Astros vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - August 28, 2024

Astros at Phillies

8:05 pm • NBCS-PH
10 - 0
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Taijuan Walker logoT.WalkerPhiladelphia Phillies logo7.103-7
Spencer Arrighetti logoS.ArrighettiHouston Astros logo4.537-13

Astros at Phillies Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros
0-2
-1.5+130
o10-108
-122
Phillies
1-3
+1.5-155
u10-112
+102
location pinWednesday 8:05 p.m.
August 28, 2024
Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia
Astros vs. Phillies Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
85d ago
Last 30d: 71-77-3 (-13.8u)
Over 9.5 (Live)-118
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
85d ago
Last 30d: 262-260-8 (-2.7u)
Over 9.5 (Live)-120
0.83u
. hot overs Overall: 346-231-28,60% (ROI:16%) Season:27-18-0,60% (ROI:16%)
Picks  Office
Picks Office
85d ago
Last 30d: 93-105-0 (-19.9u)
Over 9.5-120
0.83u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Philadelphia Phillies will be coming into this game boasting one of the best records in baseball, and their offense thus far has been on fire, crossing 34 runs across five games. They have a good batting order, but a struggling arm on the mound sends Taijuan Walker. The tough exterior lines—yielding a 6.26 ERA and 1.58 WHIP over his 13 starts—have been the only offshoots of an even gloomier reality considering his advanced metrics. Among Walker is rather unsightly with an xERA of 6.69, and he ranks high on percentiles in average exit velocity, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate. The statistics, then, suggest that the Astros offense—or, at least, an offense represented in the top half of the league in several key offensive categories—sort of lines up well with what tends to give Taijuan Walker trouble. On the other side, Houston will go with sophomore right-hander Spencer Arrighetti, a far cry from elite but much more reliable than Walker in just about every key major pitching stat. Arrighetti's ERA, WHIP, xERA, and strikeouts per nine are likely all a little bit better than Walker's, but the latter undoubtedly has better control in limiting hard contact in general. With all this combined, Walker is still focused on a good Philadelphia lineup. The Phillies have big sticks on an uptick swing while Walker can be a little suspect at this level, so this game has "high-scoring" written all over it. This over will be a sexy look in terms of the Astros' overall run-scoring consistency and the Phillies' ability to drive runs across. Both, therefore, will find ways to accrue runs against these pitching staffs to put a number on the board that rises over the set total.
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
85d ago
Last 30d: 150-187-1 (-40.6u)
HOU -115
2u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
86d ago
Last 30d: 54-64-0 (-14.6u)
A.Bregman o1.5 Total Bases-109
0.92u
Kevin  Thomas
Kevin Thomas
86d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
PHI -107
1u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
86d ago
Last 30d: 82-72-3 (+2.4u)
HOU -115 (F5)
1u
JB Bets
JB Bets
86d ago
Last 30d: 56-52-0 (+7.1u)
V.Caratini o0.5 Hits+190
1.9u
Broken line👀
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
86d ago
Last 30d: 26-44-0 (-3.9u)
HOU -106 (F5)
0.75u
Bet to -123; reduce past -115

PRO Insights

Phillies logo

Phillies

PHI Insights
  • Phillies logoPhillies hitters have a groundball rate of 52% over the last week -- second highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Astros over the last week -- tied for third lowest in MLB.
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Astros vs. Phillies Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Astros vs. Phillies Public Betting Percentages

36%

Bets%

64%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies
75-8739-4236-4564-6610-21
Astros
81-8040-4141-3956-6023-19

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Phillies
78-76-836-40-542-36-356-68-622-7-2
Astros
65-91-537-41-328-50-245-66-518-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Phillies
95-6754-2741-4082-4812-19
Astros
88-7346-3542-3866-5020-22

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 27thHOUW 5-0-1.5 WU 9PHI -138
Aug 26thHOUW 3-2-1.5 LU 8PHI -198
Aug 25th@KCW 11-3+1.5 WO 10.5PHI +120
Aug 24th@KCW 11-2-1.5 WO 9.5PHI -115
Aug 24th@KCL 4-7+1.5 LO 9.5KC +114

Astros vs. Phillies Injury Updates

Astros Injuries

  • Lance McCullers
    P

    McCullers is out with arm

    Out

  • Cristian Javier
    P

    Javier is out with elbow

    Out

  • Luis Garcia
    P

    Garcia is out with elbow

    Out

Phillies Injuries

    Astros vs. Phillies Box Score
    Astros Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Spencer Arrighetti logoRS.Arrighetti, P1037.2110
    Bryan King logoLB.King, P191.110
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Jose Altuve logo1J.Altuve, 2B2-4200
    Chas McCormick logo1C.McCormick, PH1-1112
    Chas McCormick logo1C.McCormick, LF1-1112
    Yordan Alvarez logo2Y.Alvarez, DH4-4334
    Alex Bregman logo3A.Bregman, 3B2-3000
    Shay Whitcomb logo3S.Whitcomb, PH0-1000
    Shay Whitcomb logo3S.Whitcomb, 3B0-1000
    Jeremy Pena logo4J.Pena, SS0-5000
    Victor Caratini logo5V.Caratini, C1-4100
    Ben Gamel logo6B.Gamel, RF3-5100
    Jake Meyers logo7J.Meyers, CF2-5102
    Zach Dezenzo logo8Z.Dezenzo, 1B1-5000
    Mauricio Dubon logo9M.Dubon, LF2-4101
    Mauricio Dubon logo9M.Dubon, 2B2-4101
    Phillies Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Taijuan Walker logoRT.Walker, P93606
    Michael Mercado logoRM.Mercado, P331.124
    Max Lazar logoRM.Lazar, P50.200
    Weston Wilson logoRW.Wilson, P8100
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Kyle Schwarber logo1K.Schwarber, DH0-3000
    Trea Turner logo2T.Turner, SS1-4000
    Bryce Harper logo3B.Harper, 1B0-3000
    Alec Bohm logo4A.Bohm, 3B1-4000
    Nick Castellanos logo5N.Castellanos, RF0-3000
    Johan Rojas logo5J.Rojas, PH0-0000
    Bryson Stott logo6B.Stott, 2B0-2000
    Edmundo Sosa logo6E.Sosa, PH0-1000
    Brandon Marsh logo7B.Marsh, CF0-3000
    Austin Hays logo8A.Hays, LF1-3000
    Garrett Stubbs logo9G.Stubbs, C0-3000

    Astros vs. Phillies Odds Comparison

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    Astros at Phillies Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Astros
    0-2
    o5.5+110
    u5.5-140
    Phillies
    1-3
    o4.5-115
    u4.5-115