Pirates vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 3, 2023

Pirates at Red Sox

11:10 pm • MLB Network

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

7 - 6

Boston Red Sox

0-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-145	o9.5-105	+130
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+120	u9.5-115	-154

Monday 11:10 p.m.

April 03, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

BOS -145

1.45u

BOS -140 (F5)

0.5u

Flat risk to -145

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases-120

0.83u

Under 9.5-110

Over 9.5-105

0.5u

Need -105 or better

Monday's Biggest MLB Betting Model Edge
PJ Walsh•
Apr 3, 2023 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Monday MLB Betting Card
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The Pirates are just 39-85 (.315) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2021 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.

The Red Sox are 69-51 (.575) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season -- 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .539.

Austin Hedges slugged just .216 on breaking pitches from RHP last season -- seventh worst among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- third Percentile. Kutter Crawford threw his slider 38% of the time last season -- tied for ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL-- 94th Percentile.

Ke'Bryan Hayes slugged just .276 on breaking pitches from RHP last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Kutter Crawford threw a breaking pitch 55% of the time last season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Johan Oviedo allowed an OPS of just .375 (61 PA's) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .714 -- 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 29% (66/226) versus Kutter Crawford in 2022 -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 2nd	BAL	W 9-5	-1.5 W	O 9	BOS -140
Apr 1st	BAL	W 9-8	-1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS -156
Mar 30th	BAL	L 9-10	-1.5 L	O 9	BAL -125
Mar 28th	ATL	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 9.5	ATL +107
Mar 27th	@ATL	L 1-6	+1.5 L	U 10.5	ATL +129

Marco Gonzales
P
Gonzales is out with arm
Out
Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Oviedo, P	94	4.2	4	4
RD.Moreta, P	10	0.1	1	0
LR.Zastryzny, P	19	0.2	2	1
RD. Underwood, P	19	1.1	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	19	1	0	0
RD.Bednar, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, CF	3-5	3	2	2
3J. Choi, DH	1-3	1	0	0
3A.McCutchen, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	2	0	1
6C. Smith-Njigba, LF	1-2	0	0	2
6C.Joe, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Joe, LF	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Suwinski, RF	1-3	0	0	1
8R.Castro, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Delay, C	1-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	93	4	6	7
RZ.Kelly, P	30	2	2	0
LR. Bleier, P	12	1	1	0
RK.Ort, P	14	1	0	0
RR.Brasier, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	3-5	1	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
3J.Turner, DH	0-4	1	0	0
3Y. Chang, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3Y. Chang, DH	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	1-4	1	1	2
5A.Duvall, CF	2-3	1	0	1
6T.Casas, 1B	1-5	1	1	2
7C. Arroyo, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7R. Tapia, PH	1-1	0	0	0
8K.Hernandez, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Wong, C	1-4	0	0	0
9R.Refsnyder, PH	0-1	0	0	0