Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 1, 2023

Orioles at Red Sox

8:10 pm • NESN

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

8 - 9

Boston Red Sox

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Sale			4.30	6-5
D.Kremer			4.12	13-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-0	N/A	N/A	N/A
Red Sox 1-2	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 01, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

BAL +140

C.Sale u5.5 Hits Allowed-160

1.6u

Seems way too high considering Sale will likely be on a pretty strict pitch count today. They may extend him a bit if he’s looking sharp which would correlate with the under. Projecting him to stay under ~70% of the time

BAL +1.5-130

0.77u

BAL o3.5-135

0.74u

Fade Sale // SuperBook

A.Verdugo o0.5 HR+1060

1.06u

Bet at FanDuel. Doing 6 HR bets for 0.1U each.

Over 9.5+100

Over 9+100

BOS -161

BAL +140

$1.00

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The Red Sox were just 27-49 (.355) when underdogs in 2022 -- 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The Orioles are just 45-92 (.328) vs the 10 runs allowed teams since the 2021 season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.

The Red Sox were 31-34 (.477) vs the 10 runs allowed teams in 2022 -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .402.

The Orioles are just 47-96 (.329) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2021 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.

Rafael Devers had a miss rate of 26% on fastballs down last season -- third worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Kyle Gibson located his fastball down 46% of the time last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has not allowed a walk in his last 61 PAs against a LHH dating back to August 3rd, 2019 -- Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 68.

Opponents are hitting .219 (79-for-360) against Dean Kremer with two-strikes since the 2021 season -- 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .167 -- fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a two strike miss rate of just 18% (68/371) against Dean Kremer in 2022 -- 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- eighth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23
Orioles	78-84	37-44	41-40	25-41	51-42

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1
Orioles	65-92-5	34-44-3	31-48-2	31-32-3	32-59-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29
Orioles	75-87	39-42	36-45	32-34	40-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 30th	BAL	L 9-10	-	-	-
Mar 28th	ATL	L 5-7	-	-	-
Mar 27th	@ATL	L 1-6	-	-	-
Mar 26th	MIN	L 2-7	-	-	-
Mar 25th	@TB	L 2-4	-	-	-

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	56	3	3	5
RM.Baumann, P	16	1	0	0
LD.Coulombe, P	15	1	1	0
RA.Voth, P	22	1	1	1
LC.Perez, P	18	1	2	1
RL.Gillaspie, P	8	0.2	0	0
LK.Akin, P	2	0.1	0	0
RF.Bautista, P	15	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Urias, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
1A.Frazier, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-5	1	0	0
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	2-5	2	1	2
4A.Santander, DH	2-5	1	0	1
5A.Hays, RF	5-5	2	1	1
6G.Henderson, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Mateo, SS	0-4	1	0	1
8C.Mullins, CF	2-4	1	1	3
9R.McKenna, LF	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Sale, P	74	3	6	7
RZ.Kelly, P	16	1	0	1
RJ.Winckowski, P	28	2	2	0
RJ.Schreiber, P	17	1	0	0
RC.Martin, P	8	1	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	19	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	1-5	1	1	2
1Y. Chang, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	3-5	1	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	2-4	1	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	0-5	1	0	0
5A.Duvall, CF	4-5	3	2	5
6T.Casas, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7C. Arroyo, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7R. Tapia, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7R. Tapia, RF	0-1	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-4	0	0	0
9E.Hernandez, SS	1-2	2	1	1