Tigers vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2024

Tigers at Guardians

10:10 pm • BSGL

Detroit Tigers

8-13

1 - 2

Cleveland Guardians

13-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.McKenzie			5.12	3-5
J.Flaherty			2.95	7-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers 8-13	-1.5+170	o7-112	+100
Guardians 13-12	+1.5-205	u7-110	-118

Monday 10:10 p.m.

May 06, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

DET -105

1.05u

Under 7.5-120

J.Flaherty u5.5 Ks-140

0.55u

Tailing Jovan

CLE -120

0.83u

Under 7.5-120

$1.00

Under 7.5-110

0.91u

DET +102

0.98u

R.Greene o1.5 Total Bases+122

1.22u

CLE -120

System play

J.Flaherty o5.5 Ks-110

$1.00

Under 7+105

3.15u

J.Flaherty o5.5 Ks+105

DET -105 (F5)

0.53u

Flaherty 2nd best SwStr%, top K-BB% among qualified pitchers. McKenzie good L3 with increased velocity, but still 42 grade fastball (PitchingBot) over that span more than half the time. DET third best offense against fastballs (0.52 wFA/C Statcast).

Featured Insight
The Tigers have allowed just 4.0 runs per game on the road since last season -- second lowest in MLB (97 games). The Guardians have scored just 3.9 runs per game at home since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB (95 games).

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Featured Insight
Guardians RPs have allowed a SLG of just .352 since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB. Tigers hitters are slugging just .351 versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season -- tied for second worst in MLB.

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The Guardians are 12-68 (.150) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .103.

32% of Steven Kwan strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 42% of Jason Foley strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Spencer Torkelson is batting just .221 since the 2022 season -- fifth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .212 (104-for-491) against Triston McKenzie since the 2022 season -- 13th best among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 18 of 128 batters (14%) this season -- tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- fourth Percentile.

Triston McKenzie has walked 9 of 54 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 51% (25/49) against Jack Flaherty with runners in scoring position this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Guardians' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38
Tigers	73-89	41-40	32-49	49-64	24-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5
Tigers	83-72-7	41-35-5	42-37-2	58-49-6	24-22-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46
Tigers	87-75	46-35	41-40	64-49	23-24

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 5th	LAA	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -155
May 4th	LAA	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -130
May 3rd	LAA	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 7.5	LAA -205
May 3rd	@HOU	L 2-8	+1.5 L	O 9	HOU +120
May 2nd	@HOU	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	CLE +154

Reese Olson
SP
Olson is out with shoulder
Out
Ty Madden
SP
Madden is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Flaherty, P		101	6	6	2
LJ.Wentz, P		34	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Greene, DH	1-5	1	1	1
2M.Canha, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3M.Vierling, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4K.Carpenter, RF	1-3	0	0	0
5S.Torkelson, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6C.Keith, 2B	1-2	0	0	0
6A.Ibanez, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6A.Ibanez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7P.Meadows, CF	0-1	0	0	0
7W.Perez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7W.Perez, CF	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Baez, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Kelly, C	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.McKenzie, P	83	5	6	1
LS.Hentges, P	13	0.2	0	0
RN.Sandlin, P	19	1.1	1	0
RH.Gaddis, P	12	1	1	0
RE.Clase, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Florial, LF	1-3	1	0	0
1R.Laureano, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1R.Laureano, RF	0-1	0	0	0
2A.Gimenez, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
5W.Brennan, RF	1-3	0	0	1
5W.Brennan, LF	1-3	0	0	1
6B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0	0
7K.Manzardo, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8T.Freeman, CF	2-3	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-3	0	0	0