Reds vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 14, 2024

Reds at White Sox

6:10 pm • NBCS-CHI

Cincinnati Reds

9-12

11 - 4

Chicago White Sox

7-14

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Soroka			4.75	0-10
G.Ashcraft			5.24	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 9-12	-1.5+102	o9-115	-155
White Sox 7-14	+1.5-122	u9-105	+130

Sunday 6:10 p.m.

April 14, 2024

Rate FieldChicago

CIN -149

0.67u

CIN -135 (F5)

Over 9-115

0.5u

CIN -135 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -155

M.Soroka u4.5 Ks-102

0.49u

Ballpark pal projects 4.21 Ks and +ev with devig odds of -146 giving value to this number

G.Ashcraft u5.5 Ks-142

0.5u

Ballpark pal projects 5.34 Ks and +EV bet with devig odds of -214 showing value at this number

Over 9-103

0.5u

B365 has even money. Bet to 9.5 (-110)

CIN -1.5-105

0.95u

Featured Insight
Opponents batted just .232 (560-for-2,413) against Reds RPs last season -- 10th best in MLB. The White Sox batted just .229 versus relief pitchers last season -- sixth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
White Sox hitters a groundball rate of 46% last season -- second highest in MLB. Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds last season -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Reds are 29-20 (.592) after a road win since the 2023 season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.

The White Sox are just 49-37 (.563) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.

The White Sox are just 53-8 (.855) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Andrew Benintendi has an OPS of just .706 since the 2022 season -- 10th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .544 (565 PAs) since the 2022 season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents batted .325 (37-for-114) against Graham Ashcraft's elevated fastballs in the 2023 season -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 -- third Percentile.

Mike Soroka has not walked any of the 31 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters this season -- tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 12% (8/64) against Mike Soroka on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- lowest among in AL; League Avg: 30% -- second Percentile.

Graham Ashcraft has an ERA of 7.36 (95.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 3.98 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 34-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of White Sox' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	CIN	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	CIN +110
Apr 12th	CIN	L 1-11	+1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN +148
Apr 10th	@CLE	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE +215
Apr 9th	@CLE	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CWS +202
Apr 8th	@CLE	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	CLE +197

Ky Bush
P
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	104	5.2	8	1
RL.Sims, P	12	0.1	0	2
LJ.Wilson, P	22	1	1	0
RE.Pagan, P	8	1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	21	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-5	1	0	1
2W.Benson, CF	1-2	1	0	0
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	2-5	1	1	4
4S.Steer, LF	0-3	1	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	2-3	3	0	0
6E.De La Cruz, SS	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Candelario, 3B	2-5	1	0	2
8N.Martini, DH	3-5	2	1	3
9T.Stephenson, C	1-5	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Soroka, P	91	4.2	4	5
LT.Banks, P	45	2	2	2
RJ.Anderson, P	14	1.1	0	0
LT.Hill, P	15	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Grossman, RF	1-2	0	0
2A.Benintendi, LF	1-5	0	1
3A.Vaughn, DH	1-4	1	0
4G.Sheets, 1B	1-4	0	1
5K.Lee, C	0-4	0	0
6D.Fletcher, CF	2-4	1	1
7L.Sosa, 3B	1-4	0	0
8P.DeJong, SS	1-4	1	0
9N.Lopez, 2B	0-3	1	0