Jaguars vs. Browns Odds & Betting Predictions - December 10, 2023

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DK at -135. Would play 1.25u there. Over in 8/12 games, including 5/6 vs the teams in the bottom 12 of tackles allowed per game. CLE allows the most . And they’ve allowed an off-ball LB to clear this in 7/L9 - doesn’t really matter who is starting for them at QB. Plus, with TLaw questionable - at best he’ll be hobbled if he’s playing - and some eh weather, I see JAX struggling to sustain drives (also no Christian Kirk and Etienne clearly not 100%). Should be a game where JAX’s defense is on the field a good amount, with 65+ combined tackles (CLE opponents average 69.8). I have him at 12.

Stuckey 1

Available at FanDuel. It seems likely that Trevor Lawrence is unable to go here, which is obviously a huge shift. That's reflected in the betting market as the Jags were favored entering last night. I don't think it has moved enough, though. Not only would they be without their quarterback, but they may also be without Christian Kirk due to a groin injury in addition to Cam Robinson, who is on IR. My model still has a very low opinion of Joe Flacco and this Browns offense, but it has them favored by 3.4 points here. That's a big enough gap where I'll lay the 1.5.