Yankees vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 7, 2023

Yankees at Orioles

7:05 pm • MASN

New York Yankees

3-4

6 - 7

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 3-4	N/A	N/A	N/A
Orioles 0-0	N/A	N/A	N/A

Friday 7:05 p.m.

April 07, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL +105

$1.05

C.Schmidt o4.5 Ks-104

0.2u

C.Schmidt o4.5 Ks-104

1.04u

Good buy low opportunity on Schmidt who had a rough opening start, but all of the underlying metrics look promising. He now throws a cutter as his main pitch and it was able to generate a 33% whiff rate and should come in handy against a LHB heavy lineup the Orioles are sending out there today. He was able to generate a 16% swinging strike rate (which was excellent) but only saw 11% of his pitches get called a strike. That last metric is less predictive and he should see that figure closer to ~17% going forward which would give him a boost in K rate. Projecting this closer to -150

Under 8.5-110

1.1u

Under 8.5-110

1.1u

BAL o3.5-130

0.77u

Over 8.5-117

0.85u

NYY -128

1.28u

Under 9-115

0.58u

Bet to 8.5 (+100)

NYY -115

1.15u

MLB Best Bets, Picks & Predictions 4/7 | Payoff Pitch Podcast
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Apr 7, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Friday MLB Betting Card
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The Yankees are 29-26 (.527) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season -- 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Yankees are 50-24 (.676) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

The Orioles are 17-11 (.607) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .546.

DJ LeMahieu batted .286 on breaking pitches from RHP last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Opponents batted .268 (61-for-228) on Dean Kremer breaking pitches last season -- 14th worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 12th Percentile.

Clarke Schmidt allowed a just .179 SLG vs right-handed batters (eighth best)-- 92nd Percentile and .818 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (second worst among qualified RPs)-- first Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting .283 (26-for-92) against Clarke Schmidt since last season -- tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .227 -- 11th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	78-84	37-44	41-40	25-41	51-42
Yankees	78-84	43-38	35-46	68-72	9-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	65-92-5	34-44-3	31-48-2	31-32-3	32-59-2
Yankees	76-81-5	36-44-1	40-37-4	64-73-3	11-8-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	75-87	39-42	36-45	32-34	40-53
Yankees	94-68	50-31	44-37	85-55	8-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 5th	@TEX	L 2-5	-	-	-
Apr 5th	@TEX	W 7-2	-	-	-
Apr 4th	@TEX	W 2-0	-	-	-
Apr 2nd	@BOS	L 5-9	-	-	-
Apr 1st	@BOS	L 8-9	-	-	-

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Schmidt, P	84	3.1	3	4
RI.Hamilton, P	26	2	4	1
RR.Marinaccio, P	29	1	2	1
RJ. Cordero, P	14	0.2	0	1
LW.Peralta, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.LeMahieu, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
2A.Judge, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Judge, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Rizzo, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
4G.Stanton, DH	2-4	2	0	0
5G.Torres, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
6O.Cabrera, LF	3-4	1	0	3
7J.Trevino, C	0-3	1	0	0
8F. Cordero, RF	1-1	1	1	3
8I.Kiner-Falefa, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	87	5	4	4
RL.Gillaspie, P	16	0.1	0	1
LD.Coulombe, P	7	0.2	1	0
LC.Perez, P	13	1	1	1
RB.Baker, P	8	1	1	0
RF.Bautista, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Mullins, CF	0-5	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-3	1	1
3A.Santander, RF	1-5	1	0
3R.McKenna, RF	0-0	0	0
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-3	1	1
5G.Henderson, DH	2-5	1	1
6R.Urias, 3B	2-3	2	1
7A.Frazier, 2B	1-3	0	1
8A.Hays, LF	0-3	0	1
9J.Mateo, SS	2-4	1	0