Phillies vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - August 25, 2024

Phillies at Royals

6:10 pm • NBCS-PH
11 - 3
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Seth Lugo logoS.LugoKansas City Royals logo3.0116-9
Kolby Allard logoK.AllardPhiladelphia Phillies logo5.002-0

Phillies at Royals Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies
1-3
+1.5
+1.5-162
o10.5-108
+120
Royals
3-3
-1.5+136
u10.5-108
-142
location pinSunday 6:10 p.m.
August 25, 2024
Kauffman StadiumKansas City
Phillies vs. Royals Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
119d ago
Last 30d: 289-267-6 (+1.6u)
Over 10-105
0.95u
windy overs Overall: 448-310-33,59% (ROI:14%) Season:33-23-1,59% (ROI:15%) hot overs Overall: 346-231-28,60% (ROI:16%) Season:27-18-0,60% (ROI:16%) wind out in certain ballparks Overall: 898-657-81,58% (ROI:12%) Season:37-36-3,51% (ROI:-2%) warm days wind blowing out Overall: 182-130-18,58% (ROI:13%) Season:7-11-0,39% (ROI:-24%)
JB Bets
JB Bets
119d ago
Last 30d: 35-13-0 (+16.6u)
S.Lugo u6.5 Hits Allowed-155
1u
I know it's the Phillies, but this line is just too high not to take
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
120d ago
Last 30d: 23-15-2 (+4.6u)
Under 10-104
0.52u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
120d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Under 10-104
0.52u
Bet to 9.5 (-105)
Picks  Office
Picks Office
120d ago
Last 30d: 119-106-6 (+4.0u)
KC -135
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Kansas City comes into this game with a lot of winning after they picked up seven victories in their last eight games. Also, pitching for them in great form is the starter, Seth Lugo, carrying an impressive 14-7 record, with a 3.02 ERA and 1.09 WHIP; in comparison with others, they're each in the top 25% and 10% of the MLB. His knack for keeping base runners at bay is what works for Kansas City, and looking to be dominant again against a somewhat anaemic Philadelphia lineup that is batting a mere .229 versus right-handers, Lugo should leave with another commanding performance. In general, Kansas City remains the one with a clear edge offensively, batting .275 against right-handed pitchers and overall .268, compared to Philadelphia's .246. Further, a .445 slugging percentage by Kansas City, being majorly in the Major League Baseball upper half league, is a better way to show the capability of executing extra-base hits and driving in runs than the .397 SLG by Philadelphia. On the defensive end, the Royals have been solid, as the team ranks in the top 30% of the league in allowing a 1.26 WHIP and a 3.80 ERA. Additionally, the pitching staff enters this one with a major-league third-best 65 quality starts this year. At home, Kansas City does it a collective .612 winning percentage and a wonderful scoring average of 9.49 runs per game, that is what we call taking advantage of. This is compounded by the fact that they have a better batting average (.294) and are better getting on base (.332) than Philadelphia; all that will add up to be their chances to keep on doing this offensive routine. Leading that effort is key player Bobby Witt Jr., who has been among the league leaders in average and OPS on the strength of home runs. He is hitting .348, with a 1.009 OPS—comprised of the two—a former set of eyelashes and playing well in these games decided by two or fewer runs:. Their defensive solidity is great for a recipe with 63 mistakes, placing them 11th in all of Major League Baseball, which ultimately negates any critical error that could alter the scoreline of a game. Statistically stout, the Philadelphia bullpen has been comparatively less effective in high-leverage situations than Kansas City's, whose pitchers currently are coming to the series on a recent upswing in strikeouts (8.3 K/9). The latter is relevant with respect to the Philadelphia lineup, which has shown a tendency to strike out. This selection is furthered for a Kansas City win by the fact that the Royals perform better at home, most notably covering the spread for betting purposes. With Lugo on the hill to do the pitching-heavy lifting of his squad, and the clutch hitting/defense throughout their lineup, Kansas City has a more than likely chance to win this game and keep the great run of form going strong.
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
120d ago
Last 30d: 113-114-4 (+7.3u)
KC o2.5 Team Total (F5)-130
1.3u
Stephen Nover
Stephen Nover
120d ago
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
Over 9-120
0.83u
Seth Lugo is fading and the wind is blowing out hard.
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
120d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
PHI +122
0.61u
Bet to +115

PRO Insights

Phillies logo

Phillies

PHI Insights
  • Phillies logoPhillies have won 57% of their games since last season -- fifth best in MLB. Royals have won just 44% of their games since last season -- fifth worst.
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Royals logo

Royals

KC Insights
  • Royals logoRoyals have a strikeout rate of 33% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Phillies left-handed hitters have struck out 27% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB.
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Phillies vs. Royals Previews & Analysis

  • Opening Pitch: Cunningham's Sunday MLB Betting Card article feature image

    Opening Pitch: Cunningham's Sunday MLB Betting Card

    Brad Cunningham
    Aug 25, 2024 UTC
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Phillies vs. Royals Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Phillies vs. Royals Public Betting Percentages

23%

Bets%

77%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Royals
87-7543-3844-3740-3846-37
Phillies
75-8739-4236-4564-6610-21

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Royals
69-88-538-42-131-46-432-4636-42-5
Phillies
78-76-836-40-542-36-356-68-622-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Royals
86-7645-3641-4049-2936-47
Phillies
95-6754-2741-4082-4812-19

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 24thPHIL 2-11+1.5 LO 9.5PHI -105
Aug 24thPHIW 7-4-1.5 WO 9.5KC -135
Aug 22ndLAAW 3-0-1.5 WU 9KC -191
Aug 21stLAAL 5-9-1.5 LO 8LAA -202
Aug 20thLAAW 5-3-1.5 WU 8.5KC -250

Royals vs. Phillies Injury Updates

Royals Injuries

  • Kyle Wright
    P

    Wright is out for season with shoulder

    Out for Season

Phillies Injuries

  • Max Kepler
    OF

    Kepler is out with knee

    Out

  • Jesus Luzardo
    P

    Luzardo is out with back

    Out

Phillies vs. Royals Box Score
Phillies Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Kolby Allard logoLK.Allard, P81552
Jose Ruiz logoRJ.Ruiz, P8101
Matt Strahm logoLM.Strahm, P15110
Jose Alvarado logoLJ.Alvarado, P18120
Carlos Estevez logoRC.Estevez, P12100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Kyle Schwarber logo1K.Schwarber, DH2-5203
Trea Turner logo2T.Turner, SS1-5000
Edmundo Sosa logo2E.Sosa, SS0-1000
Bryce Harper logo3B.Harper, 1B1-4101
Weston Wilson logo3W.Wilson, 1B0-0000
Alec Bohm logo4A.Bohm, 3B2-4103
Nick Castellanos logo5N.Castellanos, RF1-5112
Bryson Stott logo6B.Stott, 2B1-4000
Brandon Marsh logo7B.Marsh, LF2-3200
Johan Rojas logo8J.Rojas, CF2-5100
Garrett Stubbs logo9G.Stubbs, C4-4301
Royals Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Seth Lugo logoRS.Lugo, P945.135
Kris Bubic logoLK.Bubic, P30.200
Angel Zerpa logoLA.Zerpa, P28100
Will Smith logoLW.Smith, P27115
Garrett Hampson logoRG.Hampson, P13100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Maikel Garcia logo1M.Garcia, 2B2-5111
Bobby Witt logo2B.Witt, SS2-4111
Vinnie Pasquantino logo3V.Pasquantino, DH1-4000
Kyle Isbel logo3K.Isbel, CF0-0000
Salvador Perez logo4S.Perez, 1B2-4000
Freddy Fermin logo5F.Fermin, C0-4000
MJ Melendez logo6M.Melendez, LF2-3111
Tyler Gentry logo6T.Gentry, PH0-1000
Tyler Gentry logo6T.Gentry, RF0-1000
Paul DeJong logo7P.DeJong, 3B0-4000
Dairon Blanco logo8D.Blanco, RF1-2000
Adam Frazier logo8A.Frazier, PH0-2000
Adam Frazier logo8A.Frazier, RF0-2000
Adam Frazier logo8A.Frazier, LF0-2000
Garrett Hampson logo9G.Hampson, CF0-4000

Phillies vs. Royals Odds Comparison

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Phillies at Royals Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Phillies
1-3
o4.5-120
u4.5-110
Royals
3-3
o5.5+105
u5.5-135