Yankees vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 7, 2023
Yankees at Orioles
7:05 pm • MASNYankees at Orioles Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yankees 29-19 | -1.5+130 | o8.5-110 | -125 | |
 Orioles 16-32 | +1.5-157 | u8.5-110 | +105 | |
Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore
Yankees vs. Orioles Expert Picks
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 76-109-0 (+3.2u)
C.Schmidt o4.5 Ks-104
0.2u
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 12-15-0 (-3.6u)
C.Schmidt o4.5 Ks-104
1.04u
Good buy low opportunity on Schmidt who had a rough opening start, but all of the underlying metrics look promising. He now throws a cutter as his main pitch and it was able to generate a 33% whiff rate and should come in handy against a LHB heavy lineup the Orioles are sending out there today. He was able to generate a 16% swinging strike rate (which was excellent) but only saw 11% of his pitches get called a strike. That last metric is less predictive and he should see that figure closer to ~17% going forward which would give him a boost in K rate. Projecting this closer to -150
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 212-256-3 (-49.3u)
Under 8.5-110
1.1u
Anders
Last 30d: 9-6-0 (+1.1u)
Under 8.5-110
1.1u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 41-58-0 (-15.4u)
BAL o3.5-130
0.77u
Over 8.5-117
0.85u
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 65-70-3 (-7.1u)
NYY -128
1.28u
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 136-152-7 (-7.2u)
Under 9-115
0.58u
Bet to 8.5 (+100)
Collin Wilson
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NYY -115
1.15u
Yankees vs. Orioles Previews & Analysis
Yankees vs. Orioles Notes
Keys to the Game
The Yankees are 29-26 (.527) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season -- 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Yankees are 50-24 (.676) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Orioles are 17-11 (.607) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .546.
Matchup Contrasts
DJ LeMahieu batted .286 on breaking pitches from RHP last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Opponents batted .268 (61-for-228) on Dean Kremer breaking pitches last season -- 14th worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 12th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Clarke Schmidt allowed a just .179 SLG vs right-handed batters (eighth best)-- 92nd Percentile and .818 vs left-handed batters over the last 30 days (second worst among qualified RPs)-- first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .283 (26-for-92) against Clarke Schmidt since last season -- tied for 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .227 -- 11th Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Yankees vs. Orioles Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Orioles are 9-16 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Orioles' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 14 of Orioles' 23 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Yankees vs. Orioles Injury Updates
Yankees Injuries
- Gerrit ColeSP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Giancarlo StantonDH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out
- Luis GilSP
Gil is out with back
Out
- JT BrubakerSP
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out
Orioles Injuries
- Albert SuarezRP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
- Trevor RogersSP
Rogers is out with knee
Out
- Kyle BradishSP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
- Grayson RodriguezSP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
- Tyler WellsSP
Wells is out with elbow
Out
Yankees vs. Orioles Box Score
Yankees Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 84 | 3.1 | 3 | 4 | |
 | 26 | 2 | 4 | 1 | |
 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
 | 14 | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | |
 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Orioles Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 87 | 5 | 4 | 4 | |
 | 16 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | |
 | 7 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees vs. Orioles Odds Comparison
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Yankees at Orioles Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Yankees 29-19 | N/A | N/A |
Orioles 16-32 | N/A | N/A |