Reds vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 12, 2024

Reds at White Sox

11:40 pm • BSOH

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

11 - 1

Chicago White Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Flexen			4.95	3-15
A.Abbott			3.72	10-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	-1.5-112	o9.5+100	-176
White Sox 0-0	+1.5-108	u9.5-120	+148

Friday 11:40 p.m.

April 12, 2024

Guaranteed Rate FieldChicago

CIN o5.5 Team Total+105

C.Flexen o5.5 Hits Allowed+105

Under 5 (F5)-105

0.53u

C.Flexen u4.5 Ks-158

0.32u

Ballpark pal projects 3.73 Ks and +EV bet with devig odds of -205 providing value at this number

J.Fraley o1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs-120

Over 9-114

0.5u

Bet to 9.5 (-112)

Featured Insight
The Reds scored three or more runs in an inning 92 times (6%) last season -- 10th highest in MLB. White Sox allowed innings of 3+ runs in 7% of innings played last season -- seventh highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
White Sox have won 57% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Reds have won just 45% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- seventh worst in MLB.

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The White Sox are just 49-37 (.557) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The Reds are just 26-12 (.684) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.

The Reds are 14-69 (.169) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The White Sox are just 8-22 (.267) after a road win since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Andrew Benintendi has an OPS of just .708 since the 2022 season -- 10th worst in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .544 (565 PAs) since the 2022 season -- sixth best among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 94.0 MPH against his fastballs since last season (152 balls in play) -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 91.0

Andrew Abbott has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.4 MPH against his fastballs since last season (151 balls in play) -- 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 91.0

Chris Flexen has an ERA of 5.91 (10.2 IP)this season -- tied for 15th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.51 -- 15th Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of just 32% (8 SO in 25 PAs) with two-strikes this season -- 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- eighth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 34-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of White Sox' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 10th	@CLE	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE +215
Apr 9th	@CLE	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CWS +202
Apr 8th	@CLE	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	CLE +197
Apr 7th	@KC	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 9	KC +110
Apr 6th	@KC	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 9.5	KC +195

Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with arm
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Abbott, P	103	7	3	1
RE.Pagan, P	11	1	2	0
RB.Farmer, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-2	1	0	0
2W.Benson, CF	1-5	1	0	0
2W.Benson, LF	1-5	1	0	0
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	2-4	1	0	3
4S.Steer, LF	1-3	1	0	0
4B.Thompson, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	2-5	2	0	1
6E.De La Cruz, SS	2-4	2	1	3
7T.Stephenson, C	1-4	2	1	1
8N.Martini, DH	1-5	1	0	0
9S.Espinal, 3B	2-4	0	0	3

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Flexen, P	67	2.2	2	6
LJ.Shuster, P	58	3.1	2	1
RD. García, P	21	1	1	0
RJ.Anderson, P	31	1	1	2
LT.Hill, P	24	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Grossman, RF	1-4	0	1
2L.Sosa, 3B	0-4	0	0
3A.Vaughn, 1B	0-4	0	0
4K.Pillar, CF	1-3	0	0
5A.Benintendi, LF	0-3	0	0
6P.DeJong, SS	0-3	0	0
7K.Lee, DH	1-3	0	0
8Z.Remillard, 2B	1-3	1	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0