Pirates vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 4, 2023

Pirates at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

4 - 1

Boston Red Sox

24-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			4.04	10-9
R.Contreras			6.59	3-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 31-28	N/A	N/A	N/A
Red Sox 24-33	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

April 04, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

Over 8.5-107

1.07u

Under 9-120

Under 9-121

Under 9-120

Under 5 (F5)-120

0.83u

A.Verdugo o0.5 Doubles+290

0.1u

Bet at FanDuel. Taking each HR bet I like and adding Double prop to each. All for 0.1U.

A.Verdugo o0.5 HR+925

0.1u

Bet at Bet365. Taking each HR bet I like and adding Double prop to each. All for 0.1U.

PIT +122

1.22u

Under 9-109

0.92u

Over 9-113

0.57u

Under 9.5-115

cashed out my 9 bc i found this

Under 5.5 (F5)-144

0.5u

Bet to -160 or 5 (-120) at DK

Under 9.5-125

0.4u

Flat risk to -135 or to 9 (-114)

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card
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See more MLB Coverage

The Pirates were just 53-4 (.930) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 -- 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

Ke'Bryan Hayes slugged just .276 on breaking pitches from RHP last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Nick Pivetta threw a breaking pitch 47% of the time last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

81% of non-fastball strikeouts for Christian Arroyo were located out of the zone last season -- tied for 14th highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. 77% of Roansy Contreras non-fastball strikeouts were located out of the zone last season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents had a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of 54% (32/59) against Roansy Contreras on elevated fastballs in 2022 -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% -- second Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 16% (21/128) versus Roansy Contreras on breaking pitches in 2022 -- 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 96th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 14-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Red Sox' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	23-34	9-19	14-15	14-22	8-12
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	26-29-2	9-17-2	17-12	16-18-2	10-10
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	24-33	9-19	15-14	16-20	7-13
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 3rd	PIT	L 6-7	-	-	-
Apr 2nd	BAL	W 9-5	-	-	-
Apr 1st	BAL	W 9-8	-	-	-
Mar 30th	BAL	L 9-10	-	-	-
Mar 28th	ATL	L 5-7	-	-	-

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Contreras, P	78	5.2	2	1
RD.Moreta, P	22	1	1	0
LJ.Hernandez, P	4	0.1	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	18	1	0	0
RD.Bednar, P	11	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, CF	3-4	1	1	2
2B.Reynolds, LF	3-4	1	1	2
3A.McCutchen, RF	0-2	0	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
5J. Choi, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7C. Smith-Njigba, LF	0-4	1	0	0
7R.Castro, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
8J.Bae, 2B	1-4	1	1	2
8J.Bae, CF	1-4	1	1	2
9T.Heineman, C	1-3	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	87	5	6	1
RJ.Winckowski, P	51	3	3	1
RR.Brasier, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	1-4	1	0
2R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0
3J.Turner, DH	1-3	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	0-4	0	1
5A.Duvall, CF	0-4	0	0
6T.Casas, 1B	0-4	0	0
7E.Hernandez, SS	0-4	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	2-3	0	0
9Y. Chang, 2B	0-2	0	0
9R. Tapia, PH	0-0	0	0
9C. Arroyo, PH	0-1	0	0
9C. Arroyo, 2B	0-1	0	0