Pirates vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 4, 2023

Pirates at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

4 - 1

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			4.04	10-9
R.Contreras			6.59	3-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-161	o9+100	+129
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+132	u9-120	-153

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

April 04, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 8.5-107

1.07u

Under 9-121

Under 5 (F5)-120

0.83u

A.Verdugo o0.5 Doubles+290

0.1u

Bet at FanDuel. Taking each HR bet I like and adding Double prop to each. All for 0.1U.

A.Verdugo o0.5 HR+925

0.1u

Bet at Bet365. Taking each HR bet I like and adding Double prop to each. All for 0.1U.

PIT +122

1.22u

Under 9-109

0.92u

Under 5.5 (F5)-144

0.5u

Bet to -160 or 5 (-120) at DK

Under 9.5-125

0.4u

Flat risk to -135 or to 9 (-114)

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The Pirates were just 53-4 (.930) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 -- 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

Ke'Bryan Hayes slugged just .276 on breaking pitches from RHP last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Nick Pivetta threw a breaking pitch 47% of the time last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

81% of non-fastball strikeouts for Christian Arroyo were located out of the zone last season -- tied for 14th highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. 77% of Roansy Contreras non-fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone last season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents had a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of 54% (32/59) against Roansy Contreras on elevated fastballs in 2022 -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% -- second Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 16% (21/128) versus Roansy Contreras on breaking pitches in 2022 -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 96th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 3rd	PIT	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	PIT -154
Apr 2nd	BAL	W 9-5	-1.5 W	O 9	BOS -140
Apr 1st	BAL	W 9-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS -156
Mar 30th	BAL	L 9-10	-1.5 L	O 9	BAL -125
Mar 28th	ATL	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL +107

Marco Gonzales
P
Gonzales is out with arm
Out
Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Contreras, P	78	5.2	2	1
RD.Moreta, P	22	1	1	0
LJ.Hernandez, P	4	0.1	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	18	1	0	0
RD.Bednar, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, CF	3-4	1	1	2
2B.Reynolds, LF	3-4	1	1	2
3A.McCutchen, RF	0-2	0	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5J. Choi, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7C. Smith-Njigba, LF	0-4	1	0	0
7R.Castro, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
8J.Bae, 2B	1-4	1	1	2
8J.Bae, CF	1-4	1	1	2
9T.Heineman, C	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	87	5	6	1
RJ.Winckowski, P	51	3	3	1
RR.Brasier, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	1-4	1	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	1-3	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	0-4	0	1
5A.Duvall, CF	0-4	0	0
6T.Casas, 1B	0-4	0	0
7K.Hernandez, SS	0-4	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	2-3	0	0
9Y. Chang, 2B	0-2	0	0
9R. Tapia, PH	0-0	0	0
9C. Arroyo, PH	0-1	0	0
9C. Arroyo, 2B	0-1	0	0