Twins vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - June 27, 2024

Twins at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • ARID

Minnesota Twins

40-44

8 - 3

Arizona Diamondbacks

41-42

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Nelson			4.24	10-6
S.Woods Richardson			4.18	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 40-44	-1.5	-1.5+130	o9-112	-125
Diamondbacks 41-42	u9	+1.5-155	u9-108	+105

Thursday 1:40 a.m.

June 27, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

ARI +105

S.Woods Richardson u4.5 Ks-145

ARI +106

B.Buxton o1.5 Total Bases+114

MIN -121

Under 9+100

0.5u

Bet to -115

MIN -116

1.72u

R.Nelson u16.5 Outs-111

Twins offense has been lights out - 151 wRC+ and an .879 OPS the L14 days vs righties (both the highest in baseball). Nelson is bad at home - 5.74 ERA, and under in 7/12 starts. Twins can stack 6-7 righties if they’d like (Nelson allowing a .923 OPS), but either way, love the matchup for Minny.

Featured Insight
Twins have struck out just 18% this month -- second lowest in MLB. Diamondbacks have a strikeout rate of just 16% this month -- tied for lowest in MLB.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a groundball rate of 45% this season -- fourth highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Twins this season -- third lowest in MLB.

TRY FOR FREE

MLB Player Prop Picks Tonight
Doug Ziefel•
Jun 26, 2024 UTC
Koerner's MLB Strikeout Prop for Wednesday
Sean Koerner•
Jun 26, 2024 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Twins are 71-57 (.555) after a win since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .507.

Eugenio Suarez has struck out in 30% of PA's since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Jhoan Duran has a strikeout rate of 32% since the 2022 season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

Christian Walker has 34 home runs on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- third most in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Jhoan Duran has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since the 2022 season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 85th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 22-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Diamondbacks' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	40-42	18-23	22-19	24-32	16-10
Twins	45-39	23-16	22-23	28-24	16-15

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	43-36-3	20-18-3	23-18	30-23-3	13-13
Twins	36-44-4	18-20-1	18-24-3	24-26-2	11-18-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	41-42	20-21	21-20	29-27	12-14
Twins	40-44	22-17	18-27	28-24	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 26th	MIN	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	ARI +110
Jun 23rd	@PHI	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 9.5	PHI +197
Jun 22nd	@PHI	L 1-12	+1.5 L	O 9.5	PHI +217
Jun 21st	@PHI	W 5-4	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ARI +120
Jun 20th	@WSH	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9	ARI +120

Anthony DeSclafani
SP
DeSclafani is out with arm
Out
Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
John Curtiss
RP
Curtiss is out with elbow
Out
Corbin Carroll
RF
Carroll is out with wrist
Out

Royce Lewis
3B
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Woods Richardson, P	90	5.1	4	3
RJ.Staumont, P	5	0.2	0	0
LS.Okert, P	19	1.1	3	0
RJ.Duran, P	3	0.2	0	0
RR.Henriquez, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Castro, 2B	2-4	2	1	2
2T.Larnach, LF	2-5	1	0	1
2M.Margot, LF	0-0	0	0	0
3R.Lewis, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	0-5	0	0	0
5C.Correa, SS	3-4	2	0	1
6C.Santana, 1B	3-5	1	0	0
7B.Buxton, CF	0-3	1	0	1
8J.Miranda, 3B	3-4	1	0	3
9C.Vazquez, C	1-5	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Nelson, P	77	3.2	3	6
RS.McGough, P	13	1	2	1
LB.Hughes, P	16	1	3	1
RT.Vieira, P	37	2.1	2	0
RB.Jarvis, P	7	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Carroll, CF	1-4	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	0-2	1	0
3J.Pederson, DH	1-3	1	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	1	0
5L.Gurriel, LF	1-3	0	2
6J.McCarthy, RF	0-4	0	0
7E.Suarez, 3B	0-3	0	0
8T.Barnhart, C	0-3	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	0-3	0	0