Mavericks vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - June 10, 2024

Mavericks at Celtics

12:00 am • ABC

Dallas Mavericks

1-4

98 - 105

Boston Celtics

4-1

105

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mavericks 1-4	+7-115	o215-110	+220
Celtics 4-1	-7-105	u215-110	-270

Monday 12:00 a.m.

June 10, 2024

TD GardenBoston

L.Doncic o49.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast (Live)-110

0.91u

Late add

K.Irving o23.5 Pts (Live)-110

Late add

M.Kleber o2.5 Pts-140

1.4u

T.Hardaway o2.5 Pts+105

0.5u

Under 215-110

M.Kleber o0.5 3pt M-105

J.Tatum o25.5 Pts-125

0.4u

Just want some action on the game. Small play for me 💯

A.Horford u1.5 3pt M+108

2.16u

J.Tatum o26.5 Pts-106

A.Horford u6.5 Rebs-125

0.63u

#Tailing @PropBomb

A.Horford u6.5 Rebs-125

1.25u

Liking the both from a positioning standpoint and better shooting regression from Dallas/ time of possession. 7 rebound (2 were offensive and 1 came off a missed FT) on 11 rebound chances. Horford was the guy defending the most Doncic ball-screens (15) and the Celtics seem to be fine with him switching onto him and playing single-coverage, so he’s more likely to score rather than get the offense involved. Also going into Game 2 with the mindset that KP sees more minutes which should also lower Horford’s upside on the court. #PlayerProps

Over 215-105

DAL +7-110

$55.00

J.Brown u3.5 Ast-130

@ChicagoFlow pointed this one out and I love it. Only exceeded this in 2/15 Playoff games and is averaging 5.9 potentials.

J.Brown o22.5 Pts-120

J.Holiday o10.5 Rebs+Ast-110

0.91u

D.Lively o1.5 Ast+150

0.5u

DAL +210

0.5u

K.Irving o24.5 Pts+130

D.White To Make 3+ Threes Yes-140

0.71u

Over 215-110

P.Washington o12.5 Pts-115

0.43u

@JoeDellera

Over 214.5-112

0.5u

@ChicagoFlow

J.Brown u3.5 Ast-131

0.5u

@ChicagoFlow

L.Doncic u8.5 Ast-140

0.5u

@HPBasketball

L.Doncic o31.5 Pts-125

0.4u

@HPBasketball

J.Tatum o15.5 Rebs+Ast+105

0.53u

@JoeDellera

A.Horford o5.5 Rebs-143

J.Holiday o5.5 Rebs-130

0.96u

D.Lively o6.5 Pts-120

1.13u

Over 214.5-112

DAL +7-115

DAL +205

Threw alil on Dallas -4 +350 as well

Under 214.5-109

0.92u

K.Irving o23.5 Pts-104

$52.00

Under 215-105

0.95u

K.Irving u4.5 Ast-120

DAL +6.5-110

$110.00

DAL +225

Luka got the corn rows braided

DAL +7-110

Texas party in Boston tonight

L.Doncic u8.5 Ast-135

1.35u

Under 214.5-110

P.Washington o1.5 3pt M-150

0.75u

J.Tatum o9.5 Rebs+100

Over 214.5-110

J.Tatum o14.5 Rebs+Ast-128

0.5u

#Tailing @JoeDellera

J.Tatum o14.5 Rebs+Ast-128

🎙️ Discussed on @CashThatPodcast Tatum has been an incredible rebounder throughout the Playoffs and has seen an uptick to over 10 boards per game over the last two Playoffs. The biggest swing here for the inclusion of dimes is his potential assists. In Game 1, Tatum logged 5 assists on 14 potentials while kicking out on over 60% of his drives. The defense continued to collapse on him and he created looks for his teammates. As for the rebounds, his floor has been incredibly high and he is averaging over 10 rebounds per game during the playoffs. I like the combo stat here for a number of reasons. Just on hit rate, Tatum has exceeded this 14.5 RA line in 80% of Playoff games including 16 in Game 1. Additionally, both the rebounds and the assists have a high floor while also having some ceiling potential. We will have to see if Dallas continues to collapse on Tatum when he drives, but even if they don’t, he continually kicked out to the perimeter when he grabbed offensive boards. I like Tatum to exceed 14.5 RA in Game 2.

L.Doncic u8.5 Ast-135

1.35u

Cash that collab with @sbk Luka Doncic was leaned on heavily as a scoring option in Game 1 with a 37% Usage Rate. Boston switched everything and this slowed down the offensive process for Dallas but it also continued to give Luka matchups that he considered exploitable in isolation. As a result, he had just 1 assist on 7 potentials. While it’s unrealistic to expect Luka to have just 1 assist in Game 2, the Mavericks need to not only make schematic and tactical changes but they then need to convert on those. This will be easier said than done when you consider that Boston just allowed Indiana to continually torch them on the interior and they just didn’t care because they out math’d them in the 3s vs 2s battle. Luka is always a threat to post a triple double, but here there are too many variables for us to back a significant uptick in dimes.

D.Gafford u13.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

@ChrisRaybon

L.Doncic u4.5 TOs-140

L.Doncic u4.5 TOs-130

0.5u

Via @SBK5065

J.Tatum o14.5 Rebs+Ast-122

0.82u

Featured Insight
The Mavericks have shot 38% from three (144/377) in close and late situations this season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Celtics have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three in close and late situations this season -- worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Celtics have shot 40% from three (697/1,731) at home this season -- best in the NBA; the Mavericks have allowed opponents to shoot 38% from three on the road this season -- 9th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Celtics are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Celtics are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Celtics are 19-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Celtics' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Celtics' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Celtics	42-36-4	23-17-1	19-19-3	41-34-4	1-2
Mavericks	48-34	21-20	27-14	32-18	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Celtics	43-38-1	22-19	21-19-1	42-36-1	1-2
Mavericks	36-45-1	16-25	20-20-1	22-28	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Celtics	16-3	N/A	N/A	63-16	1-2
Mavericks	13-9	N/A	N/A	37-13	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 7th	DAL	W 107-89	-6.5 W	U 217.5	BOS -237
May 28th	@IND	W 105-102	-7.5 L	U 222.5	BOS -285
May 26th	@IND	W 114-111	-7.5 L	O 220.5	BOS -290
May 24th	IND	W 126-110	-9 W	O 225	BOS -382
May 22nd	IND	W 133-128	-9.5 L	O 223	BOS -425

Dante Exum
PG
Exum is out with wrist
Out
Jaden Hardy
PG
Hardy is out with ankle
Out

Sam Hauser
SF
Hauser is questionable with back
Questionable

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scoring
Jrue Holiday
26
ppg
rebounding
Jrue Holiday
11
rpg
assists
Jayson Tatum
12
apg
shooting
Jrue Holiday
78.6
fg%

Mavericks

Celtics

38-80 (48%)

Field Goals

38-84 (45%)

16-24 (67%)

Free Throws

19-20 (95%)

6-26 (23%)

10-39 (26%)

Rebounds

Assists

Turnovers

Steals

Blocks

Fouls

Could not load odds

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MatchupOverUnder
Mavericks 1-4	o104.5-102	u104.5-118
Celtics 4-1	o110.5-118	u110.5-102

Mavericks vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - June 10, 2024

Mavericks at Celtics

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