Astros vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - August 27, 2024

Astros at Phillies

10:40 pm • SCHN

Houston Astros

0-2

0 - 5

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Nola			3.57	14-8
J.Verlander			5.48	5-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 0-2	+1.5-175	o9-106	+117
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+145	u9-113	-138

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

August 27, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Under 9-115

0.87u

. Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams Overall: 389-262-27,60% (ROI:16%) Season:15-9-1,63% (ROI:21%)

HOU +126

Under 8.5+100

Over 8.5-103

0.52u

Bet to -114

HOU +122

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Featured Insight
Phillies hitters have a groundball rate of 52% over the last week -- tied for highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Astros over the last week -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Phillies are 6-2 (.750) after a win as underdogs this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .416.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 29% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for second highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (493/1,542) when he's behind in the count since the 2022 season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 181 total CB; League Avg: 10% -- 96th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .245 (768 PA's) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 181 total IP; League Avg: .311 -- 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .296 (209 Total Bases / 707 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 181 total IP; League Avg: .405 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Phillies' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21
Astros	81-80	40-41	41-39	56-60	23-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2
Astros	65-91-5	37-41-3	28-50-2	45-66-5	18-24

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19
Astros	88-73	46-35	42-38	66-50	20-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 26th	HOU	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -198
Aug 25th	@KC	W 11-3	+1.5 W	O 10.5	PHI +120
Aug 24th	@KC	W 11-2	-1.5 W	O 9.5	PHI -115
Aug 24th	@KC	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 9.5	KC +114
Aug 22nd	@ATL	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL +100

Lance McCullers
P
McCullers is out with arm
Out
Cristian Javier
P
Javier is out with elbow
Out
Luis Garcia
P
Garcia is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Verlander, P	90	5	3	4
RT.Scott, P	13	1	2	0
LC.Ferguson, P	28	2	3	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4Y.Diaz, C	0-4	0	0	0
5J.Singleton, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
5S.Whitcomb, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Pena, SS	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Gamel, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7Z.Dezenzo, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Meyers, CF	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Dubon, LF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RA.Nola, P	102	7	6
RJ.Ruiz, P	20	1	2
LT.Banks, P	9	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	2-3	1	0	1
3B.Harper, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
4A.Bohm, 3B	1-4	0	0	1
5N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	1	3
6B.Stott, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Realmuto, C	2-4	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8B.Marsh, LF	1-4	0	0	0
9A.Hays, LF	2-3	2	0	0
9J.Rojas, CF	0-0	0	0	0