Warriors vs. Trail Blazers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 24, 2024

Did you know… Curry went over 27; 1/5 season openers & 1/5 first road game last 5 years. As well as 1/7 vs Portland AND 2/8 while playing in Portland

Bob

We still don’t know if TJD will be starting tonight or not, but TJD should have solid minutes at center for GSW this season. Over in 12/14 games last season with between 18-26 minutes (to remove outliers). In the last 3 preseason games, TJD averaged 24.3 MPG. Portland will play aggressive and blitz Curry on the PnR as they did last season. They want to force the ball out of his hands, and this could lead to easy rolls to the basket for TJD. Last season, POR ranked 4th worst in PPP vs PnR rollers. Had 18, 18, and 22 PR in 3 games against Ayton and the Blazers last season. POR struggled against bigs and in the paint last season. Bottom 7 team in PITP allowed, and points/rebounds allowed to Cs.

There is no more Klay Thompson in Golden State, which means there is room for a bigger role and coach Kerr has already stated he expects Wiggins to be that guy. Kerr said "Let's face it, with Klay gone, we need him to step up and be our second scorer after Steph, and we know he's perfectly capable of that. I've already told him: six 3-pointers a game. He is a really good 3-point shooter, I want a lot of 3s and a lot of attack to the rim." Kerr is trusting Wiggins to be a key piece of this offense and he starts the year with a matchup he has seen success in. The Warriors will be in Portland to start the season and Wiggins has hit this line in 71% of games vs POR (5/L7) with an average of 23.7 PRA. He has now hit in 3 straight in Portland dating back to the 23' season with 32,34,21 PRA. In 3 games last season vs POR, Wiggins put up 13,34 and 21 PRA in those games, and that was with Klay in the lineup. Wiggins was better on the road last season, hitting this line in 60% of games compared to 54% at home. Wiggins also saw an average of 27.2 minutes per game last year, but as I mentioned, should see an increase this year. With Dray, Steph and Kaminga in the lineup, Wiggins has gone over this line in 75% of games last season, when he played at least 25 mins. This line is just too low for a player like Wiggins, who I and Kerr, expect to step into a bigger role this season

Keep it simple 🤘

4.8% ev

2nd scoring option vs a young, inexperienced defense

Follow all my picks at FTNFantasy.com!

The Huddle got it first at (-110) and you can get in there FREE until Halloween: dubclub.win/utm/cam-4vhcs Draymond and the Warriors face off against a Blazers team that certainly looks to be one of the worst in the league. The Blazers allowed their opponents strong offensive opportunities throughout last season as they were generally in disarray on the defensive side of the ball and were 23rd in Defensive Rating. Here, this is exploitable for the Warriors, a team that dimes at one of the highest rates in the league due to their perpetual motion style of offense. Last year, the Warriors had Chris Paul helping to run the offense, and that cut into Draymond Green’s Assists the most. When playing alongside if CP3, Draymond averaged just 8.241 assists per 100 possessions compared to 11.196 without him, per PBP Stats. In the 20 games Draymond played without CP3 he averaged 6.2 assists per game. This is a strong matchup for Draymond as well as he can attack the relatively weak interior defense as as he works to facilitate from the inside out. I’ll grab Draymond to dish 6 dimes in this spot against a Blazers team he recorded 9 on 18 potentials against last season.

DK

6.21% ev

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Warriors' offseason moves signal a defensive shift after Klay Thompson's exit and failed big-name acquisitions. Additions like Kyle Anderson and Buddy Hield bring depth, while young players like Kuminga and Moody will see expanded roles. Draymond Green, though aging, remains vital defensively. Portland, rebuilding after Damian Lillard's departure, faces scoring struggles with their young core.