Twins vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - April 29, 2025

Twins at Guardians

10:10 pm • CLEG

Minnesota Twins

0-0

1 - 2

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bibee			4.25	12-11
C.Paddack			6.32	2-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-184	o8-109	+114
Guardians 1-2	u8	-1.5+154	u8-112	-135

Tuesday 10:10 p.m.

April 29, 2025

Progressive FieldCleveland

MIN +0.5 (F5)-128

0.39u

CLE -0.5 (F5)+100

Paddack nightmare on road – 10.80 ERA, 1.68 WHIP across 8.1 IP. Hit hard: 9 hits + 4 BB. Overall 6.45 ERA, 1.61 WHIP. Too many baserunners (23 hits, 13 BB in 22.1 IP). Road struggles + low 42.3% GB rate = bad combo vs Guardians bats at Progressive. Bibee shines at home – 1.69 ERA, 2 ER across 10.2 IP at Progressive. Better contact control – 47.4% GB rate, 3.9% weak contact. Still 50.6% Zone% – challenges hitters. WHIP a touch high (1.41) but huge edge over Paddack in early innings setup. Guardians offense better at home (.227) vs Twins’ road bats (.207). Bibee crushed Twins last year – 2 wins, 1 no-decision, 3 starts with 2 ER or less. Cleveland far likelier to strike first behind Bibee’s comfort + Paddack’s early road troubles.

C.Paddack o1.5 BB-115

365

K.Manzardo o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

J.Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases+105

CLE o4.5+105

S.Kwan o1.5 Hits+188

0.5u

CLE -155

Over 8-110

CLE -145

Over 8-105

0.53u

Tuesday. Bet to -115

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Guardians' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38
Twins	78-84	37-44	41-40	36-51	40-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5
Twins	73-83-6	39-39-3	34-44-3	42-42-3	29-39-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46
Twins	70-92	38-43	32-49	41-46	28-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 28th	MIN	L 1-11	-1.5 L	O 8	MIN -125
Apr 27th	BOS	L 3-13	+1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS +100
Apr 26th	BOS	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS +102
Apr 26th	BOS	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE -105
Apr 23rd	NYY	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYY +144

Ben Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Alan Roden
LF
Roden is out with thumb
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Paddack, P	76	5	2	1
RB.Stewart, P	17	1	1	0
RG.Jax, P	13	1	2	0
RJ.Duran, P	13	1	2	0
RL.Varland, P	3	0	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, DH	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Buxton, CF	0-3	0	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	1-4	0	0	0
4T.Larnach, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5T.France, 1B	3-4	1	1	1
5D.Keirsey, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5M.Gasper, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Bride, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7B.Lee, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8H.Bader, LF	1-3	0	0	0
9C.Vazquez, C	1-3	0	0	0
9K.Clemens, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9R.Jeffers, C	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	92	7	5	1
RC.Smith, P	22	1	2	0
RE.Clase, P	13	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2G.Arias, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4K.Manzardo, DH	2-3	1	1	1
5C.Santana, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
6J.Noel, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7D.Schneemann, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	1-3	1	1	1
9A.Martinez, CF	0-3	0	0	0