Phillies vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - August 25, 2024
Phillies at Royals
6:10 pm • NBCS-PHStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
S.Lugo | 3.01 | 16-9 | ||
K.Allard | 5.00 | 2-0 |
Phillies at Royals Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Phillies 1-3 | +1.5 | +1.5-162 | o10.5-108 | +120 |
Royals 3-3 | -1.5+136 | u10.5-108 | -142 |
Sunday 6:10 p.m.
August 25, 2024Kauffman StadiumKansas City
Phillies vs. Royals Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
119d ago
Last 30d: 289-267-6 (+1.6u)
Over 10-105
0.95u
windy overs
Overall: 448-310-33,59% (ROI:14%)
Season:33-23-1,59% (ROI:15%)
hot overs
Overall: 346-231-28,60% (ROI:16%)
Season:27-18-0,60% (ROI:16%)
wind out in certain ballparks
Overall: 898-657-81,58% (ROI:12%)
Season:37-36-3,51% (ROI:-2%)
warm days wind blowing out
Overall: 182-130-18,58% (ROI:13%)
Season:7-11-0,39% (ROI:-24%)
JB Bets
119d ago
Last 30d: 35-13-0 (+16.6u)
S.Lugo u6.5 Hits Allowed-155
1u
I know it's the Phillies, but this line is just too high not to take
Greg Matherne
120d ago
Last 30d: 23-15-2 (+4.6u)
Under 10-104
0.52u
Sean Zerillo
120d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
Under 10-104
0.52u
Bet to 9.5 (-105)
Picks Office
120d ago
Last 30d: 119-106-6 (+4.0u)
KC -135
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Kansas City comes into this game with a lot of winning after they picked up seven victories in their last eight games. Also, pitching for them in great form is the starter, Seth Lugo, carrying an impressive 14-7 record, with a 3.02 ERA and 1.09 WHIP; in comparison with others, they're each in the top 25% and 10% of the MLB. His knack for keeping base runners at bay is what works for Kansas City, and looking to be dominant again against a somewhat anaemic Philadelphia lineup that is batting a mere .229 versus right-handers, Lugo should leave with another commanding performance. In general, Kansas City remains the one with a clear edge offensively, batting .275 against right-handed pitchers and overall .268, compared to Philadelphia's .246. Further, a .445 slugging percentage by Kansas City, being majorly in the Major League Baseball upper half league, is a better way to show the capability of executing extra-base hits and driving in runs than the .397 SLG by Philadelphia.
On the defensive end, the Royals have been solid, as the team ranks in the top 30% of the league in allowing a 1.26 WHIP and a 3.80 ERA. Additionally, the pitching staff enters this one with a major-league third-best 65 quality starts this year.
At home, Kansas City does it a collective .612 winning percentage and a wonderful scoring average of 9.49 runs per game, that is what we call taking advantage of. This is compounded by the fact that they have a better batting average (.294) and are better getting on base (.332) than Philadelphia; all that will add up to be their chances to keep on doing this offensive routine. Leading that effort is key player Bobby Witt Jr., who has been among the league leaders in average and OPS on the strength of home runs. He is hitting .348, with a 1.009 OPS—comprised of the two—a former set of eyelashes and playing well in these games decided by two or fewer runs:. Their defensive solidity is great for a recipe with 63 mistakes, placing them 11th in all of Major League Baseball, which ultimately negates any critical error that could alter the scoreline of a game.
Statistically stout, the Philadelphia bullpen has been comparatively less effective in high-leverage situations than Kansas City's, whose pitchers currently are coming to the series on a recent upswing in strikeouts (8.3 K/9). The latter is relevant with respect to the Philadelphia lineup, which has shown a tendency to strike out. This selection is furthered for a Kansas City win by the fact that the Royals perform better at home, most notably covering the spread for betting purposes. With Lugo on the hill to do the pitching-heavy lifting of his squad, and the clutch hitting/defense throughout their lineup, Kansas City has a more than likely chance to win this game and keep the great run of form going strong.
Sandy Plashkes
120d ago
Last 30d: 113-114-4 (+7.3u)
KC o2.5 Team Total (F5)-130
1.3u
Stephen Nover
120d ago
Last 30d: 0-1-0 (-1.0u)
Over 9-120
0.83u
Seth Lugo is fading and the wind is blowing out hard.
Sean Zerillo
120d ago
Last 30d: 29-50-0 (-6.0u)
PHI +122
0.61u
Bet to +115
PRO Insights
Phillies
PHI Insights
- Featured InsightPhillies have won 57% of their games since last season -- fifth best in MLB. Royals have won just 44% of their games since last season -- fifth worst.
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Royals
KC Insights
- Featured InsightRoyals have a strikeout rate of 33% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Phillies left-handed hitters have struck out 27% against RHP over the last two weeks -- fifth highest in MLB.
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Phillies vs. Royals Previews & Analysis
Phillies vs. Royals Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Phillies vs. Royals Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Royals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Royals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Royals are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Royals' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Royals' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Royals vs. Phillies Injury Updates
Royals Injuries
- Kyle WrightP
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season
Phillies Injuries
- Max KeplerOF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
- Jesus LuzardoP
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Phillies vs. Royals Box Score
Phillies Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LK.Allard, P | 81 | 5 | 5 | 2 | |
RJ.Ruiz, P | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
LM.Strahm, P | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
LJ.Alvarado, P | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
RC.Estevez, P | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1K.Schwarber, DH | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
2T.Turner, SS | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2E.Sosa, SS | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3B.Harper, 1B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3W.Wilson, 1B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4A.Bohm, 3B | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
5N.Castellanos, RF | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
6B.Stott, 2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7B.Marsh, LF | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
8J.Rojas, CF | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9G.Stubbs, C | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Royals Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RS.Lugo, P | 94 | 5.1 | 3 | 5 | |
LK.Bubic, P | 3 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
LA.Zerpa, P | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
LW.Smith, P | 27 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
RG.Hampson, P | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1M.Garcia, 2B | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
2B.Witt, SS | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
3V.Pasquantino, DH | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3K.Isbel, CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4S.Perez, 1B | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5F.Fermin, C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6M.Melendez, LF | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
6T.Gentry, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6T.Gentry, RF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7P.DeJong, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8D.Blanco, RF | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8A.Frazier, PH | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8A.Frazier, RF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8A.Frazier, LF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9G.Hampson, CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies vs. Royals Odds Comparison
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Phillies at Royals Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Phillies 1-3 | o4.5-120 | u4.5-110 |
Royals 3-3 | o5.5+105 | u5.5-135 |