Astros vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - August 27, 2024

Astros at Phillies

10:40 pm • SCHN

Houston Astros

16-14

0 - 5

Philadelphia Phillies

17-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Nola			3.57	14-8
J.Verlander			5.48	5-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 16-14	+1.5-175	o9-106	+117
Phillies 17-14	-1.5+145	u9-113	-138

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

August 27, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Under 9-115

0.87u

. Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams Overall: 389-262-27,60% (ROI:16%) Season:15-9-1,63% (ROI:21%)

A.Nola u5.5 Ks-134

HOU +126

Under 8.5+100

HOU +130

Over 8.5-103

0.52u

Bet to -114

HOU +122

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Featured Insight
Phillies hitters have a groundball rate of 52% over the last week -- tied for highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Astros over the last week -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Phillies are 6-2 (.750) after a win as underdogs this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .416.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 29% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for second highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (493/1,542) when he's behind in the count since the 2022 season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 181 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 96th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .245 (768 PA's) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 181 total IP; League Avg: .311 -- 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .296 (209 Total Bases / 707 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 181 total IP; League Avg: .405 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 7-8 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Phillies' 16 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	16-15	9-7	7-8	11-12	5-3
Astros	17-13	11-7	6-6	11-10	6-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	15-16	10-6	5-10	12-11	3-5
Astros	12-16-2	8-10	4-6-2	10-11	1-5-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	17-14	11-5	6-9	13-10	4-4
Astros	16-14	11-7	5-7	11-10	5-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 26th	HOU	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -198
Aug 25th	@KC	W 11-3	+1.5 W	O 10.5	PHI +120
Aug 24th	@KC	W 11-2	-1.5 W	O 9.5	PHI -115
Aug 24th	@KC	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 9.5	KC +114
Aug 22nd	@ATL	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL +100

Brandon Marsh
CF
Marsh is out with hamstring
Out
Ranger Suarez
SP
Suarez is out with back
Out

Lance McCullers
SP
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Taylor Trammell
LF
Trammell is out with calf
Out
Cristian Javier
SP
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
SP
Garcia is out with elbow
Out
Pedro Leon
RF
Leon is out with knee
Out
J.P. France
SP
France is out with shoulder
Out
Spencer Arrighetti
SP
Arrighetti is out with thumb
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Verlander, P	90	5	3	4
RT.Scott, P	13	1	2	0
LC.Ferguson, P	28	2	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4Y.Diaz, C	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Singleton, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5S.Whitcomb, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Pena, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Gamel, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7Z.Dezenzo, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Meyers, CF	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Dubon, LF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RA.Nola, P	102	7	6
RJ.Ruiz, P	20	1	2
LT.Banks, P	9	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	2-3	1	0	1
3B.Harper, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
5N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	1	3
6B.Stott, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Realmuto, C	2-4	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9A.Hays, LF	2-3	2	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-0	0	0	0