White Sox vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - April 10, 2024

White Sox at Guardians

10:10 pm • BSGL

Chicago White Sox

5-19

6 - 7

Cleveland Guardians

14-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bibee			3.47	12-8
E.Fedde			3.11	7-4

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
White Sox 5-19	+1.5	+1.5+105	o7.5-102	+215
Guardians 14-10	u8.5	-1.5-125	u7.5-118	-265

Wednesday 10:10 p.m.

April 10, 2024

Progressive FieldCleveland

CLE -1.5-111

1.11u

Under 8-105

... good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 303-210-16,59% (ROI:14%) Season:3-2-0,60% (ROI:15%)

E.Fedde o3.5 Ks+115

0.5u

Ballpark pal gives this -153 odds projecting 4.15 Ks and +EV at 7.5% with -120 devig odds giving us value

Under 4.5 (F5)+100

0.5u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
White Sox hitters a groundball rate of 46% last season -- second highest in MLB. Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians last season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Guardians allowed just 2.1 runs per game while leading last season -- ninth lowest in MLB (115 games). The White Sox scored just 1.9 runs per game while trailing last season -- third lowest in MLB (128 games).

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The Guardians are just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .494.

54% of fastball strikeouts for Luis Robert were located out of the zone last season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 54% of Tanner Bibee fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone last season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Andrew Benintendi has an OPS of just .711 since the 2022 season -- 10th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .522 (592 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fifth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .933 (14 Total Bases / 15 ABs) on fastballs this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .383 -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .083 (2-for-24) against Tanner Bibee's non-fastballs this season -- 4th best among in MLB; League Avg: .208 -- 94th Percentile.

Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 42% (30/71) when ahead in the count this season -- 2nd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 61% -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 6-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Guardians' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	11-12	5-3	6-9	6-3	5-8
White Sox	11-12	6-6	5-6	N/A	11-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	11-10-2	3-5	8-5-2	5-4	6-5-2
White Sox	9-12-2	5-5-2	4-7	N/A	9-12-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	14-9	7-1	7-8	8-1	6-7
White Sox	5-18	4-8	1-10	N/A	5-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 9th	CWS	L 5-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CWS -247
Apr 8th	CWS	W 4-0	-1.5 W	U 8	CLE -241
Apr 6th	@MIN	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8	CLE +142
Apr 4th	@MIN	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 7	CLE +140
Apr 3rd	@SEA	W 8-0	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE +130

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out with elbow
Out
Slade Cecconi
P
Cecconi is out with oblique
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
Lane Thomas
OF
Thomas is out with wrist
Out
David Fry
C
Fry is out with elbow
Out

Josh Rojas
IF
Rojas is out with toe
Out
Ky Bush
P
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Chase Meidroth
IF
Meidroth is day-to-day with thumb
Day-to-Day
Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Fedde, P	93	5	3	4
LT.Banks, P	6	1	1	0
RD.Leone, P	9	1	1	0
RD. García, P	8	1	0	0
RS.Wilson, P	7	1	0	0
RB. Shaw, P	15	0.1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Grossman, RF	1-3	2	0	0
2L.Sosa, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
3G.Sheets, 1B	3-5	2	1	5
4A.Vaughn, DH	1-3	0	0	0
4K.Pillar, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4K.Pillar, DH	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Benintendi, LF	0-5	0	0	0
6K.Lee, C	0-3	0	0	0
6O.Colas, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6M.Maldonado, C	0-1	0	0	0
7D.Fletcher, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8B.Shewmake, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8P.DeJong, PH	1-1	0	0	0
8P.DeJong, SS	1-1	0	0	0
9N.Lopez, SS	1-3	1	0	0
9N.Lopez, 2B	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	84	4.1	2	5
RN.Sandlin, P	12	0.2	1	0
LT.Herrin, P	14	1	0	0
RC.Smith, P	13	1	1	0
RT.Beede, P	13	1	2	0
RE.Clase, P	8	1	0	0
RE.Morgan, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	2-5	1	1	1
2A.Gimenez, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-4	2	1	2
4T.Freeman, PR	0-0	1	0	0
5W.Brennan, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, CF	1-3	1	0	0
7B.Naylor, C	2-4	1	1	3
8E.Florial, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8D.Fry, PH	0-1	0	0	1
8D.Fry, DH	0-1	0	0	1
9B.Rocchio, SS	0-4	0	0	0