Reds vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 13, 2024

Reds at White Sox

6:10 pm • NBCS-CHI

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

5 - 0

Chicago White Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Crochet			3.58	6-12
N.Lodolo			4.76	9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 0-0	-1.5+130	o7.5-115	-130
White Sox 0-0	+1.5-155	u7.5-105	+110

Saturday 6:10 p.m.

April 13, 2024

Guaranteed Rate FieldChicago

N. Lodolo o6.5 Ks+104

0.52u

G.Crochet o6.5 Ks-136

CWS +100 (F5)

G.Crochet u6.5 Ks+110

0.5u

Ballpark pal predicts 5.87 Ks and +EV with devig odds of -123 giving is value at this number

Over 8-105

$105.00

Harj POD

CIN -120

$50.00

CWS +109

CIN -1.5+135

1.35u

Featured Insight
The Reds have scored 6.3 runs per game over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB (6 games). The White Sox have allowed 5.8 runs per game over the last week -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (6 games).

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Featured Insight
White Sox have won 57% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Reds have won just 45% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- seventh worst in MLB.

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Our 3 MLB Best Bets for Saturday
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The Reds are just 26-12 (.684) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.

68% of Paul DeJong fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- 10th highest among hitters with at least 502 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. 66% of Nick Lodolo fastball strikeouts are elevated since the 2022 season -- 14th highest among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

Luis Robert has 24 home runs on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- 11th most in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Nick Lodolo has thrown his curveball 32% of the time since the 2022 season -- tied for seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 134 total CB-- 95th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet has allowed an OBP of just .179 (67 PA's) this season -- 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .304 -- 98th Percentile.

Garrett Crochet's has 15 strikeouts and no walks against right-handed batters this season -- tied for best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.4 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 30% (157/515) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 50% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 34-47 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of White Sox' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	68-93	34-46	34-47	5-3	63-90
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	66-86-9	31-46-3	35-40-6	4-3-1	62-83-8
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	41-121	23-57	18-63	5-3	36-117
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 12th	CIN	L 1-11	+1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN +148
Apr 10th	@CLE	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CLE +215
Apr 9th	@CLE	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CWS +202
Apr 8th	@CLE	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8	CLE +197
Apr 7th	@KC	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 9	KC +110

Drew Thorpe
P
Thorpe is out with arm
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LN.Lodolo, P	91	5.2	10
RF.Cruz, P	12	1.1	3
LB.Suter, P	40	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, DH	0-3	1	0
2S.Steer, LF	1-3	0	3
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	0-4	0	0
4J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	1	0
5S.Fairchild, RF	1-4	1	0
6E.De La Cruz, SS	0-3	0	0
7S.Espinal, 2B	0-2	1	0
8L.Maile, C	1-3	1	2
9B.Thompson, CF	0-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LG.Crochet, P	92	4.2	10	5
RD. García, P	19	1.1	2	0
RD.Leone, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Leasure, P	16	1	2	0
RM.Kopech, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Grossman, LF	1-3	0	0	0
2A.Vaughn, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3G.Sheets, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4K.Pillar, RF	1-2	0	0	0
5L.Sosa, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6P.DeJong, SS	0-2	0	0	0
6N.Lopez, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6N.Lopez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7Z.Remillard, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
7B.Shewmake, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7B.Shewmake, SS	0-1	0	0	0
8D.Fletcher, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0	0