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Baylor vs. SMU Odds & Betting Predictions - September 6, 2025

Baylor at SMU

4:00 pm • The CW

Baylor Bears

4-3
48
48 - 45

SMU Mustangs

5-2
45

Baylor at SMU Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Baylor
4-3
+6.5
+2.5-105
o65.5-115
+130
SMU
5-2
u60.5
-2.5-122
u65.5-105
-152
location pinSaturday 4:00 p.m.
September 06, 2025
Gerald J. Ford StadiumDallas
Baylor vs. SMU Expert Picks
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 81-65-1 (+8.3u)
BAY +7.5 (Live)-115
1u
Covering up SMU -4.5 opener
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 126-99-5 (+7.5u)
Under 65.5-105
0.53u
Vegas Refund
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 37-31-1 (+3.1u)
SMU -2.5-115
1.15u
Roger Goodell
Roger Goodell
Last 30d: 46-34-2 (+9.3u)
BAY +3-112
0.89u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 63-32-3 (+57.8u)
BAY +2.5-105
1.9u
Will Brinson
Will Brinson
Last 30d: 19-19-1 (-1.2u)
SMU -2.5-115
1.15u
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
Last 30d: 105-116-1 (+35.1u)
SMU -142
1u
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💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 106-129-7 (-5.1u)
SMU o33.5-115
1u
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 81-65-1 (+8.3u)
SMU -128
1.28u
Adding to early week position. Will discuss on BBOC podcast today. Will live hedge a unit back on Baylor at +7 if pops
Mike Calabrese
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 29-40-0 (-7.7u)
K.Wilson o46.5 Rec Yds-114
1.5u
Kole Wilson is an explosive slot receiver who has already developed significant chemistry with Sawyer Robertson. 12 targets against Auburn translated into 8 receptions for 134 yards. Despite facing a lowly FCS team last week, SMU allowed two East Texas A&M receivers to clear this total, I’m confident Wilson will get to 10 targets again and have every opportunity to go above 50.5 yards.
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 126-99-5 (+7.5u)
Y.Knight u54.5 Rec Yds-115
0.5u
Tailing @MrTuttle05
Dan Gaspar
Dan Gaspar
Last 30d: 36-36-4 (-4.2u)
Y.Knight u54.5 Rec Yds-115
1u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
Last 30d: 165-153-2 (+12.1u)
BAY +4-128
0.78u
#MaoDong
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 50-58-2 (-0.5u)
BAY +4.5-112
0.45u
Rest during the week
Collin Wilson
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 81-65-1 (+8.3u)
SMU -4-110
1.1u
Over 63.5-110
1u

Baylor vs. SMU Previews & Analysis

  • Baylor vs. SMU: Bears to Bounce Back? article feature image

    Baylor vs. SMU: Bears to Bounce Back?

    Stuckey•
    Sep 6, 2025 UTC
  • Our NCAAF Best Bets for Saturday's Noon Games article feature image

    Our NCAAF Best Bets for Saturday's Noon Games

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    Sep 6, 2025 UTC
  • Stuckey's 3 NCAAF Spots for Saturday's Noon Slate article feature image

    Stuckey's 3 NCAAF Spots for Saturday's Noon Slate

    Stuckey•
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  • Expert College Football Picks For Week 2! | College Football Best Bets & Props On BBOC article feature image

    Expert College Football Picks For Week 2! | College Football Best Bets & Props On BBOC

    Mike Calabrese•
    Sep 6, 2025 UTC
See more NCAAF Coverage Right Arrow

Prop Odds Comparison

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No props found

Line Movement Tracker

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Baylor vs. SMU Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Baylor

Public

Home Logo

SMU

57%

Bets%

43%

Money%

NCAAF Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • SMU are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
  • SMU are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • SMU are 1-2 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 1 of SMU' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 1 of SMU' 4 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
SMU		2-51-31-21-31-1
Baylor		1-60-41-20-31-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
SMU		2-51-31-21-31-1
Baylor		5-22-23-02-13-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
SMU		5-2N/AN/A3-11-1
Baylor		4-3N/AN/A2-11-2

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 31stETAMW 42-13-50.5 LU 64.5-
Dec 21st@PSUL 10-38+9 LU 51.5PSU +260
Dec 8thCLEML 31-34-2.5 LO 56.5CLEM -132
Nov 30thCALW 38-6-12.5 WU 54.5SMU -500
Nov 23rd@UVAW 33-7-12 WU 54.5SMU -440
Team Stats

Total

601
Total Yards
458
94
Total Plays
66
6.3936170212765955
Yards Per Play
6.9393939393939394

Passing

440
YDS
295
34/50
Comps/Atts
16/22
8.8
YPA
13.409090909090908
4/0
TDs/INTs
3/1
1/8
Sacks/Yards
2/16

Rushing

161
Rush Yards
163
44
Attempts
44
3.659090909090909
YPC
3.7045454545454546
2
TDs
3

Turnovers

2
Fumbles Lost
0
0
Interceptions
1

Efficiency

4/4 100%
Redzone
2/3 66.67%
8/18 0%
3rd Down
5/13 0%
3/6 0%
4th Down
1/1 0%

First Downs

32
Total
23
18
Pass
8
11
Rush
12
3
Penalty
3

Misc

6/64
Penalties/Yards
6/55

Baylor vs. SMU Odds Comparison

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Baylor at SMU Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Baylor
4-3
o31.5-108
u31.5-122
SMU
5-2
o34.5-111
u34.5-117