Texans vs. Colts Odds & Betting Predictions - September 8, 2024

Bang right up the middle

Unfortunately not getting the best of the number on the contest line (it is now 3.5). But we locked on Thursday and other games we liked have moved too far, so we have to live with this.

@GDAWG5000

@SimonHunterNFL

🔑 Colts ML +140 (ESPN BET) 2u I think over 95% of the public is on the Texans. This feels like a perfect spot. Colts looking for revenge from last years playoff loss and the hype all offseason around the Texans I’m expecting an upset here. Week 1 there are always teams overhyped and over valued, I think that’s the Texans

Collab with Sosa

Boyd

Free Play⚡️

The Huddle got it first 🤝

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Despite the buzz surrounding the Texans' roster, laying three points on the road in a divisional matchup seems too aggressive. C.J. Stroud has a promising future, but his offensive line, ranked 22nd by PFF, raises concerns. Even with Stroud's 4,108 yards and 23 touchdowns last season, the Texans' ability to protect him against the Colts' stout front may falter. Houston's defense, led by Will Anderson Jr., allowed 331.5 yards per game last year, ranking them 15th in the league. While they gave up only 21.1 points per game, Anderson and his unit will be tested against the Colts' strong running game. Indianapolis has a significant advantage in the trenches. With Jonathan Taylor returning healthy and running behind the third-ranked offensive line, per PFF, the Colts should control the tempo. Taylor ran for 741 yards and seven touchdowns in just 10 games last season, and his presence, alongside Anthony Richardson, adds a dual-threat element to the Colts' attack. Richardson threw for 577 yards in limited action last year but his mobility behind an elite offensive line could prove decisive. Houston’s defense, while talented, might struggle to contain the Colts' ground game, particularly if Indianapolis can dominate the line of scrimmage, as expected. Additionally, Houston’s offensive line is their most significant weakness. The Colts' defensive front should exploit that, applying pressure on Stroud and forcing mistakes. Even though Stroud has a talented receiving core, including Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs, it’s hard to see him consistently producing under duress against a well-prepared Colts defense. The Texans may have split the series with the Colts last year, but both games were tightly contested. With Richardson and Taylor healthy, Indy should have the upper hand. Colts head coach Shane Steichen led his team to a respectable 9-8 record despite losing Richardson early in the season, which makes the Colts an even more dangerous opponent now that they’re at full strength. At home, with a dominant offensive line and the Texans’ vulnerabilities up front, the Colts are poised to cover the +3 spread.

Been talking about this game since early offseason. This is the best number I’ve seen. Have also bet it at 1.5 and 2.5. Will be one of my biggest bets of the day. Lots of trends to support dogs in Week 1.

Touchdown Show Best Bet! Dr. @nick_giffen is on it too. FOOTBALL IS BACK!!!

Writeup coming later ... good down to +200 or so

Simon Says Week1

Simon says bet of the week from the Fav’s podcast @SimonHunterNFL

#ProSystem PICKEM #1

Two fun teams, but this total is a good chunk too high for me thanks to two teams that are neutral in terms of early-down pass rate and not terrible defensively.