Reds vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 18, 2024

Reds at Pirates

10:40 pm • BSOH

Cincinnati Reds

29-26

2 - 1

Pittsburgh Pirates

29-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Falter			4.43	8-9
N.Lodolo			4.76	9-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 29-26	-1.5+131	o8-115	-120
Pirates 29-28	+1.5-157	u8-105	+100

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

June 18, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

CIN -125

Over 8.5+100

CIN -1.5+125

CIN -128

Under 8+100

0.5u

Bet to -102

CIN -125

B.Falter u4.5 Ks-140

CIN -130

$1.00

Under 4.5 (F5)-125

$1.00

Under 8.5-115

0.87u

N.Lodolo o6.5 Ks+100

N.Lodolo u6.5 Ks-122

1.22u

PIT +120

0.5u

Bet to +115

Featured Insight
Reds RPs have a strikeout rate of 25% this season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Pirates have struck out 25% this season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds this season -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting .333 on breaking pitches from LHP since last season -- tied for eighth best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Nick Lodolo has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since last season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 92 total CB-- 94th Percentile.

Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting .330 on breaking pitches from LHP since the 2022 season -- tied for fourth best in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Nick Lodolo has thrown his curveball 31% of the time since the 2022 season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 157 total CB-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (12/82) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 32% (235/729) against Nick Lodolo on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 49% -- 0 Percentile.

Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (427/1,019) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Pirates' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12
Reds	32-24	14-13	18-11	11-7	21-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2
Reds	35-20-1	19-8	16-12-1	12-6	23-14-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14
Reds	29-27	14-13	15-14	11-7	18-20

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 17th	CIN	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8	PIT -185
Jun 16th	@COL	W 8-2	-1.5 W	U 12	PIT -112
Jun 16th	@COL	L 4-16	-1.5 L	O 11	COL -166
Jun 15th	@COL	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 10.5	PIT -112
Jun 13th	@STL	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	STL -121

Hunter Greene
SP
Greene is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Lodolo, P	95	7	8	1
RF.Cruz, P	11	1	0	0
RA.Diaz, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Fairchild, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
3W.Benson, LF	0-0	0	0	0
4S.Steer, LF	1-3	0	0	0
4S.Steer, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
5T.Stephenson, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Hurtubise, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Hurtubise, DH	0-0	0	0	0
6J.India, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
7S.Espinal, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
8J.Fraley, RF	1-3	0	0	0
9L.Maile, C	2-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	80	7	3	2
RC.Mlodzinski, P	13	1	0	0
RD.Santana, P	18	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-3	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	0	0	0
3C.Joe, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Suwinski, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4N.Gonzales, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
6E.Olivares, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Triolo, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8M.Taylor, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Delay, C	0-2	0	0	0
9O.Cruz, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9Y.Grandal, C	0-0	0	0	0