Pirates vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 3, 2023

Pirates at Red Sox

11:10 pm • MLB Network

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

7 - 6

Boston Red Sox

24-33

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 31-28	N/A	N/A	N/A
Red Sox 24-33	N/A	N/A	N/A

Monday 11:10 p.m.

April 03, 2023

Fenway ParkBoston

BOS -145

1.45u

R.Devers o0.5 HR+215

1.08u

fd HR boost shoree

PIT +139

0.7u

make it a full

BOS -140 (F5)

0.5u

Flat risk to -145

PIT +135

1.35u

YARRRRRRRRRRRR

PIT +135

0.68u

R.Devers o1.5 Total Bases-120

0.83u

Under 9.5-110

Over 9-120

In addition to blurb on Pitt +146, great park and hitter friendly weather

Over 9-120

starting to see 9.5 again so im taking this with cashout available and will cashout my 9.5 if i can for full later… if i cant then i’ll just cash this out

PIT +1.5-150

PIT +133

0.67u

K.Crawford u5.5 Ks-130

Over 9.5+100

0.5u

Over 9.5-105

0.5u

Need -105 or better

PIT +146

1.46u

Both pitchers project ERAs just below 4.50 (though Oviedo may have more upside - Slider 67 grade via PitchingBot) - both poor defenses and below average pens. Boston may have an average offense, better than PIT, though PIT should be more competent this year too.

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The Pirates are just 39-85 (.315) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2021 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.

The Red Sox are 69-51 (.575) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season -- 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .539.

Austin Hedges slugged just .216 on breaking pitches from RHP last season -- seventh worst among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- third Percentile. Kutter Crawford threw his slider 38% of the time last season -- tied for ninth highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total SL-- 94th Percentile.

Ke'Bryan Hayes slugged just .276 on breaking pitches from RHP last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Kutter Crawford threw a breaking pitch 55% of the time last season -- seventh highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Johan Oviedo allowed an OPS of just .375 (61 PA's) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days of the regular season (6 games) -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: .714 -- 99th Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 29% (66/226) versus Kutter Crawford in 2022 -- 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- second Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 14-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Red Sox' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	23-34	9-19	14-15	14-22	8-12
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	26-29-2	9-17-2	17-12	16-18-2	10-10
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	24-33	9-19	15-14	16-20	7-13
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 2nd	BAL	W 9-5	-	-	-
Apr 1st	BAL	W 9-8	-	-	-
Mar 30th	BAL	L 9-10	-	-	-
Mar 28th	ATL	L 5-7	-	-	-
Mar 27th	@ATL	L 1-6	-	-	-

Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Triston Casas
1B
Casas is out with knee
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with wrist
Out
Romy Gonzalez
1B
Gonzalez is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Oviedo, P	94	4.2	4	4
RD.Moreta, P	10	0.1	1	0
LR.Zastryzny, P	19	0.2	2	1
RD. Underwood, P	19	1.1	1	0
RC.Holderman, P	19	1	0	0
RD.Bednar, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1O.Cruz, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, CF	3-5	3	2	2
3J. Choi, DH	1-3	1	0	0
3A.McCutchen, PH	0-1	0	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	0-1	0	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	2	0	1
6C. Smith-Njigba, LF	1-2	0	0	2
6C.Joe, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Joe, LF	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Suwinski, RF	1-3	0	0	1
8R.Castro, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Delay, C	1-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Crawford, P	93	4	6	7
RZ.Kelly, P	30	2	2	0
LR. Bleier, P	12	1	1	0
RK.Ort, P	14	1	0	0
RR.Brasier, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Verdugo, RF	3-5	1	0	0
2R.Devers, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
3J.Turner, DH	0-4	1	0	0
3Y. Chang, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3Y. Chang, DH	0-0	0	0	0
4M.Yoshida, LF	1-4	1	1	2
5A.Duvall, CF	2-3	1	0	1
6T.Casas, 1B	1-5	1	1	2
7C. Arroyo, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7R. Tapia, PH	1-1	0	0	0
8E.Hernandez, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9C.Wong, C	1-4	0	0	0
9R.Refsnyder, PH	0-1	0	0	0