Cardinals vs Seahawks Odds, Spread | Week 7 Pick, Prediction
| Cardinals Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+9 -105 | 43.5 -110o / -110u | +325 |
| Seahawks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-9 -115 | 43.5 -110o / -110u | -425 |
When it comes to line movement, look no further than Cardinals vs. Seahawks odds for NFL Week 7.
The spread had Seahawks -7.5 on Friday night — that ballooned to -9.5 across most books as of early Sunday afternoon. However, FanDuel and BetMGM are both offering -8.5 with DK Metcalf (hip/ribs) inactive for Seattle. It's the first game Metcalf will miss in his NFL career. The game total over/under can be found at either 43.5 or 44.
Seattle is the heaviest favorite of Week 7 Sunday afternoon slate, and it’s easy to see why. The Seahawks' strengths line up perfectly against Arizona’s, while the Cardinals aren’t equipped to take advantage of Seattle’s shortcomings.
The sharps and public both back the Seahawks to cover, and I’m in total agreement. Let's break down this NFC West rivalry game and make a Cardinals vs. Seahawks pick and prediction against the spread.
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Cardinals vs. Seahawks
Matchup Analysis
To quote former Arizona head coach Dennis Green, the Cardinals are who we thought they were.
Arizona exceeded expectations over the first three weeks of the season, covering each game, including an upset win over the Cowboys. However, they’ve crashed down to Earth over the past three weeks, failing to cover each game by an average of 8.3 points.
Seattle’s offensive playmakers likely salivate each time they turn on film of an Arizona defense that has the second-worst DVOA in the league. The Cardinals also give up the sixth-most points per game (27.0), while Seattle averages the eighth most (24.8).
Perhaps no one is in a better situation to dominate than Kenneth Walker III, who has the fourth-best success rate among running backs averaging at least 15 carries per game (10.1). He’s also scored the fourth-most rushing touchdowns on the season (six). Meanwhile, the Cardinals' run defense ranks 31st in DVOA and gives up the fourth-most rushing TDs (six).
Bet Arizona vs. Seattle at FanDuel
Primed for a big game, Geno Smith should finally have time to operate in the pocket. Arizona has the worst pass rush in the league, and it isn’t particularly close.
As Evan Abrams points out, the Cardinals' 15.7% pressure rate is the lowest in the league. As a result, they are 30th in EPA per play and last in opponent success rate. In fact, they are the only team whose opponent’s success rate is higher than 50%.
Smith’s been pressured more than any quarterback in the league (31.9%), which is a big reason why he’s gone from a league-leading 69.8 completion percentage in 2022 to 67.7% this season.
This could be a chance to see last year’s Pro Bowl version of Smith, which is great news for his elite wide receiver trio of DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett and Jaxon Smith-Njigba. They should feast against an Arizona secondary that gives up the third-most yards to wideouts (1,195).
This is also a get-right situation for Seattle’s red-zone offense, which scored on only 1-of-5 appearances last week in a 17-13 loss to the Bengals. Seattle averages the most red-zone appearances per game (4.4) while Arizona gives up the most red-zone opportunities (5.0) and fifth-most touchdowns per game (3.0).
The Seahawks ranked 13th in red-zone efficiency prior to Week 6, but dropped to 20th afterward. Even a slight regression to their mean should result in plenty of points scored. Despite last week’s struggles, Seattle averages the fourth-most red-zone touches in the league (2.2).
Meanwhile, the Seahawks’ pass defense has been the team’s Achilles heel, giving up the fifth-most yards through the air (257.6). After a strong start to the season, Joshua Dobbs is trending in the wrong direction and faces an uphill battle taking advantage of the Seahawks’ porous pass defense. He’ll also have to deal with Seattle’s famously raucous crowd, which should wreak havoc on his pre-snap communication.
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
Betting Picks & Predictions
Pretty much everyone expects the Seahawks to dominate with the public and sharps backing them to cover. More than 62% of bets and 69% of the money is coming in on Seattle -7.5. The trends and data all point toward it being the smart play.
I like Seattle covering and got this bet in earlier in the week at -7.5, but I would even consider it up to -8.5. However, I'm staying away if it goes any higher.
