5-155 | u10-112 | +102 |
Wednesday 8:05 p.m.
August 28, 2024Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia
Astros vs. Phillies Expert Picks
The Degenerates
116d ago
Last 30d: 92-74-4 (+16.4u)
Over 9.5 (Live)-118
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
116d ago
Last 30d: 289-267-6 (+1.6u)
Over 9.5 (Live)-120
0.83u
. hot overs
Overall: 346-231-28,60% (ROI:16%)
Season:27-18-0,60% (ROI:16%)
Picks Office
116d ago
Last 30d: 119-106-6 (+4.0u)
Over 9.5-120
0.83u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
The Philadelphia Phillies will be coming into this game boasting one of the best records in baseball, and their offense thus far has been on fire, crossing 34 runs across five games. They have a good batting order, but a struggling arm on the mound sends Taijuan Walker. The tough exterior lines—yielding a 6.26 ERA and 1.58 WHIP over his 13 starts—have been the only offshoots of an even gloomier reality considering his advanced metrics. Among Walker is rather unsightly with an xERA of 6.69, and he ranks high on percentiles in average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate. The statistics, then, suggest that the Astros offense—or, at least, an offense represented in the top half of the league in several key offensive categories—sort of lines up well with what tends to give Taijuan Walker trouble.
On the other side, Houston will go with sophomore right-hander Spencer Arrighetti, a far cry from elite but much more reliable than Walker in just about every key major pitching stat. Arrighetti's ERA, WHIP, xERA, and strikeouts per nine are likely all a little bit better than Walker's, but the latter undoubtedly has better control in limiting hard contact in general. With all this combined, Walker is still focused on a good Philadelphia lineup. The Phillies have big sticks on an uptick swing while Walker can be a little suspect at this level, so this game has "high-scoring" written all over it. This over will be a sexy look in terms of the Astros' overall run-scoring consistency and the Phillies' ability to drive runs across. Both, therefore, will find ways to accrue runs against these pitching staffs to put a number on the board that rises over the set total.
Shady Biev
116d ago
Last 30d: 185-208-7 (+14.8u)
HOU -115
2u
Firefighter Bets
116d ago
Last 30d: 11-15-0 (-5.3u)
A.Bregman o1.5 Total Bases-109
0.92u
Kevin Thomas
116d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
PHI -107
1u
Tanner McGrath
116d ago
Last 30d: 126-96-6 (+14.1u)
HOU -115 (F5)
1u
JB Bets
116d ago
Last 30d: 35-13-0 (+16.6u)
V.Caratini o0.5 Hits+190
1.9u
Broken line👀
Sean Zerillo
117d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
HOU -106 (F5)
0.75u
Bet to -123; reduce past -115
PRO Insights
Phillies
PHI Insights
- Featured InsightPhillies hitters have a groundball rate of 52% over the last week -- second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Astros over the last week -- tied for third lowest in MLB.
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Astros vs. Phillies Previews & Analysis
Astros vs. Phillies Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Astros vs. Phillies Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Astros vs. Phillies Injury Updates
Astros Injuries
- Lance McCullersP
McCullers is out with arm
Out
- Cristian JavierP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
- Luis GarciaP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Phillies Injuries
- Max KeplerOF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
- Jesus LuzardoP
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Astros vs. Phillies Box Score
Astros Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RS.Arrighetti, P | 103 | 7.2 | 11 | 0 | |
LB.King, P | 19 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J.Altuve, 2B | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
1C.McCormick, PH | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
1C.McCormick, LF | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
2Y.Alvarez, DH | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
3A.Bregman, 3B | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3S.Whitcomb, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3S.Whitcomb, 3B | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4J.Pena, SS | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5V.Caratini, C | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6B.Gamel, RF | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7J.Meyers, CF | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
8Z.Dezenzo, 1B | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9M.Dubon, LF | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
9M.Dubon, 2B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Phillies Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RT.Walker, P | 93 | 6 | 0 | 6 | |
RM.Mercado, P | 33 | 1.1 | 2 | 4 | |
RM.Lazar, P | 5 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
RW.Wilson, P | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1K.Schwarber, DH | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2T.Turner, SS | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3B.Harper, 1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4A.Bohm, 3B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5N.Castellanos, RF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5J.Rojas, PH | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6B.Stott, 2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6E.Sosa, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7B.Marsh, CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8A.Hays, LF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9G.Stubbs, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Astros vs. Phillies Odds Comparison
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Astros at Phillies Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Astros 0-2 | o5.5+110 | u5.5-140 |
Phillies 1-3 | o4.5-115 | u4.5-115 |