Falcons vs. Saints Odds & Betting Predictions - January 7, 2024

Falcons at Saints

6:00 pm • CBS
17 - 48

Falcons at Saints Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Falcons
7-7
+3
+3.5-112
o42-109
+150
Saints
5-9
u42
-3.5-107
u42-110
-178
location pinSunday 6:00 p.m.
January 07, 2024
Caesars SuperdomeNew Orleans
Falcons vs. Saints Expert Picks
Kyle "Vince" Akins
Kyle "Vince" Akins
350d ago
Last 30d: 1-2-0 (-0.7u)
ATL +3-105
1.15u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
350d ago
Last 30d: 300-279-6 (+0.8u)
ATL +146
1u
ATL +3-105
1u
YBK Picks.com
350d ago
Last 30d: 39-47-3 (-22.9u)
ATL +3-105
3u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
350d ago
Last 30d: 126-97-6 (+12.9u)
ATL +3-110
1.1u
Every week I have my girlfriend pick one game for me… current GFPOTW is 19-8
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
350d ago
Last 30d: 12-36-1 (+1.8u)
T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+260
1u
@GDAWG5000
T.Hill 2+ TDs Yes+2200
0.25u
@GDAWG5000
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
350d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
D.London o41.5 Rec Yds-120
1.2u
Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-week-18-drake-london-tyler-scott-sunday
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
350d ago
Last 30d: 22-30-3 (-8.0u)
ATL +3-110
1u
The Faves Five
The Faves Five
350d ago
Last 30d: 10-14-0 (-5.5u)
ATL +3.5-112
1.12u
Convince Me
Convince Me
350d ago
Last 30d: 31-39-2 (-10.1u)
ATL +3-112
1u
@SimonHunterNFL
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
350d ago
Last 30d: 82-79-4 (-24.6u)
Under 42.5-112
1.12u
Brian Matthews
Brian Matthews
350d ago
Last 30d: 6-11-0 (+0.4u)
T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+260
1u
T.Hill 2+ TDs Yes+2200
0.25u
Kamara is out.
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
350d ago
Last 30d: 89-78-2 (+22.6u)
ATL +3-109
3u
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
350d ago
Last 30d: 24-15-2 (+5.1u)
T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+260
0.5u
Bruce  Marshall
Bruce Marshall
350d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
ATL +3.5-118
1u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
350d ago
Last 30d: 86-68-0 (+5.9u)
NO -162
0.62u
Kevin  Thomas
Kevin Thomas
350d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
Under 42-110
1u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
352d ago
Last 30d: 33-77-0 (-1.8u)
T.Hill 2+ TDs Yes+2200
0.25u
T.Hill Anytime TD Scorer Yes+250
1u
Bet at Bet365. He’s +180 at FD and Alvin Kamara didn’t practice all week.
Brian Edwards
Brian Edwards
354d ago
Last 30d: 5-6-1 (-2.5u)
NO -3-118
0.85u
Nico Terpak
Nico Terpak
354d ago
Last 30d: 22-15-0 (+5.0u)
ATL +3-105
$105.00
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
355d ago
Last 30d: 21-28-1 (-4.1u)
ATL +3.5-118
1u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
355d ago
Last 30d: 13-16-0 (-2.9u)
NO -3.5-110
0.91u
This is a spot where both teams have motivation to win, so that's not playing a part in the handicap of backing the Saints. I just think they're a better team by a decent amount. They've certainly had their ups and downs this year, but when you look at the year as a whole, they're actually 11th in my power rankings, thanks to respectable marks on both offense and defense. Atlanta is 23rd despite having a better-than-expected defense. The Saints should have good success if they air it out on early downs. They rank 7th in early-down, schedule-adjusted passing efficiency while Atlanta is 28th defensively. They've excelled against the rush on late downs, so if the Saints are willing to go to the air, they should be able to move the ball. It would be a downgrade if Alvin Kamara were unable to play due to his sprained ankle, but it does sound like there's at least a chance he can go. The composite of my two models has the Saints favored by 5.3 here, so I'm fine laying the 3.5 in one of the bigger games of the week.

PRO Insights

Falcons logo

Falcons

ATL Insights
  • Falcons logoFalcons have allowed successful plays on 34.0% of rush attempts since Week 14 -- T-2nd-best in NFL; the Saints have run successful plays on 32.0% of rush attempts since Week 13 -- T-3rd-worst in NFL.
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Saints logo

Saints

NO Insights
  • Saints logoThe Saints have allowed 116.0 passing yards per game at home since Week 14 -- 3rd-best in NFL; the Falcons has thrown for 332 passing yards in 2 games on the road (166.0 YPG) since Week 13 -- T-3rd-worst in NFL.
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Falcons vs. Saints Previews & Analysis

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    NFL Playoff Picture: Clinching Scenarios for Sunday's Slate

    Action Network Staff
    Jan 8, 2024 UTC
  • Why Falcons Coach Arthur Smith Was So Angry About Saints' Late TD article feature image

    Why Falcons Coach Arthur Smith Was So Angry About Saints' Late TD

    Malik Smith
    Jan 7, 2024 UTC
  • NFL Best Bets: Our Favorite Sunday Player Props article feature image

    NFL Best Bets: Our Favorite Sunday Player Props

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    Jan 7, 2024 UTC
  • How to Bet Every Game and Every Team in NFL Week 18 article feature image

    How to Bet Every Game and Every Team in NFL Week 18

    Brandon Anderson
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Falcons vs. Saints Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Falcons vs. Saints Public Betting Percentages

51%

Bets%

49%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Saints
6-84-42-41-35-5
Falcons
6-93-53-45-51-4

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Saints
7-74-43-32-25-5
Falcons
5-102-63-44-61-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Saints
5-9N/AN/A2-23-7
Falcons
7-7N/AN/A7-31-4

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Dec 31st@TBW 23-13+2.5 WU 42.5NO +124
Dec 22nd@LAL 22-30+4.5 LO 45.5LA +180
Dec 17thNYGW 24-6-6.5 WU 39.5NO -275
Dec 10thCARW 28-6-5.5 WU 39NO -265
Dec 3rdDETL 28-33+4 LO 48DET +162

Saints vs. Falcons Injury Updates

Saints Injuries

  • Derek Carr
    QB

    Carr is out with hand

    Out

  • Tanoh Kpassagnon
    DE

    Kpassagnon is questionable with achilles

    Questionable

  • Alvin Kamara
    RB

    Kamara is out with groin

    Out

  • Taysom Hill
    TE

    Hill is out with knee

    Out

  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling
    WR

    Valdes-Scantling is questionable with chest

    Questionable

  • J.T. Gray
    DB

    Gray is questionable with back

    Questionable

  • Will Harris
    CB

    Harris is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Shane Lemieux
    G

    Lemieux is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Chris Olave
    WR

    Olave is out with concussion

    Out

  • D'Marco Jackson
    LB

    Jackson is out with ankle

    Out

  • John Ridgeway
    DT

    Ridgeway is questionable with oblique

    Questionable

  • Nephi Sewell
    LB

    Sewell is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Rashid Shaheed
    WR

    Shaheed is out with knee

    Out

  • Nick Saldiveri
    OL

    Saldiveri is out with knee

    Out

  • Bub Means
    WR

    Means is out with ankle

    Out

  • Rico Payton
    CB

    Payton is questionable with back

    Questionable

Falcons Injuries

  • Lorenzo Carter
    OLB

    Carter is questionable with groin

    Questionable

  • Mike Hughes
    CB

    Hughes is questionable with neck

    Questionable

  • KhaDarel Hodge
    WR

    Hodge is questionable with ribs

    Questionable

  • James Smith-Williams
    DE

    Smith-Williams is out with tibia

    Out

  • Ta'Quon Graham
    DE

    Graham is out with pectoral

    Out

  • Troy Andersen
    LB

    Andersen is out with knee

    Out

  • Jase McClellan
    RB

    McClellan is out with knee

    Out

  • Casey Washington
    WR

    Washington is out with concussion

    Out

Team Stats
389
Total Yards
400
60
Total Plays
66
6.5
Yards Per Play
6.1
318
YDS
264
25/34
Comps/Atts
22/28
8.886
YPA
7.935
2/2
TDs/INTs
4/0
1/7
Sacks/Yards
3/18
78
Rush Yards
154
25
Attempts
35
3.12
YPC
4.4
0
TDs
2

Turnovers

1
Fumbles Lost
0
2
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

1/3 33.33%
Redzone
4/6 66.67%
4/11 0%
3rd Down
3/10 0%
0/1 0%
4th Down
1/1 0%

First Downs

14
Total
27
11
Pass
13
3
Rush
12
0
Penalty
2
8/75
Penalties/Yards
3/15
26:10
Possession
33:50

Falcons vs. Saints Odds Comparison

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Falcons at Saints Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Falcons
7-7
o18.5-125
u18.5-105
Saints
5-9
o22.5-116
u22.5-106